21 Billion Reasons Why Blockchain Investors Have a Great Year Ahead of Them

I hope you had the chance to catch my recent interview with legendary investor Frank Holmes. We talked about the need for investors to look beyond struggling cryptocurrencies to understand the enormous potential of the blockchain – the technology “underneath” that makes crypto work.

What kind of potential? Well, I believe – conservatively – that the technology could impact some $8 trillion in global transactions

See, the world’s total GDP runs at around $80 trillion a year. And blockchain tech could eventually underpin all of that buying and selling.

But I’m only assuming blockchain grabs a 10% market share of systems that have been archaic and outdated for years now.

Here’s the thing. As amazing as it sounds, trillions of dollars in trade each year still relies on rickety, less-than-totally-secure computer networks and, in some cases, even paper contracts!

Thanks in part to blockchain technology, that’s all about to change. In a big way.

That’s why today, I want to show you four industries where blockchain technology could add security and transparency – and greatly reduce business costs. I think this could boost bottom lines to the tune of $21 billion in 2019 alone – another conservative estimate – for the innovative firms using this technology.

This is the kind of “strategic info” that could make you look smart at your office Christmas party or next family gathering.

Better yet, put it to use wisely, and it could help you pinpoint your next few triple-digit winners – and that’ll be even more fun to share with friends and family.

So check it out…

Why an $8 Trillion Future Is Just the Start

Obviously, my estimate of blockchain’s impact on global business is very bullish; there are some pretty significant sums involved.

So I want to put my estimate of blockchain’s impact in some perspective. Gartner says blockchain tech will create $3.1 trillion in global business value by 2025.

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That’s a big number, too, of course, but there’s a problem with it: It understates how quickly this radical new tech platform is going mainstream. Last year, according to Gartner, blockchain value came in at $4 billion – and will rise to $21 billion next year.

That’s a 425% one-year increase – a 77,400% growth rate in just nine years. So my $8 trillion estimate is in line with that, meaning at that growth rate we’ll easily get there by 2030 – and probably sooner.

Now then, most folks think of blockchain in terms of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

And it’s certainly true: All cryptos need access to a blockchain to be mined, distributed, and secured.

And once cryptos like Bitcoin see more widespread adoption, it’s going to send prices soaring to $100,000. That day is going to come sooner than many imagine, because, as I type, computer scientists are working furiously on Bitcoin’s “Lightning Fix.” This fix will essentially allow users to pay for everyday items like coffee or a pizza with Bitcoin.

But blockchain is much bigger than any one cryptocurrency. Its use as a global, secure, distributed ledger for smart contracts is proving irresistible to businesses and individuals alike.

You see, industries across the board can adopt this technology – and they don’t have to rely on any one centralized entity to be a gatekeeper or potential source of vulnerability.

In fact, a key feature of public blockchains is that they are decentralized. Moreover, blockchain can greatly reduce transaction costs and improve cybersecurity. It might shock you to learn that, even in 2018, it can take days for a “conventional” electronic banking transaction to fill and finally settle – that incurs costs and security risks. With blockchain, settlement times could be measured in seconds, not days.

Another benefit of blockchain tech is that, unlike centralized databases, the blockchain serves as not only an up-to-date database, but as a historical one as well. That simply means that all of the information of a given transaction that’s put on a blockchain will remain there, available for scrutiny at any time.

With that in mind, I’ve identified four sectors I believe will benefit greatly from this technology. Call them 2019’s “Blockchain Targets.”

Take a look…

Blockchain Target No. 1: Global Finance and Banking

The $1.45 trillion financial services industry has been an early adopter of blockchain technology, and that will remain so for the foreseeable future.

That’s because at its heart, blockchain tech serves as an excellent means to disentangle the dense layers of centralized bureaucracy, redundant paperwork, and exorbitant fees this sector has come to rely on.

Look at exchanges. Many financial industry players are using blockchain tech to develop auditing systems with almost instant clearing and consensus-based verification, according to a recent report by PricewaterhouseCoopers.

Trade finance is another area that’s ripe for disruption from blockchain technology. As it stands today, the $17 trillion industry is high volume, costly, and time consuming.

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Financial institutions have begun using blockchain technology to reduce their reliance on manual processes and digitizing trade documents like letters of credit to slim costs and increase efficiency.

And major international banks are joining forces to build their blockchain solutions. Firms like BNP Paribas SA (OTC: BNPQY), HSBC Holdings Plc.(NYSE: HSBC), and The Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc. (NYSE: RBS) are among those leading these efforts.

They’re setting up smart contracts to help track and monitor cross-border transactions, digitally discount receivables, and secure credit risk insurance, among other back-office functions.

Blockchain Target No. 2: the Oil and Gas Industry

About a year ago, a group of the large oil companies – and their banks and trading houses – formed an alliance to launch a blockchain-driven platform for energy commodity training.

The alliance is headed up by firms like BP Plc. (NYSE: BP), Royal Dutch Shell Plc. (NYSE: RDS), and ING Group NV (NYSE: ING).

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Together, they have developed a blockchain platform known as Vakt, which will aid the energy industry’s transition from paperwork-driven transactions to smart contracts. That in turn can bring efficiency gains to trading, reduce the risk of errors, and cut back on the amount of time employees spend on paperwork.

Lyon Hardgrave, Vakt’s product development vice president, says that blockchain members will save up to 40% by speeding up processing trades much more quickly and cutting down on data errors.

Now, the platform will not yet be used to trade or settle any transactions – and not a single bit of cryptocurrency will be involved. But it will include deal recaps, confirmations, contracts, logistics, and invoicing.

The global energy market is worth $1.4 trillion, according to Advanced Energy Perspectives. Look for blockchain to save the sector tens of billions of dollars – or more – as it is further rolled out.

Blockchain Target No. 3: Prescription Drugs & Biotechnology

Meanwhile, the $1.2 trillion global drug industry is ripe for blockchain adoption.

To understand blockchain’s role here, you need to know about the Drug Supply Chain Security Act. This legislation outlines a 10-year time frame that will help track, verify, and notify anyone in the supply chain when counterfeit drugs enter the system.

Here again, we’re talking about a highly secure – and immutable – shared ledger of information that would be open to any and all participants.

By using the blockchain, any movement of counterfeit drugs into the system will be immediately flagged. That’s because there will be no record of it going back to the production source.

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“The public availability of the ledger would make it possible to trace every drug product all the way back to the origin of the raw material used to make it,” Tapan Mehta, an executive with DMI, a mobile technology and services company, told IT Healthcare News.

That’s bad news for the purveyors of counterfeit drugs that earn around $200 billion per year.

But it’s great for consumers that will soon be able to stop worrying about the risk of taking what’s known in the industry as substandard, spurious, falsely labeled, falsified, and counterfeit (SSFFC) drugs.

Blockchain Target No. 4: the U.S. Defense Industry

The U.S. military is rolling out its own blockchain system, under the name Pathfinder. This platform will offer far more security, not to mention a permanent record of every single item the Pentagon buys.

Simply put, the military can’t rely on the unsecure public cloud to transmit and store sensitive data. Global hackers, often sponsored by governments in China, Russia, and Iran, are constantly trying to access vital defense department data.

And when it comes to data encryption, nothing beats what blockchain can offer. Which explains why nearly every defense contractor is expected to adopt blockchain over the next several years.

Last July, Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) said it is working with privately held SparkCognition Inc. to adopt blockchain technology for tracking and allocating flight corridors for drones.

Defense giant Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE: LMT) is working with Guardtime Federal LLC to provide blockchain cybersecurity. Lockheed, the nation’s largest defense contractor, counts cyber as a core product.

But civilian branches of the government intend to get in on the action as well. Last June, the $26.3 billion General Services Administration began piloting the federal government’s first blockchain project with vendors Sapient and United Solutions.

Add it all up, and you can see there is enormous potential for blockchain tech – and the firms that develop the products these sectors seek.

Now then, there are no pure blockchain tech plays I can recommend at present. But the companies I’ve just mentioned are hard at work carving out an unbeatable blockchain edge, and I expect bottom lines to fatten accordingly.

That said, there are some firms moving forward aggressively with developing the blockchain itself.

So you can bet I’ll be keeping a close eye on them as we move into 2019. I’m going to have plenty more to say about blockchain technology this year.

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Source: Money Morning 

7 Death Cross Stocks to Ditch Now

U.S. equities are trying to catch their breath on Tuesday after another harrowing decline, with investors suffering the worst December on record since 1931. That’s right: Not since the Great Depression “double dip,” caused by premature Federal Reserve tightening, has the holiday season treated shareholders this badly.

Yet again, it’s the Federal Reserve that’s the primary motivator for the end-of-year ugliness.

All eyes are on Wednesday’s policy decision with another rate hike likely. But more important is the forward guidance for the number of rate hikes in 2019. The market is hoping Fed chairman Powell pauses here and waits to see how the economy and financial market’s digest the rapid rise in the cost of credit. Disappointment could lead the further aggressive selling.

Already, a lot of damage has been done with the Russell 2000 already down 20% from its high, enough to qualify for a bear market. Here are seven stocks that are suffering “death crosses” and look set for further weakness.

Fastenal (FAST)


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Shares of Fastenal (NASDAQ:FAST) are falling below critical support from its 50-day and 200-day moving averages and is on the verge of suffering its first death cross since the summer of 2017 as investors fear a slowdown in construction activity.

Analysts at Morgan Stanley recently initiated coverage with a neutral rating while analysts at Longbow issued a downgrade.

The company will next report results on Jan. 17 before the bell. Analysts are looking for earnings of 60 cents per share on revenues of $1.2 billion.

When the company last reported on Oct. 10, earnings of 69 cents per share beat estimates by two cents on a 13% rise in revenues.

Exxon Mobil (XOM)


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Shares of Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) are falling away from its post-summer trading range to return to lows not seen since April.

A death cross looks likely to happen within the next few days, reversing the oil-induced rally shares enjoyed back in April through June as crude oil prices make another leg lower. Shares were recently downgraded by analysts at Raymond James.

The company will next report results on Feb. 1 before the bell. Analysts are looking for earnings of $1.23 per share on revenues of $83.3 billion.

When the company last reported on Nov. 2 earnings of $1.46 beat estimates by 24 cents per share on a 25.4% rise in revenues.

Qualcomm (QCOM)


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Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) shares are relegated to a tight trading range below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, setting the stage for a death cross as the rally into the September highs is reversed.

Shareholders have already suffered a 23% loss. Qualcomm has been in the news for its patent royalty fight with Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and has appealed to Chinese authorities to stop the sale of the latest iPhone models.

The company will next report results on Feb. 6 after the close. Analysts are looking for earnings of $1.09 per share on revenues of $4.9 billion. When the company last reported on Nov. 7, earnings of 90 cents per share beat estimates by six cents on a 2.1% decline in revenues.

Amazon (AMZN)


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Everyone’s onetime momentum favorite, Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) shares were turned away from resistance near the 50-day and 200-day moving averages and are now threatening to fall below its post-October lows.

Such a move would set up a test of the April low, worth another 13% decline from here. Amazon continues to focus on expanding its physical store footprint, and Amazon plans to roll out smaller versions of its Amazon Go cashier-less stores.

The company will next report results on Jan. 31 after the close. Analysts are looking for earnings of $5.51 per share on revenues of $71.9 billion. When the company last reported on Oct. 25, earnings of $5.75 beat estimates by $2.66 on a 29.3% rise in revenues.

United Technologies (UTX)


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Plans to break United Technologies(NYSE:UTX) up into smaller companies has failed to generate much investor interest, pushing shares down nearly 20% from the highs seen in September and threatening a fall below its early May low. Such a move would set up a move back to the summer 2017 lows near $106 — which would be worth a decline of 9% from here.

The company will next report results on Jan. 23 before the bell. Analysts are looking for earnings of $1.51 per share on revenues of $16.8 billion. When the company last reported on Oct. 23 earnings of $1.93 beat estimates by 11 cents on a 9.6% rise in revenue.

Lowe’s Companies (LOW)

Batted by worries about the housing market and announced store closures, shares of Lowe’s (NYSE:LOW) remain below both their 50-day and 200-day moving averages.

Already down nearly 22% from their late September high, shareholders are on the verge of suffering their first death cross in the stock since the summer of 2017.

The company will next report results on Feb. 27 before the bell. Analysts are looking for earnings of 80 cents per share on revenues of $15.8 billion.

When the company last reported on Nov. 20 earnings of $1.04 beat estimates by six cents on a 3.8% rise in revenues.

Expedia (EXPE)


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Online travel booking icon Expedia (NASDAQ:EXPE) is suffering a rapid reversal of its summertime gains, down more than 14% from the highs seen in late July.

This looks to be part of an epic, multi-year head-and-shoulders reversal pattern that could trace a decline all the way down to the 2013 lows near $45 as competition in the online travel space remains intense and fierce as spending is vulnerable to an economic slowdown and consumer retrenchment.

The company will next report results on Feb. 7 after the close. Analysts are looking for earnings of $1.07 per share on revenues of $2.6 billion.

When the company last reported on Oct. 25, earnings of $3.65 beat estimates by 53 cents on a 10.5% rise in revenues.

As of this writing, William Roth did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities.

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How To Protect Yourself Against the Next Market Crash

The New Year is rapidly approaching, but instead of a Santa Claus Rally we’re mostly just seeing further declines in stock prices. The S&P 500 is already down about 6% in December alone – and has dropped nearly 3% for the year. That’s hardly the year most were expecting 2018 to be.

Unfortunately for stock buyers, there isn’t an obvious all-clear signal on the horizon. We could have several more weeks or even months of high volatility ahead. In fact, the current situation resembles a bear market, despite the economy still being fairly robust at the moment.

Undoubtedly, there are concerns over global economic growth slowing down. And of course, the financial markets tend to be forward looking. Still, there doesn’t appear to be a recession right around the corner. In fact, recent U.S. consumer spending data was better than expected.

So why then do stocks continue to sell off?

First off, investors are concerned over the trade war with China and the impact that tariffs may have on corporate earnings. We’ve already seen how negative trade wars news has taken a toll on major companies like Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), which has dropped 14% over the past month.

But even more concerning may be interest rates. The Fed may be forced to raise rates to stave off inflation (because the U.S. is at full employment). However, both the government and many individuals are saddled with a boatload of debt.

That means raising rates will increase interest payments across the board. That doesn’t even include the impact of higher rates on the housing market and business loans. It’s no wonder the investment community has been laser focused on anything the Fed says and does.

So is the solution to simply go to cash until the storm clears? Generally speaking, I’m not a fan of going to cash when it’s fairly easy to hedge your portfolio risk with options. Moreover, options allow you to find tune your hedging to best match your portfolio. Or, you can simply hedge the market itself.

One trade strategy I like in this environment is buying a put spread in iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE: IWM). IWM is the most popular ETF for trading US small cap stocks. I like using it to hedge because it isn’t as expensive (in absolute terms) as a the more broad-market focused SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE: SPY). And, small caps tend get hit first and hit harder than blue chip and other large cap stocks.

Some traders prefer to buy naked puts for hedging purposes as they don’t want their gains to be capped in an all-out meltdown. However, I prefer put spreads as I want to keep my hedges as economical as possible even during scarier periods like we’re in currently.

To that end, with IWM trading at about $140, you can buy the February 15th 130-135 put spread for right around $1.25. That means you’d buy the 135 put while simultaneously selling the 130 put for a total premium outlay of $125 per spread.

Your max risk is simply the $125 spent per spread, while max gain is $375 if IWM is below $130 at expiration. That represents a 300% gain. Breakeven for the trade is at $133.75, or about 4.5% lower.

In other words, your hedge doesn’t start working until the index drops 4.5% or lower. However, if there’s a sustained selloff (say 10% down) you’ll make 300% on your hedge. For about 2 months of protection and $125 per spread, I think it’s a very reasonable way to hedge downside risk in a stock portfolio.

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3 High-Yield Dividend 5G Stocks to Consider Today

5G wireless service is coming and it will change the world. The new fifth generation of wireless networking is just starting to roll out. 5G will soon start replacing 4G, which has been the standard for wireless data transmission for the last half-decade. If you remember how great it was to go from 3G to 4G, 5G is going to be 50 times better. As in 50 times faster than the current 4G average.

More importantly, several new, likely life-changing technologies need the higher data speeds of 5G to function properly. At the top of the list is self-driving cars, or even human driven cars with automatic driving features. To avoid running over cats, children, the center median and other traffic on the road these vehicles will need to gather and process huge amounts of data.

5G will eventually lead to smart buildings and homes – the so-called Internet of Things or IoT. (If you’re interested in IoT be sure to check out new research from my colleague Tony Daltorio.) Life will catch up with science fiction. It is likely that it may be possible to use your new 5G smartphone or a dedicated 5G hotspot device as your all-the-time connection to the Internet.

Before we and our cars can enjoy the benefits of 5G, the infrastructure to support the tremendously higher speeds and much larger amounts of transmitted data must be built out. The current 4G network does not have sufficient capacity to handle the coming increase in data flow.

Much of the wireless and Internet infrastructure is owned by companies that specialize in providing specific parts of the infrastructure. These specialties include data centers, cell towers, and fiber communications networks. Here are three stocks that will see huge benefits from the shift to the next gen 5G wireless system.

Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: DLR) is a data center services provider that is organized as a REIT. The company develops and operates data centers. Digital Realty owns almost datacenters located around the globe. In addition to storage solutions, the company provides interconnectivity solutions between datacenters and the Internet.

The coming 5G speeds means an exponential increase in data that will need to be shared and stored. That’s the business of Digital Realty. Since it’s a REIT, DLR can be counted on as a steady dividend paying stock.

As a player in the high-growth data storage space, this is an income stock that will provide attractive dividend growth.

The company has increased the dividend for 13 straight years, with an average double-digit compound growth rate. Investors can expect the low teens dividend growth to continue, or even accelerate in the 5G era.

The shares currently yield 3.5%.

5G connectivity will require more cell towers, spaced closer together.  American Tower Corp. (NYSE: AMT) is the largest independent owner of cell towers.

5G will require a shift to small cell and micro-sites to provide uninterrupted, high-speed coverage. AMT owns 40,000 towers that will be retrofitted to provide 5G service. The company has also formed business alliances to install micro-sites in light poles and information kiosks.

AMT is also organized as a REIT. The company has a very high path of dividend growth, increasing the payout by 24% per year compounded for the last five years. Investors can expect AMT to remain at the heart of the 5G roll-out and be able to continue the rapid dividend growth. The shares currently yield 3.3%.

AMT is also organized as a REIT. The company has a very high path of dividend growth, increasing the payout by 24% per year compounded for the last five years.

Investors can expect AMT to remain at the heart of the 5G roll-out and be able to continue the rapid dividend growth.

The shares currently yield 3.3%.

Uniti Group (Nasdaq: UNIT) is a telecommunications REIT focused on fiber optic assets. In recent years the company has focused on acquiring backhaul fiber assets. These are fiber connections between cell towers and the wired Internet.

Uniti Group has been acquiring fiber networks that connect cell towers to the wired data network. These networks can be leased up to handle higher 5G data speeds without the need to build out additional network infrastructure. This mostly unknown and underground part of the overall data network will be a big winner for Uniti as 5G rolls out.

Currently UNIT is under a legal cloud due to a lawsuit against its largest customer, Windstream Holdings (Nasdaq: WIN). The trial has been completed and the companies are waiting on the judge’s ruling. Until that ruling comes out, the prospects and dividend safety of UNIT are unclear.

Thus, the current 12% yield.

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Source: Investors Alley 

Market Preview: Interest Rate Fears and Slowing Growth Drive Market Lower

Markets continued Friday’s downward trajectory Monday on fears of an interest rate hike on Wednesday and slowing growth in the overall economy. The Empire State Manufacturing Survey, projected to come in at 21, already down 2.3 points from November’s level, was a much worse 10.9 when it was released Monday Morning. The number had not been this low since mid-2017. The Housing Market Index, which had been expected to rise to 61 from November’s 60, also missed badly coming in at 56. It was amid this backdrop of softening numbers, both in the U.S. and globally, that money managers and market veterans began calling more loudly for a halt to the Fed’s interest rate increase policy. Chairman Powell has been backed into something of a corner after all but pre-announcing the December rate increase in the Fed’s policy statement. Fearing the Chairman has no choice but to implement the rate increase, markets fell across the board. The DJIA was down over 500 points once again, closing off 2.11%. The S&P broke through support levels around 2,600, hitting new lows for 2018, and finishing down 2.08% for the day. And, the Nasdaq, which was above 8,000 in September, closed at 6,753, off 2.27%.   

Fedex (FDX) and Micron Technology (MU) will headline earnings Tuesday. Fedex raised a red flag for analysts a few weeks ago when it decided to replace David Cunningham, a 36 year veteran of the company and head of the Fedex Express business, right before the holiday rush. With approximately 60% of the company’s revenue coming from the Express business, analysts are wary that the unit may be in trouble given the removal of its leader with no explanation given. With earnings falling, investors are looking for some insight into the current tech cycle when Micron reports on Tuesday. The stock traded up to $64 earlier in the year before falling back to earth and its current $33 level. Analysts are expecting 18% year-over-year growth and EPS of $2.94.

Housing starts and Redbook retail numbers will be released Tuesday morning. November housing starts are expected to fall to 1.221 million from 1.228 million in October. Given the miss on homebuilder sentiment, it would not be surprising if the expected housing starts number misses estimates as well. Retail sales numbers are projected to rise 6.6% year-over-year. Tuesday also marks the beginning of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting. While mortgage application and existing home sales numbers are slated for release Wednesday, the day’s economic data will be overshadowed by the release of the Fed’s decision on interest rates at 2pm. While there is a rising chorus railing against the December rate rise, it is still expected that the Fed will increase interest rates by .25% when it announces its decision Wednesday afternoon.

After breaking support at the $42.50 level in late November, General Mills (GIS) has been in a steady decline falling through $37 on Monday. Investors will be laser focused on margins when the company reports earnings on Wednesday. Rising input costs have made profitability challenging for the entire branded consumer food sector. Also reporting Wednesday is Paychex (PAYX). The recent announcement that the company will be acquiring Oasis Outsourcing Acquisition Corp. will drive a portion of the earnings call. Paychex paid $1.2 billion cash for the company and cited potential synergies in both revenue and cost savings. Analysts will be looking for management to flesh out the expected benefits from the merger.

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My “Sleeper” Pick for 8.7% Dividends and Big Upside in 2019

Today I’m going to show you why this market isn’t as spooked as you might think. Then I’m going to reveal the 1 sector (and 1 fund boasting an incredible 8.7% dividend yield) that’s a screaming bargain now.

Let’s start with the state of play as I write this.

Here’s a question: of the 11 sectors that make up the S&P 500, how many do you think are negative for 2018?

If you said more than 5, the pessimism of the financial press has tainted your worldview. Take a look at this table:

5 in the Red, 5 in the Green

A close look at the 11 sectors of the S&P 500 is crucial, because we quickly see that 5 sectors are green, 5 are down and 1 is flat for 2018. While the red sectors are down big (financials energy, and materials have all dropped more than 10%), solid returns in tech, healthcare and utilities tell us most regular investors haven’t hit the panic button.

Let me explain.

Remember that there are “risk-on” and “risk-off” sectors. If investors are really worried about a big downturn, they go head-first into the “safe” and usually countercyclical consumer-staples sector—but the Consumer Staples SPDR ETF (XLP) is down 3.8% on the year, and the cyclical Consumer Discretionary SPDR ETF (XLY) is up 4.8%.

There’s a simple reason for that: everyday Americans are buying more because they’re earning more and getting jobs more easily. Therefore, it makes no sense in such an environment to run away from so-called risky assets, because those assets are the ones bagging higher revenues and earnings.

Likewise, tech and healthcare are typically high-risk sectors, with higher P/E ratios, that get sold off when a major market downturn is supposedly around the corner. But the Health Care SPDR ETF (XLV) is up nearly 10%, and tech’s 2.4% gain is after the heavy selloff of Apple (AAPL), on trade-war fears.

The lesson is obvious: while some sectors are suffering a short-term downturn, others are fine, thanks to economic growth of 3% and earnings growth of more than 20%. But the big financial media’s cavalier attitude toward the details has resulted in a lot of news about a market panic that simply isn’t there.

What About the Losers?

Before we get to one of my favorite sectors for 2019 (and that 8.7% yielder I mentioned earlier), let me quickly touch on a couple particularly beaten-down corners of the market. No, we’re not going to bottom-fish here—but these sectors’ misery has a key role to play in the nice price pop (and income) our pick is poised to hand us in the months ahead.

The first is materials, which saw earnings growth fall sharply, to 10%, in the third quarter, largely due to sluggish commodity prices across the sector, which lowers their pricing power because materials companies can’t increase prices of the commodities they sell to factories and property developers. That’s weighed down materials stocks—but it’s been a boon to the sector (and fund) we’ll discuss in a moment.

The other is energy, which has has been hit hard by the fall in oil. Just look at the price action with the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) and WTI oil futures:

Low Oil and Lower Energy Stocks

While that’s bruising for the sector, it’s great for an economy like America’s, where energy demand from consumers and manufacturers is the main engine of growth. So XLE’s 12.7% loss should be seen as the rest of the economy’s gain.

What to Buy Now

That brings me to the sector I want to dive into today: real estate.

It’s a direct beneficiary of lower costs for energy and materials, because both lower property builders’ expenses, resulting in greater inventories for real estate investors and higher profits for real estate developers.

Secondly, the real estate sector has been brutalized because of fears of higher interest rates—fears that are proving to be wrong.

Rate Burden Gets Lighter

Over the last 3 years, the return on the Real Estate Select Sector SPDR (XLRE) has been less than half that of the broader market, for one reason: higher interest rates. Almost 3 years ago to the day, the Federal Reserve kicked off the current rate-hike cycle, and the real estate market freaked out (see the dip in the orange line in early 2016). It has only slightly recovered since—with several “mini-freakouts” along the way.

On Sale Now: An 8.7% Dividend With Upside

Now that rates are set to rise more slowly than previously expected, real estate is a particularly appealing “sleeper” sector, because the market still hasn’t gotten the message. You can compound your returns through a closed-end fund (CEF) like the Nuveen Real Estate Income Fund (JRS).

JRS invests in many companies that make up XLRE, but there’s one huge difference: JRS trades at a 10.2% discountto the market value of the companies it owns, while XLRE trades at the whole market value of its portfolio. So you can get this already very cheap sector at a discount!

Another great thing about JRS? Its income. With an 8.7% dividend yield, this fund trounces the still-impressive 3.6% dividend XLRE provides. So you’ll be pocketing a hefty income stream while you wait for the real estate market to come to its senses.

5 More “Must-Buy” 8%+ Dividends for 2019

Here’s the thing about 8.7% payouts like these: the pundits will tell you they’re unsafe, but that’s nonsense!

The truth is, dividends like these are absolutely necessary if you want to achieve the “retirement holy grail”: clocking out and living on dividends alone. Because when your dividends cover your bills (and then some!) and roll in like clockwork, who cares what Mr. Market gets up to on a day-to-day basis?

This is how everyone should approach retirement investing. And the good news is that there are plenty of CEFs—like JRS—throwing off rock-solid 8%+ payouts that will get you there.

But where do you start? Easy: with the 5 hidden gems (including one CEF paying an incredible 9% dividend) I’ll reveal when you click right here.

And before you ask, no, you won’t give up a cent of upside to get your hands on the 8% average payouts these 5 funds deliver. Take a look at how one of these buys—pick No. 3, to be exact—has manhandled the market since inception:

Market-Crushing Gains and 8.7% Dividends—in 1 Buy!

Source: Contrarian Outlook

Michael Foster has just uncovered 4 funds that tick off ALL his boxes for the perfect investment: a 7.4% average payout, steady dividend growth and 20%+ price upside. — but that won’t last long! Grab a piece of the action now, before the market comes to its senses. CLICK HERE and he’ll tell you all about his top 4 high-yield picks.

10 Best of the Best Stocks for 2019

Source: Shutterstock

It’s certainly never a dull moment in the markets these days — or anywhere else for that matter. It’s hard to pick the best stocks with all these headlines tugging them in all different directions. The Chinese economy is slowing down to sub-6% growth. Brexit negotiations are in shambles. President Donald Trump’s political troubles are growing. Europe is putting the brakes on quantitative easing.

The markets are understandably having trouble processing it all. One day China-U.S. trade talks are rallying stocks, but the next day, there’s talk of a global recession and stocks are tanking.

This is when you need quality stocks that aren’t wrapped up in all these issues. This when you need stocks that are moving on trends that are beyond much of this market volatility

The 10 best-of-the-best stocks for 2019 that I feature below are the kind of stocks I’m talking about. All are top-rated picks in my Portfolio Grader and will not only be shelter from this storm but great long-term growth companies as well.

Amazon (AMZN)

Best Stocks: Amazon (AMZN)

Source: Shutterstock

Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) should be no surprise at the top of this list.

The U.S. economy is driven by the consumer — about 70% of our economy is consumer driven. And few companies are focused on the consumer like AMZN.

Plus, Amazon has a “growth over profits” philosophy that has served it well, even when analysts had their doubts. It means that AMZN is already laser focused on making money in low-margin businesses and fueling its growth with higher-margin enterprises like its Amazon Web Services cloud services division.

It commands a significant premium, but given its track record through tough times, it’s well deserved.

Netflix (NFLX)

Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) has stuck to its knitting, unlike many of the other FAANG stocks. While it lost nearly 26% in the past three months, NFLX is still up an impressive 42% year to date. This is where the headlines may mislead some investors.

There’s no doubt that FAANGs like Netflix have been hammered. But the fact is, they’re still some of the best performing stocks in the market today.

What’s more, NFLX stock is continuing to grow its subscriber base in high-potential markets like India, where economic growth isn’t as volatile and barriers to entry are lower than in say, China right now.

ConocoPhillips (COP)

ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) is my favorite integrated energy company right now. One key reason is that it’s well diversified across oil and natural gas operations.

While oil has been a victim of overproduction and prices are low, natural gas prices are on the rise. And with winter coming to the Northern Hemisphere, demand is growing in Europe and Asia, where prices are significantly higher than in the U.S.

COP stock recently acquired more natural gas reserves in Canada, so it continues to expand its business in stable countries with hungry markets.

Up 18% year to date, this is solid energy pick that you can count on for the long haul.

Ecopetrol SA (EC)

Best Stocks: Ecopetrol SA (EC)

Source: Shutterstock

Ecopetrol SA (NYSE:EC) is the top Colombian integrated energy company. It has upstream operations — exploration and production — as well as midstream (pipelines) and downstream (refining) divisions for its oil and natural gas reserves.

EC has been operating in Colombia since 1948, but Colombia has had its ups and downs over the decades.

In the past few years, new leadership has brought its long-standing civil war to an end and the drug cartels are significantly less influential. This has meant that the economy is recovering and the middle class is expanding.

EC is a stable energy player in South America, delivering strong growth and a solid 3.5% dividend.

Abiomed (ABMD)

Best Stocks: Abiomed (ABMD)

Source: Shutterstock

Abiomed (NASDAQ:ABMD) is part of the medical device megatrend that is underway across the globe.

ABMD makes the world’s smallest heart pump. It was started by the doctor who invented the first artificial heart.

Today, it has a $14 billion market cap and is gaining business at a rapid pace because it’s a much better alternative to costly surgery and other procedures. When healthcare costs continue to rise, it’s companies like ABMD that benefit the most.

That explains why, in this tough market, ABMD is up 71% year to date. And there’s still plenty of headroom left.

Veeva Systems (VEEV)

Best Stocks: Veeva Systems (VEEV)

Source: Shutterstock

Veeva Systems (NYSE:VEEV) is a cloud provider that operates in a niche space — life sciences.

While you may think about the cloud as simply some remote storage facility that allows people to access information from anywhere, it’s more complex and nuanced than that. It has tiers of access and layers of analytics as well as customer resource management tools and productivity applications. And few sectors need a specialized cloud solution more than life sciences.

With all the regulations, the drug approval process and managing pipelines, as well as research, distribution and marketing, a focused and cohesive system built around these needs is very valuable.

That’s why VEEV has taken off in recent years. It’s up 67% year to date and has plenty of growth left.

China Petroleum & Chemical (SNP)

Best Stocks: China Petroleum & Chemical (SNP)

Source: Shutterstock

China Petroleum & Chemical Corp (NYSE:SNP), or as it’s better known, Sinopec, is China’s leading energy company and one of the top five energy companies in the world.

That’s not bad for a company that isn’t even 18 years old at this point.

Obviously, energy is a key component to the world’s second-largest economy’s economic growth. And it needs a secure source of oil and natural gas because relying on OPEC can get dicey, given the power and influence of the U.S. in the Middle East.

Sinopec is the tip of the spear for China’s energy independence. And there’s little reason to think that Sinopec’s importance is likely to fade in coming years. As a matter of fact, China’s moves into the South China Sea would suggest that energy exploration and production efforts are growing.

Up a respectable 13% year to date, it also throws off an impressive 5.6% dividend.

CenturyLink (CTL)

Best Stocks: CenturyLink (CTL)

Source: Shutterstock

CenturyLink (NYSE:CTL) is a telecom provider that has been around since 1930.

It’s not one of the major players and is more of a player in smaller markets where it can hold sway in rural communities and small towns. It considers itself the second-largest U.S. communications company to global enterprise providers. Basically, that means it’s a major player in the enterprise level marketplace. And this is the focus of the business moving forward.

The consumer market is losing its allure, especially as the mobile age takes over. CTL is now focused on finding its most valuable revenue sources and cutting its low- and no-margin businesses.

At worst, CTL is a good takeover play. At best, there’s a lot of growth and a solid 12.6% dividend to buy your patience.

Square (SQ)

Best Stocks: Square (SQ)

Source: Via Square

Square (NYSE:SQ) would be a fourth grader if it was a human. Yet Square is already a company with a $26 billion market cap and global reach.

SQ stock is up 81% year to date.

That’s a lot of success in just a few years. Granted, Square’s payment processing solutions were up and running before the company went public. And while SQ stock is firing on all cylinders, the financial industry has also started to take its fintech game to the next level, turning mobile banking into a significant force.

The crazy thing is, that its 81% return this year also includes a 30% slide in its stock price during the last three months.

Given the fact that SQ is a game-changer for small- and medium-sized business and there is a lot of untapped growth in these sectors, it is in a great position for the unfolding fintech evolution.

Shopify (SHOP)

Shopify (NASDAQ:SHOP) is a major player in helping small and medium-sized businesses grow and succeed online. It not only helps people build out their sites, but it also delivers tools to help people manage inventory, develop marketing, track payments and track shipping.

It’s an all-in-one small business system in the cloud.

This niche is growing very quickly as people are looking for extra income, exploring turning a hobby into a business or looking to grow the market for their existing business.

At this point, there are more than 600,000 businesses powered by SHOP that are doing more than $82 billion in sales.

The stock is up 45% year to date and has weathered the stormy market. That should continue for years to come.

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Investors have earned 618%, 834%, and up to 2,500% - performing better than Amazon, Netflix and Facebook.
Click here to get in on your own 2,537% windfall.

Source: Investor Place

Market Preview: Markets Tumble Yet Again on Chinese Data

Economic data out of China, indicating the country’s economy may be slowing, hit global markets hard on Friday. Industrial output grew by only 5.4% in the quarter, a growth rate last seen in the Chinese economy in 2016. The Chinese statistics bureau reporting the data said, the impact of tariffs in the trade war with the U.S have not yet been felt and are not reflected in the numbers. This may be the case, or it may be a negotiating tool for ongoing trade talks. Either way, markets again traded down on the headline data putting the S&P 500 back into correction territory, down over 10% from its highs. The S&P finished off 1.91%, the DJIA was down 2.02%, and the Nasdaq fell 2.26%. Offering no solace, Goldman Sachs economists stated they belief there is a good chance no trade deal is reached before the 90-day freeze on U.S. tariffs is removed in March. For its part, China has agreed to reduce tariffs on automobiles from the U.S. from the current 40% to 15%. Adding to the market damage, a report out of Reuters that Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) knew for over 40 years that its baby powder contained asbestos sent the stock reeling. Johnson & Johnson strongly denied the claims, but that did little to help investors who had flocked to the stock in recent months as a safe haven.

Tech behemoth Oracle (ORCL) and Red Hat (RHT) are scheduled to report earnings Monday. Analysts are expecting Oracle to report $.78 per share or 11.4% year-over-year earnings growth. The stock has traded flat for most of 2018, and investors don’t expect a big move from the company post-earnings given the recent market pressure on tech stocks. Red Hat is expected to show an earnings increase of 10% on revenue of $823 million.

Monday’s economic data will include the New York manufacturing survey and the housing market index. The prior reading on the housing index was 60. A continued deterioration in housing may spike the number lower, another potential negative for a shaky market. Tuesday analysts will examine Redbook retail data as we enter the final week before the Christmas holiday. Tuesday also marks the beginning of an FOMC meeting, at which most traders believe the Fed will raise rates by one-quarter percentage point. MBA mortgage applications and existing home sales data will be released Wednesday morning. The year-over-year change in home sales released in October showed a decline of 5.1%, putting the damage rising rates have had on housing on full display. Wednesday afternoon will bring the release of the Fed statement on interest rates and, the likely rate increase. The Fed announcement will be followed by a press conference by Chairman Powell at 2:30. Jobless claims, the Philadelphia Fed business outlook, leading indicators, and the EIA nat gas numbers will all be released on Thursday. Friday is a quadruple witching, which usually brings added volatility to the market. Economic data published on Friday includes durable goods numbers, GDP, corporate profits, personal income and outlays, consumer sentiment, and the Kansas City Fed manufacturing index.

Tuesday, investors will examine earnings from FedEx (FED) and Micron Technology (MU). The FedEx numbers are especially interesting to investors as they will serve as a pulse check on holiday spending. Paychex (PAYX) and General Mills will report quarterly earnings on Wednesday. Nike (NKE) and Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) are marked on the earnings calendar as reporting Thursday. Morgan Stanley recently came out with a note calling the sports company undervalued here and suggested buying Nike ahead of earnings. CarMax (KMX) is scheduled to close out the third week of December with earnings on Friday.

 

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Don’t Miss This High-Yield Stock Paying 150% of Its Normal Dividend

Personally, I get to this point in the month and tell myself to stop spending money. I have been buying gifts, plus stuff on sale from my favorite vendors. If you are in the same boat, or even if you have exhibited outstanding spending discipline through this holiday season, I want to recommend giving your self the gift of a special dividend payment.

Today’s stock will pay a nice special dividend before the end of December and then continue to pay monthly dividends throughout the year. You can think of this as the gift to yourself that keeps on giving.

Main Street Capital (NYSE: MAIN) is a monthly dividend paying business development company (BDC).  The company has also paid semi-annual, supplemental dividends since 2013. The next supplemental payout lands in investor brokerage accounts on December 27 and is equal to 150% of the normal monthly dividend.

To earn this special 27.5 cents per share dividend, you must buy shares at least a day before the ex-dividend date of December 17. That means buy shares on December 16 or earlier. Your new shares will start earning the monthly dividends, with a payment on January 15.

A BDC is a closed-end investment company, like closed-end mutual funds (CEF). The difference is that a CEF owns stock shares and bonds, while a BDC makes direct investments into its client companies. A BDC will have up to hundreds of outstanding investments to spread the risk across many small companies. The client companies of a BDC will be corporations that are too small or too new to be able to issue stock or bonds into the publicly traded markets.

As a risk control factor, BDCs are limited to no more than two times its equity in leverage. This means that if a BDC has $500 million of equity raised from selling shares, it can borrow another $1 billion. The company can then make $1.5 billion of loans or equity investments.

Main Street Capital Stands Apart

Main Street Capital Corp. is really quite different from the rest of the BDC crowd. Since its 2007 IPO, MAIN has tripled the total return average of its BDC peers. Here is a list of some of the reasons why this company stands apart from its peers in the industry:

  • MAIN is internally managed with insiders owning over 2.8 million shares. Co-founder, Chairman, and CEO Vince Foster is the single largest individual shareholder.
  • Main Street is the most conservatively managed BDC in the industry and holds an investment grade BBB credit rating. Investment grade is rare among the BDC crowd and allows Main Street to borrow at a much lower cost of capital compared to most other BDCs.
  • Operating, admin, and management costs are 1.5% of assets compared to 3.2% for the average BDC and 2.7% for commercial banks.
  • Net debt is just 0.62 times company equity, well below the 2.0 times maximum set by law.
  • The share price is about 1.5 times the book or NAV value.

MAIN uses a two-tier approach to its portfolio. This unique strategy allows Main Street to generate a high level of interest income and capital gains from equity investments. In the middle market, MAIN provides debt financing to companies with stable finances and low risk of default.

The rules governing BDCs make it difficult to generate growth. Most companies in the sector experience declining book values and are eventually forced into dividend cuts. Main Street Capital has a different business model that has resulted in dividend growth and share price appreciation. This is a stock that should be in every income investor’s portfolio.

Starting today you can stop worrying about the market and instead fundamentally transform your income stream from a string of near misses to a steady, reliable flow of income right into your bank account.

It all starts with a simple to use, yet powerful calendar – called the The Monthly Dividend Paycheck Calendar, like the one below, only with more details. It’s kind of like the one you might have on your desk, only this one tells you when you’ll get paid and how much you’ll receive each and every month.

No more guesswork, no more confusion, no more worrying if you did the right thing… just steady paychecks coming like clockwork…

Paychecks currently averaging $3,409.21 every month. That’s money in the bank for you regardless how volatile remains for the rest of the year.

Pay Your Bills for LIFE with These Dividend Stocks

Get your hands on my most comprehensive, step-by-step dividend plan yet. In just a few minutes, you will have a 36-month road map that could generate $4,804 (or more!) per month for life. It's the perfect supplement to Social Security and works even if the stock market tanks. Over 6,500 retirement investors have already followed the recommendations I've laid out.

Click here for complete details to start your plan today.

Source: Investors Alley

Earn 12% In A Month On This Twitter Covered Call

Twitter (NYSE: TWTR) is one of those companies which often poses a conundrum to investors. On one hand, the microblogging site has become an essential tool for following breaking news and insights into everything from sports to finance to politics. On the other hand, despite the popularity, the company doesn’t have an obvious path to ramp up monetization of its user base.

Regarding the issue of monetization, the company primarily makes its money on ad revenues. However, Twitter ads get mixed reviews as far as effectiveness. And frankly, the company doesn’t have many alternative for generating revenues outside of ads. Selling/licensing customer data (trends, etc.) is certainly a big growth area, but it has a ways to go to make a real impact on revenues.

On the bright side, Twitter is pretty much a must-have product for anyone who utilizes social networking. Active Twitter users include the President of the US, just about every famous athlete and entertainer, and a multitude of industry experts. For concise and/or breaking news, there’s simply no better source available.

It’s easy to see why investors are bullish on the stock. Yet, it’s equally logical to see the argument from those who may be skeptical on future growth potential. Look no further than Facebook (NASDAQ: FB) to see the potential perils of a public social media company. (Of course, TWTR has its own challenges with how it handles First Amendment issues.)

So how do you trade TWTR if you’re bullish on the stock but are concerned about downside risk?

As I matter of fact, I recently came across an interesting covered call trade in TWTR which provides a nice balance between risk and return. The beauty of covered calls is they can provide a hedge, income, and growth potential all in one trade.

This particular covered call involves selling 2,000 of the January 18th 40 call versus stock at $36.73. In other words, the trader purchased 200,000 shares of TWTR while simultaneously selling the 40 calls 2,000 times. The calls were sold for $1.10 meaning the trader collects $220,000 in premium.

First off, the $1.10 in premium collected also serves a hedge for the long stock. It protects the trader down to $35.63. Moreover, that premium represents a 3% yield on the trade, which expires in just over a month. That represent almost a 36% annualized yield.

In addition, since the trader is selling out-of-the-money calls (at the 40 strike), there is also stock appreciation potential. An additional $3.27 can be earned if the stock goes to $40 or higher by expiration. That’s represent another 9% in gains. All told, if TWTR has a good month, this trade can make as much as 12%. (In dollar terms, the trade can make about $875,000 at max gain.)

If you’re bullish on TWTR but worried about overall market conditions or company specific bad news, this is exactly the sort of trade you want to be making. You earn the 3% yield no matter what. The trade also provides a limited hedge on the stock price if the market sells off. And, you still have an additional 9% upside potential in stock appreciation.

It’s hard to argue with a relatively safe trade that can also produce 12% gains in about a month. If this trade appeals to you, I believe it’s a nice addition to any income-producing portfolio.

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Source: Investors Alley

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