Easy Way To Make 133% Profits From Higher Interest Rates

Despite all the headlines about the upcoming trade summit with China, it’s interest rate expectations that are more likely driving the financial markets. Yes, a trade war with China is bad for both countries (and the global economy) and a resolution would certainly be good news for stocks.

However, from a global perspective, interest rate levels are far more impactful on the markets. What happens with interest rates, or more precisely, with interest rate expectations, has a rippling effect across multiple asset classes.

Changing interest rates affect housing prices, commodity prices, companies with a lot of debt, companies looking to borrow, consumer spending, and everything in between. So, when Fed Chair Powell seemed to back off on another interest rate hike in December, it’s not a huge surprise that stocks rocketed higher.

On the other hand, rather than go down (or do nothing), long-term interest rates actually appeared to go a bit higher. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ: TLT) is a very common way to track long rates and is probably the most heavily traded ETF related to interest rates.  TLT tracks bond prices which move inversely to interest rates.

You can see from the chart that TLT dropped after Powell made his dovish statement on interest rates. While the ETF definitely recovered from its lows, it certainly did not move higher – which many investors may have expected with the Fed potentially pausing its rate increase timeline.

So what does it mean?

First off, bond prices are very forward looking, and the Fed pausing a rate hike is probably a temporary situation. It’s not likely at this point that rates are going to go back down. That could change at some point, but clearly bond traders don’t believe now is that time.

What’s more, the Fed generally operates at the front-end of the Treasury yield curve. That is, it pulls levers which impact short-term rates. TLT is based on long-term rates. While short-term rates clearly have a direct effect on long-term rates, they don’t always have to move in unison. The shape of the yield curve can change as well (long and short rates moving at different times, to different extents).

As always, for further guidance, I like to see what the options market is saying. Here’s a trade that caught my interest…

A well-capitalized trader purchased 10,000 of the TLT December 21st 113-114 put spreads for $0.43 with TLT trading at $114.70. That means the trader bought the 114 puts and simultaneously sold the 113 puts. The total dollar cost of the trade is $430,000, which is also the max loss if TLT remains above $114 on December expiration.

However, if TLT drops to $113 or below, the trader makes $570,000, or 133% gains. Keep in mind, TLT only needs to drop $1.70 over the next 3 weeks for max gain to be reached. That’s only a 1.5% move in the ETF.

Basically, the trader is betting on (or hedging against) a small drop in bond prices (or a slightly higher move in long-term interest rates) by the end of the year. You many not think that a $1 wide put spread is going to be very lucrative, but as you can see, it only takes a small move in TLT for the trade to generate 133% in profits.

If you think rates are going higher or want to protect against the scenario, this trade is a cheap, easy way to do so.

 

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Market Preview: Trade Hope Floats Markets into December

Markets moved gingerly higher on Friday in hopes that some progress toward resolving the China/U.S. trade war will emerge from this weekend’s G20 Summit. President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are scheduled to share dinner Saturday evening and discuss trade matters. Trade tariff bellwether Caterpillar rose over 4% in anticipation of good news out of the meeting between the two leaders. With the Fed softening its stance on interest rates triggering a rally earlier in the week, progress toward a trade tariff solution could propel the markets straight into a Santa Claus rally in December.  But, given the contentious nature of the trade talks thus far, many analysts are taking a wait and see attitude toward the weekend’s talks. With a ramp-up in tariffs looming, many see this meeting as a last hope for resolution before the trade war moves to a new level.

Finisar (FNSR) and Smartsheet (SMAR) kick off the final month of the year when they report earnings on  Monday. Finisar rallied nicely from the October market selloff when it was announced November 9th that II-IV (IIIV) would be acquiring the fiber optic subsystem, test and monitoring company. Analysts will be looking for an update on the deal, including the expected closing date and whether the company anticipates any hurdles to the closing. Smartsheet will be reporting its third earnings numbers since the company went public in April. The cloud based work management company has taken investors on a bit of a roller coaster ride since going public, but is up nicely from its IPO. Also reporting Monday are Coupa Software (COUP) and Mesa Air (MESA).

The economic reporting week kicks off Monday with both PMI and ISM manufacturing data. Analysts will be looking for any weakness in the numbers due to tariff issues as news from the G20 Summit is first reflected in the markets on Monday. Construction spending numbers will also be released, and are expected to come in flat month-over-month. Tuesday, motor vehicle sales and Redbook retail numbers will be released. PMI services and ISM non-manufacturing data will be presented on Wednesday. Investors will also be focusing on comments from Fed Chairman Powell as he gives his first speech following this weeks apparent change in direction by the Fed. The Chairman is scheduled to speak at 10:15. Other data coming Wednesday includes the ADP employment report and mortgage application numbers. Thursday we’ll get the Challenger job cut report and jobless claims, as well as international trade numbers and factory orders. We’ll close out the first week of December with the employment situation numbers, wholesale trade, and consumer sentiment on Friday.

Notable earnings reports next week include Dollar General (DG) and Autozone (AZO) on Tuesday. Followed by Five Below (FIVE) and lululemon (LULU) on Wednesday. This combination of retailers should provide a good view of how holiday sales on both the value and high end are shaping up so far. Thursday brings a broad view of the economy as Kroger (KR), Ulta Beauty (ULTA) and Broadcom (AVGO) all report. The last two earnings reports of the week will come from Johnson Outdoors (JOUT) and Vail Resorts (MTN) on Friday.

 

 

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Buffett could see this new asset run 2,524% in 2018. And he's not the only one... Mark Cuban says "it's the most exciting thing I've ever seen." Mark Zuckerberg threw down $19 billion to get a piece... Bill Gates wagered $26 billion trying to control it...
What is it?
It's not gold, crypto or any mainstream investment. But these mega-billionaires have bet the farm it's about to be the most valuable asset on Earth. Wall Street and the financial media have no clue what's about to happen...And if you act fast, you could earn as much as 2,524% before the year is up.
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The Tech Sell-Off? Wake Me When Amazon Hits $200

As some of the tech darlings have fallen rather sharply over the past couple of months, I begin to get the inevitable questions about the wisdom of buying these market darlings.

Everyone just assumes that because I am an investor, I care about these stocks. After all, they’re the ones on the news and in the papers – the stock market equivalent of “must-see TV.” The truth is that I don’t give a rat’s furry behind about the “growth and glamour” stocks.

Why? I could never justify paying the multiples of asset value and cash flow that these stocks fetch at any given moment in time… except in the aftermath of a precipitous decline.

But are they on sale “enough” to suit my tastes or, since you’re here, move me to recommend that you spend your hard-earned ducats on them?

Let’s have a look…

Not Every Sell-Off Is a True Opportunity

But surely, my friends say, as a value investor, I must be excited because these giants have fallen in price.

How far? The slide’s been pretty steep.

During the depths of the sell-off, Facebook Inc. (NASDAQ: FB) sank as low as 40% off the highs. The great and mighty Amazon.com Inc.  (NASDAQ: AMZN) was down over 25%. Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) became a member of the “minus 30%” club. Even Alphabet’s Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) was down almost 20%.

This is a bloodbath of historic proportions, according to the talking heads and internet geniuses. They must be a buy at these levels!

Let’s walk through some fundamental deep value, “dealmaker” math, shall we?

I buy stocks like the modern-day private equity funds, and other buyers of last resort, buy entire companies. I don’t want to pay more than seven, maybe eight times cash-flow multiples for non-financial companies, and less than the net value of the assets owned by financial companies and REITs.

The only exception to these rules is in my Heatseekers’ Rational liquidation Value Strategy where we only pay a discount to the liquidation value of the firm.

I’m an even bigger cheapskate than that.

I’m only willing to pay for what is – I wouldn’t assign a red cent of value to “forecasted” or “projected” results. The way these folks get creative with accounting? Please! Instead, I have rules, and the controls are a lot like my wife in that they must be obeyed and deviation from what is proven to work is done at great hazard to life, limb, and loot.

Let’s look at what happens when we apply that math to the Titans of Tech.

When Glitzy Tech Meets “Dealmaker Math”

Facebook has generated a cash flow of about $8 a share over the past 12 months. Using my rules, the stock is worth at most $64 a share.  Even after falling almost 40% already, the stock would have to drop another 50% to get my attention.

But I also have to consider the fact that I am only going to fork over my hard-fought money for companies I really, actually want to own. Given the complete and utter clown show we’ve seen from Mark “Deer in Headlights” Zuckerberg, Sheryl “Lean In” Sandberg, and other Facebook C-suite characters in recent weeks, I’m not sure I want to own Facebook.

In fact, I could make that a new rule: When you’re considering buying a company, make sure the leadership has avoided subpoenas and command appearances in front of Congress, the British Parliament, and the European Commission to explain “where we messed up.”

Anyway, that means I am probably only going to be willing to buy the stock if the price is $56 or less.

Now let us turn to Amazon. That’s a trickier issue altogether.

I would love to own Amazon. I use Amazon pretty much every day of my life – you probably do, too. I confess, I’m a wholehearted, joyful Kindle addict. The world’s most beautiful granddaughter has her supply of toys and super-cute clothing replenished by the UPS or FedEx man almost daily, all courtesy of Amazon Prime with free two-day shipping.

I am a huge fan of the newspapers, even occasionally The Washington Post. Furthermore, I’m forever indebted to Jeff Bezos for NOT plunking a headquarters here in my backyard in Florida, what with all the traffic and housing problems that would have caused.

In fact, I like Amazon so much I am going to get really aggressive in defining cash flow to arrive at the highest possible number I can use without vomiting in my lap.

I’m going to overpay, and use a multiple of a sky-high 10 to value that cash flow. I am also going to add the per-share value of their assets to my total valuation (If I had any employees, I would fire one that did that, but I really do like this company, so I want to make the buy-below number as high as possible).

Adding all this up, with a heart full of charity and goodwill and warm, fuzzy stuff, I find… at most I’m willing to pay up to $193 for shares of Amazon.

They are around $1,600 today. This could take a while.

I am not a huge fan of Netflix (I prefer Amazon Prime and Hulu), but my wife and daughters love it.

Doing the deal math with Netflix, I find that I am willing to pay a whopping $25 for the business. A real dig into the balance sheet and income statements tells me that while it is an okay business, it is not a great one. Only bargain multiples can be justified to value the stock.

Now let’s look at Google, or as it prefers to be called, Alphabet. I have a tech friend that calls it the Evil Empire for its data collection and usage practices, and I tend to agree.

However, I didn’t flinch from buying big tobacco or defense companies when they traded at bargain levels, and I won’t hesitate if I get the chance to buy the Darth Vader of Data at the right price, either. Oooh darn, but that price is $380 or less… So I guess I won’t own evil anytime soon, with Google’s price currently over $1,000.

When Value Is on the Line, You Must Be a Hard Case

Usually, when I walk someone through this exercise, they remark that using this type of rigid valuation standard means that I won’t ever own the really great companies that tend to trade at higher valuations.

For the most part, that’s true – and for the most part, I am okay with that. And I certainly wouldn’t hold it against you if we ever met and you mentioned you owned every single one of the FAANGs.

As for me, when I can buy nut farmers, grease collection companies, and other boring businesses that multiply my money many times over in the long term, I’m as happy as an alligator with a fried chicken in its jaws.

Will I miss some exciting moves to the upside when every talking head and their sister mention the FAANGs? Maybe so. But I’ll miss all of the disastrous collapses, too.

In my mind, that’s a damn good trade.

I do not do this to be exciting. I invest to make money, and lots of it – and help a few like-minded individuals also achieve consistent profitability in their investing endeavors.

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Buffett could see this new asset run 2,524% in 2018. And he's not the only one... Mark Cuban says "it's the most exciting thing I've ever seen." Mark Zuckerberg threw down $19 billion to get a piece... Bill Gates wagered $26 billion trying to control it...
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Source: Money Morning 

5 Dividend Doublers That Run Laps Around the Market

If you want to figure out how long it will take to double your money in an investment, you use the “Rule of 72.” But income investors can put this rule to work, too, to figure out just how quickly their dividends will pile up.

I’ll show you how – and I’ll show you five dividend stocks that are on pace to double their dividends in just seven years.

The Rule of 72 is just a simple equation you can use to project the amount of time it would take to double your investment money. The equation:

72 / compound annual interest rate = # of years to double your investment.

So let’s say the S&P 500 returns an average of 8% a year. 72 / 8 = 9. That means it should take about nine years for someone holding a market fund such as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) or Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) to double their money.

Obviously, I aim to do better.

But you can also use this equation to figure out how quickly your dividends should grow over time, which will help you figure out your eventual yield on cost.

For instance, say a stock yields just 3% now, but is on pace to double its dividend in just five years, you can essentially plan for a much healthier 6% yield on cost in a short amount of time. That would be an income play you and I could get behind!

Let’s use the S&P 500 as an example again. The index has grown its dividend at an average of 8.2% per year over the past five years. The math isn’t much different – it’ll take just under a decade for the S&P 500 to double the dividends it pays out.

That’s a little sluggish for my tastes, especially considering there are numerous dividend payers that are acting with a lot more urgency. Today, I’m going to point you in the direction of five stocks whose payouts are booming. These firms have been boosting their payouts by an average of at least 10% every single year (and in many cases more) – putting them on pace to double their dividends in just seven years or less!

Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH)

Dividend Yield: 1.4%

5-Year Average Dividend Growth: 13.7%

American information technology and management firm Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) isn’t the first, second or hundredth stock on most investors’ lists. But it’s worth a look, both for its array of business arms and the stellar results they’re driving.

Booz Allen Hamilton is perhaps best known for its consulting business, which has been used historically for tasks ranging from World War II preparations to the merger of the National Football League with the AFL. BAH also deals in analytics, digital solutions, cybersecurity and even engineering.

All told, Booz Allen has more than 25,000 employees working across 400-plus locations in more than 20 countries. Nearly 70% of which hold security clearances, which speaks to its heavy ties to the government – in fact, the federal government was responsible for 97% of the company’s $6.2 billion in fiscal 2018 revenues.

This has fueled a general uptrend in both revenues and net income since its 2010 IPO, which in turn have powered a very consistently growing dividend.

Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH): An Unheralded Growth-and-Dividend-Growth Play

The company improved its payout by a pair of pennies to 19 cents quarterly this year – a 12% improvement that’s not far off its five-year average dividend growth of roughly 14%. And that dividend isn’t even 30% of this year’s projected $2.64 in profits, which means the company has oodles of room to write larger checks for years to come.

MasterCard (MA)

Dividend Yield: 0.5%

5-Year Average Dividend Growth: 17.8%

Credit card use isn’t new to you and me. In fact, plastic has been around so long that you probably think almost everyone uses a credit or debit card and that there’s not much market left to grow into.

Wrong. Strategic research and consulting firm RBR’s “Global Payment Cards Data and Forecasts to 2022” report shows that global payment-card use grew 8% worldwide to 14 billion in 2016, and that number is expected to balloon by 22% to 17 billion by the year 2022.

That’s fantastic news for MasterCard (MA) – the No. 2 player not just in the U.S., but in Europe, in Africa and in Latin America.

The important thing to remember about Mastercard and rival Visa (V) is that while they seem like financial stocks, they’re really closer to being technology stocks – they’re not lenders, just payment processors. That means they need to constantly innovate to stay ahead of the game, which Mastercard has been doing via its recently announced Digital Commerce Solutions, which includes a plan to make all its cards support token authentication within two years, and a partnership with Southeast Asia’s Grab to offer virtual prepaid solutions for the ride-hailing company’s 110 million customers.

MasterCard pulls in roughly $12.5 billion annually across its worldwide payments network. The company did nearly $1.5 trillion in gross dollar volume around the globe in the third quarter alone, across some 2.5 billion cards – up 4% year-over-year. MA has produced steady growth for years, which has translated into explosive growth in the dividend – to the tune of roughly 18% annually over the past half-decade.

And its 25-cent quarterly dividend? That comes out to a mere 15% of this year’s projected earnings, which means MasterCard could triple its payout overnight and still have more payout headroom than most established dividend-paying blue chips.

MasterCard’s (MA) Dividend Is Charging Ahead

Better still: Shares have a lot of “catching up” to do with the payout.

Vail Resorts (MTN)

Dividend Yield: 2.2%

5-Year Average Dividend Growth: 48.0%

Vail Resorts (MTN) – a play on the “experience economy” – is essentially the future of ski lodges. Vail, as well as a few other groups, are buying up ski resorts, lodges and other operations across the U.S. and around the world, and bringing them under one brand to better serve wealthy customers whose particular destination tastes may change from time to time.

Vail is split into three divisions:

Mountain: This entails the company’s premier mountain resorts, including the namesake Vail, as well as Breckenridge (Colorado), Northstar (Lake Tahoe, California), Perisher (Australia) and Whistler Blackcomb (Canada), among others.

Source: Vail Resorts’ 2018 Investors Conference Presentation

Lodging: Vail Resorts Hospitality owns several properties around its various resorts, including five RockResorts luxury hotels, as well as a National Park contract at Grand Teton National Park and an airport-to-resort transportation company, Colorado Mountain Express.

Real Estate Development: Lastly, Vail Resorts Development Company helps plan, market and otherwise develop property around the resorts, including communities and private clubs.

One of Vail’s biggest sources of growth is its “Season Pass,” which allows guests to use its various resorts, rather than tethering customers to one particular resort. Pass sales have grown at 13% annually on average since fiscal 2012, to more than 78,000 in FY2018.

The result has been steady growth pretty much across the board, including free cash flow, which has improved every year since 2012 – from $57.1 million then to $338.6 million in FY2017.

Vail has been generous with that cash, too, growing its dividend by nearly half every year on average over the past five years. Its current $1.47 quarterly dividend comes out to 75% of this year’s profits, but just 65% of next year’s. Don’t expect nearly 50% dividend expansion going forward, but as long as MTN’s earnings swell like they’re expected to, Vail Resorts should be a dividend growth machine.

Southwest Airlines (LUV)

Dividend Yield: 1.2%

5-Year Average Dividend Growth: 74.1%

Southwest Airlines (LUV) is, as I’ve said before, a “breath of fresh air” in the airline industry. In a business that seems to pride itself on kicking puppies and pushing down old ladies, Southwest has set itself apart on the most bizarre of concepts: Treating humans like humans.

This year alone, Southwest has topped J.D. Power’s study for customer service among low-cost airlines in North America, took home four TripAdvisor Travelers’ Choice awards and was No. 2 on Indeed’s top-rated workplaces.

Of course, being nice isn’t everything. You have to make money. And Southwest makes money. The airline has been profitable for 45 consecutive years despite its strong price-competitiveness. In the third quarter, LUV brought in $615 million in earnings – its best Q3 in company history.

That same quarter, the company returned $591 million to shareholders via share repurchases and buybacks. The majority of that ($500 million) was repurchases, but LUV is far, far, far from a distribution slouch. Southwest has pumped up its payout from a mere penny per share at the beginning of 2013 to 16 cents as of this year’s distribution – itself a hefty 28% improvement.

And at a mere 15% of this year’s projected profits, the sky’s the limit on future payout hikes.

Southwest’s (LUV) Dividend Takes Flight

Vulcan Materials (VMC)

Dividend Yield: 1.1%

5-Year Average Dividend Growth: 94.7%

I’m not sure what you think of when you think about a company that has been able to nearly double its dividend every year on average for a half-decade … but it’s probably not Vulcan Materials (VMC).

Vulcan Materials produces the stuff construction is made of: crushed stone, sand, gravel, asphalt and ready-mixed concrete.

Vulcan is the king of what it does – it’s the largest aggregates producer in the U.S. And the company says that “75% of the U.S. population growth from 2010 to 2020 is projected to occur in Vulcan-served states,” meaning it’s perfectly positioned to capture the lions’ share of building projects as time goes on.

The company’s third-quarter report showed just what kinds of tailwinds VMC has been riding to turn the business around from its struggles in the Great Recession. Vulcan’s daily shipping rates were up 6% year-over-year, pricing momentum improved by 3% and unit cost of sales actually declined 2% despite a 28% spike in the cost of diesel. Best of all, cash gross profits per ton improved 6% year-over-year.

Vulcan Materials (VMC) Is Fully Recovered From the Financial Crisis

That money is going straight into investors’ pockets. The company has electrified its payout from a penny per share back in 2013 to a current 28 cents per share – and even then, the company isn’t even doling out 30% of its profits in dividends.

Vulcan isn’t your typical dividend play, but then again, we don’t want typical – we want extraordinary.

Earn a 28% Return in 1 Year From America’s Safest Stocks

These stocks will inflate your dividends faster than almost any other plays on Wall Street, but why wait years for thick dividends when you can get them today?

I’m not talking about the slightly better yields you’ll find in slow-growth stocks like consumer staples Coca-Cola (KO)and Procter & Gamble (PG). You know these tired plays: They’ve chugged along for years, so investors hang on to them hoping to squeeze out 3% yields and a few percentage points a year in growth.

But you can do better than these middling yields from these middling blue chips. Much, much better. In fact, this is one of the best income opportunities I’ve researched in years.

What if I told you that you could turn some of Wall Street’s most exciting, growth-oriented stocks, such as Visa (V)and Google-parent Alphabet (GOOGL), into “double threat” holdings that deliver double-digit upside and 8%-plus dividends? Well, given that Visa pays less than 1% and Alphabet doesn’t deliver a single penny in income, you’d probably call me crazy …

These stocks have extremely specialized businesses that allow them to do the seemingly impossible: They can actually wring high-single-digit dividends from some of the most skinflint companies in America. One of my Dividend Conversion Machines takes Visa’s 0.6% payouts and magnifies it to 9.2%. Another one can take Google’s 0% and produce a 9.4% yield out of thin air.

And no, this isn’t an options strategy, or some dangerous derivative, or the “next Bitcoin.” What I’m going to show you is perfectly SAFE – it’s essentially the same as buying traditional American blue-chip stocks. In fact, I’ll even show you the four steps you’ll need right now:

  1. Launch your web browser.
  2. Go to your trading account.
  3. Instead of entering a buy order for, say, Disney by entering the stock’s “DIS” symbol, enter the 3-letter code for one of my 4 Dividend Conversion Machines instead.
  4. Instead of getting Disney’s 1.6% dividend, start collecting an 8%+ income stream!

That’s it!

Contrarian Outlook 

Editor's Note: The stock market is way up – and that’s terrible news for us dividend investors. Yields haven’t been this low in decades! But there are still plenty of great opportunities to secure meaningful income if you know where to look. Brett Owens' latest report reveals how you can easily (and safely) rake in 8%+ dividends and never worry about drawing down your capital again. Click here for full details!

Buy These 2 Artificial Intelligence Leaders in Pharma

Despite the recent announcement from drug giant Pfizer that it was raising prices by an average of 5% on about 10% of its drugs on January 15, the warning signs for the industry’s profitability are becoming more frequent.

The latest drug pricing proposal from Senator Bernie Sanders had some similarities to one from the Trump Administration. Down the road, that may lead to a compromise and one of the few areas Democrats and Republicans can agree on – restraining the steady rise in drug prices. And it’s easy to see why – in 2016, total U.S. prescription drug expenditures were estimated at $450 billion!

Big Pharma’s Dilemma

This leaves the large pharmaceutical companies in a dilemma. One the one side is the government trying to restrain prices while on the other side is the hard, cold fact that research and development of new drugs is growing more costly with the returns on this R&D shrinking every year.

On average, it takes about 12 years of research and development and an expenditure of $2.6 billion to move an experimental new drug from the laboratory to the market. Yet, their business is to find new drugs to treat patients.

Keep in mind that the most recent data from the CDC shows that 48.9% of Americans have a chronic condition that requires them taking at least one prescription drug within the last 30 days. I have to take three meds daily and I’m sure you, or someone in your immediate family, has a need for a prescription medicine.

A study centered on the 12 biggest pharmaceutical firms from Deliotte highlighted the recent negative R&D trend for these companies. Here are a few of the highlights of that study:

  • R&D returns have declined to 3.2%, down from 10.1% in 2010
  • Projected peak sales per asset decreased by more than half between 2010 and 2016
  • The uptick in costs and sales per asset in 2017 was due to the drop in the number of assets in late-stage pipelines—from 189 in 2016 down to 159 in 2017.

So what can these companies do to turn their fortunes around?

One solution lies in emerging technologies such as robotics, big data and artificial intelligence (AI). Both drug companies and the technology giants are investing billions of dollars into AI, hoping it will make the drug discovery process both faster and cheaper.

AI and Pharma Research

In February 2018, Eric Horvitz – director of Microsoft Research Labs told the annual meeting of the American Association of the Advancement for Science – “I believe that AI is a sleeping giant for healthcare in general.” He said Microsoft was investing in AI for drug design and pharmacology, which studies how drugs act in the body, and called the technology a “tremendous opportunity.”

And Microsoft is far from alone in its AI bet. The Toronto-based biotech company BenchSci says more than 16 pharma firms and over 60 startups were using AI for drug discovery.

The biggest bottlenecks in drug development usually occur in the very early stages of research. That involves the the time needed in going from identifying a potential disease target (often a protein within the body) to testing whether a company’s drug candidate can hit that target. The most ambitious AI efforts aim to compress that process — which can take four to six years — into just one year.

2018 has been a banner year, with a huge jump in investment from big pharma, often in conjunction with health tech groups, into using AI. The research firm Deep Knowledge Analytics says at least 15 firms have integrated AI into their drug discovery process.

The major pharma firms are taking varied approaches – some are partnering with health tech groups, some are keeping everything in-house, and some are following both paths.

Some the major pharma firms involved include: GlaxoSmithKline with ExscientiaAstraZeneca and Sanofi with Berg Health and Merck with Numerate. Some companies though are working with AI in-house. Positive developments here include Pfizer using AI to mine patient data — stored anonymously in electronic medical records — for signs of a rare form of heart failure. And Novartis hopes a drug partially developed using AI will be registered within the next 36 months.

I believe using AI in drug discovery will be quite commonplace by the middle of the next decade. So what companies will be leading the way? Let me give you a couple of the top candidates among the major pharmaceutical companies.

Two Companies Leading the Way

GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE: GSK) is probably the most active of all pharmaceutical companies in applying artificial intelligence to drug discovery. It even created an in-house artificial intelligence unit called the “In silico Drug Discovery Unit.”

GSK has partnered with startups including Exscientia and Insilico Medicine.The partnership with Excscientia, announced in July 2017, has a goal of discovering novel small molecules for up to 10 disease-related targets across several therapeutic areas. The partnership with Insilico, announced in August 2017, is to identify novel biological targets and pathways.

The company is also part of the Accelerating Therapeutics for Opportunities in Medicine (ATOM) Consortium, which aims to leverage artificial intelligence to go from drug target to patient-ready therapy in less than a year. GSK gave ATOM some very useful ‘big data’ – chemical and in vitro biological data for more than two million compounds it has screened.

Other notable efforts in the AI space from GSK include the announcement in May 2018 of a partnership with Cloud Pharmaceuticals to use AI for the design of novel small molecule drugs. And the company is also working with Googleon applying AI to drug discovery. Researchers from the two firms have already developed a machine learning algorithm to identify protein crystals.

Another of my favorites in the sector with regard to the use of AI is the Swiss drug giant, Roche Holding Ltd. (OTC: RHHBY). This company’s stock, in the form of an ADR that trades well over 1.2 million shares a day, has been a slow and steady climber. It is very near its 52-week high despite a terrible stock market background.

In June 2017, Genentech (a Roche subsidiary) announced a collaboration with the precision medicine firm GNS Healthcare focused on cancer therapy. The companies aim to use machine learning to convert high volumes of cancer patient data into computer models that can be used to identify novel targets for cancer therapy. Among the investors into GNS Healthcare are Amgen and Celgene.

Back in December 2014, Roche acquired Bina Technologies, a biotech company targeting the personalized medicine sector by providing a platform for large-scale genome sequencing. In its description of services, Bina Technologies has machine learning experts as part of its team.

Finally, Roche is another of the handful of pharmaceutical partners for the aforementioned Boston-based Berg Health, a company focused on applying AI in for the discovery and development of drugs, as well as diagnostics and healthcare applications.

High attrition rates among drug candidates are one of the main reasons for expensive drug prices, as pharma companies look to offset the cost of failed projects against the very few successful ones. Improving productivity though AI holds out hope that the attrition rate will drop, lowering drug prices.

Buffett just went all-in on THIS new asset. Will you?
Buffett could see this new asset run 2,524% in 2018. And he's not the only one... Mark Cuban says "it's the most exciting thing I've ever seen." Mark Zuckerberg threw down $19 billion to get a piece... Bill Gates wagered $26 billion trying to control it...
What is it?
It's not gold, crypto or any mainstream investment. But these mega-billionaires have bet the farm it's about to be the most valuable asset on Earth. Wall Street and the financial media have no clue what's about to happen...And if you act fast, you could earn as much as 2,524% before the year is up.
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Source: Investors Alley 

Market Preview: Fed Changes Tune on Interest Rates and Market Booms

Almost two months after saying interest rates were “a long way” from neutral, and causing a communal hand-wringing across Wall Street, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reversed course today stating that interest rates are “just below…the level that would be neutral for the economy.” The Chairman went on to state that the Fed has “no preset policy path,” and that it is “paying very close attention to what incoming economic and financial data are telling us.” Mr. Powell’s remarks sent the market into rally mode apparently taking off the table one of the major barriers to a higher stock market – an aggressive Fed raising rates on a preset path with no regard to developing data. A rapidly deteriorating housing market, year-over-year numbers released earlier today showed a 12% decline in new home sales, badly missing estimates, likely played a major role in the Fed Chairman’s apparent about face.

Workday (WDAY) reports earnings on Thursday. The HCM (human capital management) software company has been growing rapidly both organically and through acquisitions. Investors will be interested to hear the company’s latest projections on when it will reach positive earnings given its strong revenue growth. Also reporting on Thursday is Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF). The company’s Hollister brand, which had been carrying the water for the stock in recent quarters, did not see the double digit comps investors had come to expect when ANF last reported. While cost cutting has been trending positive, analysts want to see a return to growth for the company’s flagship brand to get the stock back into the $20s. Also reporting numbers on Thursday are Vmware (VMW) and HP Inc. (HPQ).

While the rest of the week’s economic numbers will likely not have the impact of Chairman Powell’s speech Wednesday, there is still a variety of economic data to report. Thursday morning will see the release of jobless claims, personal income and outlays, and pending home sales. Once again the home sales data will be front and center for market analysts. The month-over-month number is expected to come in flat, but after today’s new home sales miss it will not be surprising to see more weakness than expected. We’ll close the economic reporting for November on Friday when Chicago PMI and the Baker-Hughes rig count numbers are released. Analysts will be interested to see if rig counts are still trending higher given the recent collapse in oil prices and reports that both the U.S. and Saudi Arabia are pumping oil at record levels.

Friday investors will comb through earnings from BRP (DOOO) and Fang Holdings (SFUN). BRP, the maker of Sea-Doo personal watercraft and Can-Am bikes, today announced a reorganization of the leadership of the company’s Powersports Group. Analysts will be expecting a rundown of the new team and whether the reorg reflects taking the group in a new direction. Chinese real estate internet portal Fang Holdings has been a disaster for the company’s stockholders in 2018. Investors will want an update on company plans to address the weakness in China and where the company sees the Chinese market heading in 2019.  

Buffett just went all-in on THIS new asset. Will you?
Buffett could see this new asset run 2,524% in 2018. And he's not the only one... Mark Cuban says "it's the most exciting thing I've ever seen." Mark Zuckerberg threw down $19 billion to get a piece... Bill Gates wagered $26 billion trying to control it...
What is it?
It's not gold, crypto or any mainstream investment. But these mega-billionaires have bet the farm it's about to be the most valuable asset on Earth. Wall Street and the financial media have no clue what's about to happen...And if you act fast, you could earn as much as 2,524% before the year is up.
Click here to find out what it is.

3 Crash Proof Income Investments to Weather Market Volatility

I don’t currently believe the higher level of stock market volatility is a sign that the next economic recession is right around the corner. Yet, I could be wrong, and the market could also plunge into a bear market without the drop being triggered by the economy going to negative growth.

My income investing strategy remains focused around owning, high-yield, secure dividend paying stocks as best way to navigate the stock market strategy. However, when the market goes down, down, down, it is easier to stick to the plan if you have some money in investments that pay attractive yields and don’t follow the stock market swings.

Here are three ideas to put in your income investing toolbox.

The U.S. Treasury lets individual investors buy Treasury bills, notes, TIPS and bonds without commission at the auction yields through what they call a TreasuryDirect account. The minimum investment amount is $100. By putting your short term cash to work by investing directly in Treasuries, you get the safety of U.S. government issued debt and will earn a higher yield than your bank or brokerage account offers. For example, re-sent auction yields range from 2.2% for the 4-week bill to 2.88% for the 2-year note. For comparison, the Fidelity Government Money Market Fund currently yields 1.85%. Using TreasuryDirect helps your short-term emergency fund money work a little harder for you.

Compared to short-term Treasury Bills, preferred stock shares sit at the other end of the yield curve. Preferred stock dividends have a distinct safety advantage over common stock dividend payments. A company must pay preferred dividends before paying dividends on the common shares. Many preferred issues are also cumulative, which means that if common and preferred dividend payments are suspended by a company, all the unpaid preferred dividends must be paid before the company can again pay dividends on common shares. The result is that preferred stock is a high yield investment with a very low risk of dividend cuts.

Preferred stock prices will rise in a recession if the Fed reduces interest rates, which it very likely will to stimulate the economy. You need to be aware preferred prices will decline in a rising rate environment. It’s tough to evaluate individual preferred stock issues, so I recommend using a dedicated fund like the iShares U.S. Preferred Stock ETF (NYSE: PFF).

Current yield is 5.8%.

Commodity exposure can be a great hedge against rising prices and inflation. Black Stone Minerals, L.P. (NYSE: BSM) is the largest pure-play oil and gas mineral and royalty owner in the United States. The company has rights to over 20 million mineral and royalty acres with interests in 41 states and 64 producing basins.

Mineral, energy or commodity royalty investments give you exposure to the commodity values without any business operating costs. This means that while commodity prices and your returns from this type of investment will fluctuate, you avoid the risk of a business operation challenges such as insufficient cash flow to pay dividends, or even bankruptcy.

Black Stone Minerals is managed for growth through acquisitions. The distributions paid to investors have grown since the mid-2015 IPO. Commodity exposure is a great hedge against inflation and a depreciating dollar.

BSM currently yields 8.9%.

These three investment ideas will provide a safety net in the case of an economic recession or stock market crash. For my Dividend Hunter subscribers I have searched out even more attractive investments in these three categories.

Starting today you can stop worrying about the market and instead fundamentally transform your income stream from a string of near misses to a steady, reliable flow of income right into your bank account.

Pay Your Bills for LIFE with These Dividend Stocks

Get your hands on my most comprehensive, step-by-step dividend plan yet. In just a few minutes, you will have a 36-month road map that could generate $4,804 (or more!) per month for life. It's the perfect supplement to Social Security and works even if the stock market tanks. Over 6,500 retirement investors have already followed the recommendations I've laid out.

Click here for complete details to start your plan today.

Source: Investors Alley 

These Are the 2 Must-Own Holiday Shopping Stocks

Amazon.com Inc. (NYSE: AMZN) is walking out of Black Friday and Cyber Monday ahead of the pack in the States, but if it’s the only holiday shopping stock you’re looking at now, you’re missing out.

In fact, one of our favorite retailers has turned more profit in five minutes than Jeff Bezos’ e-commerce giant has in an entire day – and it’s far less expensive than Amazon is.

That’s according to Money Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald, whose 34 years of experience in the markets have made him an expert at identifying the best stocks to buy in uncertain market conditions.

See the short video clip below to catch Keith’s recommendation…

Join This Massive 20-Win Trade Streak Tonight

Chris Johnson’s Night Trader system has proven to reign supreme during these past few volatile weeks.

During this same time, it has helped him produce a 20-trade win streak, including gains like 55% and 69% in the same day.

Now, his next recommendation is being released just after closing bell…

Buffett just went all-in on THIS new asset. Will you?
Buffett could see this new asset run 2,524% in 2018. And he's not the only one... Mark Cuban says "it's the most exciting thing I've ever seen." Mark Zuckerberg threw down $19 billion to get a piece... Bill Gates wagered $26 billion trying to control it...
What is it?
It's not gold, crypto or any mainstream investment. But these mega-billionaires have bet the farm it's about to be the most valuable asset on Earth. Wall Street and the financial media have no clue what's about to happen...And if you act fast, you could earn as much as 2,524% before the year is up.
Click here to find out what it is.

Source: Money Morning

10 Tech Stocks to Buy Now for 2025

Source: Shutterstock

Now may seem an unusual time to be talking about buying tech stocks. The tech sector has endured some pretty tough times of late. Even Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL), the big tech daddy, is now down on a year-to-date basis. Meanwhile Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) has lost a whopping 22% in just the last three months.

But if we put these troubles aside for a moment and focus on the longer-term outlook, a different picture emerges. Stretching out to 2025, some of these big-name tech stocks begin to look very attractive indeed — especially at current price levels.

In order to pinpoint which tech stocks will be leading the way seven years from now, I turned to a recent report from RBC Capital. Its “Imagine 2025” portfolio selects the tech stocks the firm believes will be winning on a long-term basis. “We believe the following names are best positioned to outperform over a seven-year time horizon through 2025” writes the firm.

What does this mean for now? It means longer-term investors should think twice before selling the stocks listed below, while other investors may want to keep a close eye on the following stocks as potential buy on the dip opportunities.

So as we head towards the end of a rocky 2018, here are the top tech stocks primed to outperform over the next few years. Let’s take a closer look now:

Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL)

Top Tech Stock: Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL)

Source: Shutterstock

As I said above, Alphabet has not been immune to the market’s recent choppiness.

But at the end of the day this is still a killer stock pick with a “strong buy” analyst consensus on TipRanks. This is with a $1,347 average analyst price target (27% upside potential).

“AMZN and GOOGL, in particular, appear to have invested the most in AI competencies and have the Big Data access and Compute Power infrastructure to benefit most from AI and ML developments” writes RBC Capital.

And Google has an extra string on its bow: its self-driving car unit Waymo. Alphabet most recently disclosed that Waymo reached the 10 million miles of autonomous vehicle driving milestone.

“GOOGL appears particularly well situated to lead autonomous vehicle innovations, given its substantial investments in Waymo autonomous vehicle technology” cheers the firm.

Luckily for Alphabet, RBC believes autonomous vehicles will be arguably one of the biggest applications of AI. Interested in GOOGL stock? Get a free GOOGL Stock Research Report.

Nvidia (NVDA)

Top Tech Stock: Nvidia (NVDA)

Source: Shutterstock

Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) is pushing the boundaries of technology — and this should pay off over the years to come.

Even though Nvidia is suffering short-term setbacks (i.e. weak fiscal Q4 guidance due to high GPU inventory from soft crypto demand) the long-term picture remains very compelling.

For example, Jefferies analyst Mark Lipacis (Track Record & Ratings) calls the January quarter a setback. However he says Nvidia remains “a top play on secular themes” in AI, gaming and autonomous vehicles. He tells investors to “buy the confession.” Indeed his $246 price target suggests near-60% upside potential from current levels.

“While there are no guarantees of a winner in the AI race, we think Nvidia is well ahead of its peers and is continuing to gain traction due primarily to the value of Cuda software” says RBC Capital. It estimates over one million engineers working with Cuda and calls it “the secret sauce that underlies the entire ecosystem.” Get the NVDA Stock Research Report.

Amazon (AMZN)

Top Tech Stock: Amazon (AMZN)

Source: Shutterstock

You probably aren’t surprised to see Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) on this list. The e-commerce company is consistently innovating for the future, be it through acquisitions, technology or entering new markets.

One interesting advancement for the company is in the field of robotics. “Amazon appears particularly well situated to lead robotics innovations, given its ongoing investment in Kiva logistics robots” points out RBC Capital.

The company already deploys something to the tune of 100K Kiva robots — basically a robot army. And it’s now looking increasingly likely that a very large percentage of Amazon’s distribution workforce will be complemented with these robots by 2025.

As RBC concludes, the impact of this should be greater operational efficiency for AMZN stock.

Another interesting trend to consider: AI-powered Voice Recognition will likely improve significantly from current levels, allowing even better use of internet apps via voice commands. Again, Amazon should be a major beneficiary of this trend.

Notably, AMZN boasts one of the best ratings on the Street. Out of 37 analysts polled, only one is sidelined on the stock. This comes with a $2,165 average analyst price target (36% upside potential). Get the AMZN Stock Research Report.

Rapid7 (RPD)

Top Tech Stock: Rapid7 (RPD)

Source: Shutterstock

If you are looking for a cheaper long-term stock, look no further. Rapid7 (NASDAQ:RPD) uses a unique data- and analytics-driven approach to cyber security. And it is currently looking like a steal at under $30.

The stock is highlighted by RBC as an attractive name in the cybersecurity space, particularly following the recent acquisition of Komand. The company snapped up Komand in 2017 to boost its security orchestration and automation offering.

“The need for well-designed security and IT automation solutions is acute; resources are scarce, environments are becoming more complex, all while threats are increasing,” says Corey Thomas, CEO of Rapid7.

“Security and IT solutions must evolve through context-driven automation, allowing cybersecurity and IT professionals to focus on more strategic activities.”

Plus RBC’s Matthew Hedberg (Track Record & Ratings) has just ramped up his RPD price target to $42 (43% upside potential) citing rapid growth. “Success has continued to highlight the power of the platform approach with impressive cross-sell metrics driven by combining security and IT Ops” concludes the analyst. Get the RPD Stock Research Report.

Splunk (SPLK)

“Within our software universe, we would highlight Splunk (NASDAQ:SPLK) as a likely winner in the big data category” writes RBC Capital.

Splunk basically turns machine data into answers. It produces software for searching, monitoring and analyzing machine-generated big data, via a web-style interface.

In part, these answers are generated through the firm’s machine learning system. Splunk provides the Machine Learning Toolkit, a guided workbench to create and test flexible models that can handle any use case.

“A key value of creating models in Splunk is that users can seamlessly apply them to real-time machine data” says RBC Capital.

Plus RBC isn’t the only firm singing the stock’s praises. This “strong buy” stock is the recipient of 21 recent buy ratings vs just three hold ratings. Meanwhile the $134 average analyst price target speaks of upside potential of over 40%. Get the SPLK Stock Research Report.

PayPal (PYPL)

Top Tech Stock: PayPal (PYPL)

Source: Shutterstock

If we turn to financial tech stocks, analysts are going crazy for “strong buy” stock PayPal(NASDAQ:PYPL) right now. This is with a $100 average analyst price target (24% upside potential).

First of all, PayPal offers massive scale. And second it boasts a unique two-sided model among tech stocks, with both consumers and merchants onside. This means the company can control the entire consumer experience.

“PayPal’s unique assets enable the company to tap into the long-term global shift to digital commerce” says RBC Capital.

Plus the firm sees the company as a champion of democratizing finance around the globe. “We believe its growing platform of assets will open up the ~2B people around the world who lack financial services.”

Similarly top Oppenheimer analyst Glenn Greene (Track Record & Ratings) notes PYPL’s “unique” competitive position. He is even more confident in the stock following recent partnerships, and anticipates high-teens revenue growth and 20%-plus EPS growth for the next several years. Get the PYPL Stock Research Report.

Apple (AAPL)

Top Tech Stock: Apple (AAPL)

Source: Shutterstock

Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) is trading down 20% on a three-month basis. You can blame worries of weak demand and threats of tariffs for Apple products — and yes, the controversial decision to hide individual iPhone sales data was hard to swallow.

But nonetheless, RBC Capital sees a long runway for the stock. “We think AAPL could be a major beneficiary of AI and VR/AR-related trends, which could generate significant tailwinds for its services business” it writes. It notes that the latest iPhones are equipped with the ability to recognize patterns, make predictions and learn from experiences.

What’s even more interesting is that by 2025 we could be looking at the first real “iPhone generation.” 2025 is 18 years from the launch of the first iPhone. For people who grew up with iOS devices, Apple could have data on every app a person installed, on every flight, book and purchase, as well as academic records, health statistics, family background and more.

Now imagine an AI trained on this data set. “This AI would truly be a ‘personal’ assistant. A hyper -customized neural network that would be so powerful, it would make an existing services pool very strong and usher in a host of new offerings that can only be imagined” says the firm. Get the AAPL Stock Research Report.

Synopsys (SNPS)

Top Tech Stock: Synopsys (SNPS)

Source: Shutterstock

This chip stock is pretty much a guaranteed winner of future tech trends. Someone needs to design AI chips — and that someone is Synopsys (NASDAQ:SNPS).

Synopsys is essentially an “arms dealer” for AI and all things chip related says RBC Capital.

“By helping design complex chips, Synopsys is in the thick of AI in terms of design” the firm writes. And the best part is that it doesn’t even matter what new companies come along — they will still need Synopsys.

“As new and existing companies continue to push the edge of technology, Synopsys will be helping the companies design each chip regardless of it being a GPU, CPU, FPGA, Digital Chip, Analog chip or otherwise” the firm explains.

Even now, the stock looks bullish with a “strong buy” analyst consensus and $109 average analyst price target (24% upside potential). Get the SNPS Stock Research Report.

Micron (MU)

Top Tech Stock: Micron (MU)

Source: Shutterstock

A second chip stock to consider: Micron (NASDAQ:MU). All future trends result in data creation — and Micron is perfectly positioned for this with its DRAM/NAND memory portfolio.

“The incredible amount of data generated by AI, AR/VR and autonomous driving would require significantly higher memory, both NAND and DRAM, leading to strong and long-term tailwinds for MU” writes RBC Capital.

Plus we could be looking at a compelling entry point. Indeed, Deutsche Bank’s Sidney Ho (Track Record & Ratings) points out that shares appear cheaper right now. He has just reiterated his “buy” rating with a $60 price target (63% upside potential).

After it has traded for nearly a year at 4x earnings, Ho believes that “the market is pricing in consensus EPS estimates will have to come down from the current level, considering the stock historically has traded at a median of 8-9x P/E through the cycle.”

And the tech stock still retains its “moderate buy” analyst consensus rating. This is with a $61 price target (64% upside potential). Get the MU Stock Research Report.

Microsoft (MSFT)

Top Tech Stocks: Microsoft (MSFT)

Source: Shutterstock

Last but not least, make sure to make room for Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT). This is a company that ticks all the boxes when it comes to future trends.

“Leading hyperscale hybrid cloud platform with big runway of growth in AI, IoT, Gaming and other services” explains RBC on the stock’s inclusion in its 2025 portfolio.

Like GOOGL and AMZN, MSFT stock benefits from 1) massive amounts of raw compute power; 2) large data sets; and 3) ability to hire the smartest data scientists on the planet.

It picks Microsoft as the No. 1 AI company in the public cloud space. This is thanks to the company’s rapidly growing Azure cloud platform.

“We believe Microsoft is in an enviable position vs other public cloud competitors as their customers can also leverage AI and ML capabilities on premise, something [Amazon’s] AWS and [Google’s] GCP can’t deliver natively” points out RBC Capital.

Also note the stock’s killer “strong buy” rating with 20 out of 21 analysts bullish on the stocks prospects. Top this off with a $124 average analyst price target for upside of 17% and I would say Microsoft is one of the most appealing tech stocks to buy and hold onto!

Pay Your Bills for LIFE with These Dividend Stocks

Get your hands on my most comprehensive, step-by-step dividend plan yet. In just a few minutes, you will have a 36-month road map that could generate $4,804 (or more!) per month for life. It's the perfect supplement to Social Security and works even if the stock market tanks. Over 6,500 retirement investors have already followed the recommendations I've laid out.

Click here for complete details to start your plan today.

Source: Investors Alley 

Market Preview: Strong Holiday Sales Lift Market

Stocks rallied Monday following very healthy Black Friday and projected record Cyber Monday sales. Retail sales for the largest one day online shopping day in U.S. history were expected to come in at $7.8 billion. The projected numbers were enough to lift retailers, Amazon (AMZN) rose over 5%, Target added almost 3%, and the overall market for a nice one day rally. The DJIA was up 1.46%, the Nasdaq jumped 2.06%, and the S&P 500 rose 1.55%. The real question facing investors is whether this is a short-lived bear rally before the market continues to roll over, or if this marks the turning point of the recent correction which has decimated many high flying stocks. The wall of worry is clearly in place with tariff tensions, an aggressive Fed, Brexit concerns, and a faltering housing market. Prognostications on whether the aging bull is able to continue climbing the wall into 2019, or has already come to a final resting place, have begun shaping year end portfolio rebalancing decisions.

Salesforce (CRM) reports after the close on Tuesday. The 500 pound gorilla in the customer relationship market has fallen over 20% since the beginning of October. Investors will be focused on margins and customer retention rates at the software provider. Margins have taken a hit as the company integrates its latest acquisitions, such as Mulesoft from earlier this year. Analysts would like to see those margins rise once the dust has settled. Cracker Barrel (CBRL) will also release earnings Tuesday. The family focused casual restaurant took a hit after missing on earnings and sales estimates in September. But, the stock has rallied strongly since then closing in on all time highs reached earlier this year. Earnings should give a good read on how the consumer is holding up in a rising interest rate environment.

Tuesday analysts will be focused on housing as the S&P Corelogic Case-Shiller and the FHFA housing price indexes are both released. The FHFA numbers, though still rising, have decelerated at a rapid pace since the end of 2017. Analysts fear rising rates, combined with a shortage of labor, are hitting entry level homes especially hard. Also released Tuesday is consumer confidence and the Redbook retail numbers. GDP will be the focus on Wednesday. Estimates are for Q3 GDP of 3.5% with consumer spending coming in at 3.7%. Also on tap are MBA mortgage applications and retail inventories. Investors will also want to tune-in as Fed Chairman Powell participates in a luncheon at the Economic Club of New York. The Chairman is scheduled to deliver remarks at 11:30am.

Retailers, from the high end to value discounters take the stage on Wednesday. Tiffany (TIF) and Burlington Stores (BURL) both report before the market opens. Tiffany has been on the comeback trail and has seen improving margins as cost controls have borne fruit. Analysts will have a close eye on the international business and whether tariffs are becoming an issue for the high end jeweler. Burlington has been on a roll this year. Even after the recent market induced selloff the company’s stock is still up about 20% in 2018. Burlington is expected to post a 51% gain in earnings on a year-over-year basis with analysts expecting $1.06 a share.       

Buffett just went all-in on THIS new asset. Will you?
Buffett could see this new asset run 2,524% in 2018. And he's not the only one... Mark Cuban says "it's the most exciting thing I've ever seen." Mark Zuckerberg threw down $19 billion to get a piece... Bill Gates wagered $26 billion trying to control it...
What is it?
It's not gold, crypto or any mainstream investment. But these mega-billionaires have bet the farm it's about to be the most valuable asset on Earth. Wall Street and the financial media have no clue what's about to happen...And if you act fast, you could earn as much as 2,524% before the year is up.
Click here to find out what it is.

Stock Research Made Simple