7 Buffett Stocks to Buy

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If you’re looking for good Warren Buffett stocks to buy, there’s no better option than Buffett’s former money guy. I’m talking, of course, about Lou Simpson, the long-time Geico portfolio manager, who retired at the end of 2010 after 31 years at the company, more than a third of them spent under Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE:BRK.A, NYSE:BRK.B) ownership.

It’s hard to believe that the legendary investment manager, who outperformed the S&P 500 in 18 out of 25 years between 1980 and 2004, has been retired for more than seven years. Boy does time fly.

Simpson grew bored of retirement very quickly, so the veteran money set up SQ Advisors, an investment advisory firm with $200 million in assets under management that would handle money for friends, family and some charities.

Charging 1% annually with no performance fees, Simpson was just happy to have something to do every day that he enjoyed and could help people. Fast forward to the end of 2017 and Simpson’s managing $3.1 billion in assets invested in just 14 stocks.

Although all 14 companies in SQ Advisors’ portfolio are good investments, here are what I think are the seven stocks to buy from Lou Simpson’s portfolio:

Buffett Stocks to Buy: Brookfield Asset Management (BAM)

This alternative asset manager is easily one of my favorite stocks anywhere in the world. Up until mid-2017, long-time Brookfield Asset Management Inc (NYSE:BAM) CEO Bruce Flatt flew under the radar of most investors.

However, it decided it needed to tell its story to more people, and so the company went on a bit of a PR tour that culminated in Flatt appearing on the cover of Forbes magazine’s May issue.

Most people probably couldn’t pick Flatt out of a police lineup but Simpson could.

Brookfield is SQ Advisors’ largest holding at $335 million, or 10.9% of its multi-billion portfolio. He knows that delivering a cumulative return of 1,350% over the last 15 years, as Flatt and company have done — more than seven times the S&P 500 — is no easy feat.

Lou Simpson investing in Brookfield, especially in such a focused portfolio, is the ultimate form of flattery. If you can only own one of these stocks, I’d make it Brookfield.

Buffett Stocks to Buy: Liberty Global (LBTYK)

Buffett Stocks to Buy

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Liberty Global PLC (NASDAQ:LBTYK) is one of John Malone’s many interests. Malone holds 25.7% of Liberty Global, the world’s largest international TV and broadband company with $15.5 billion in annual revenue operating in 12 European countries under brands such as Virgin Media and Unitymedia.

In case you’re wondering, Warren Buffett’s company controls 5.4% of Liberty Global’s votes; SQ Advisors about half that amount. Simpson acquired his position in the second half of 2014 at prices between $40 and $43. Today, it trades around $32.

But before you question my sanity, it’s important to remember that Liberty Global spun off its Latin American business — operations in Chile, Puerto Rico, the Caribbean and other parts of Latin America — in early January.

Shareholders got one share in the newly independent business for each Liberty Global share. Together, they’re worth $55.

Simpson holds his businesses for the long haul, so unless the story drastically changes I’d expect him to continue to make Liberty Global one of his biggest positions.

Buffett Stocks to Buy: Berkshire Hathaway (BRK)

Buffett Stocks to Buy

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It would be darn near impossible not to include the stock of Simpson’s former boss on my list of seven stocks to buy.

Interestingly, Berkshire Hathaway is not one of SQ Advisors’ top five holdings. In fact, Simpson only owns a little over one million Class B shares, which represent 6.7% of the $3.1-billion portfolio.

Although Buffett and Simpson have a similar investing style, the former Geico money manager is far more likely to invest in smaller companies than Buffett, making a more significant position in Berkshire Hathaway an unlikely occurrence.

“What we do is run a long-time-horizon portfolio comprised of ten to fifteen stocks. Most of them are U.S.-based, and they all have similar characteristics. Basically, they’re good businesses,” saidSimpson in a rare 2017 interview. “They have a high return on capital, consistently good returns, and they’re run by leaders who want to create long-term value for shareholders while also treating their stakeholders right.”

That sounds an awful lot like Berkshire Hathaway, doesn’t it?

Simpson bought a big chunk of BRK stock back in early 2012 at prices between $76 and $82, an annualized return of 17.1% over six years.

Buffett Stocks to Buy: Tyler Technologies (TYL)

Buffett Stocks to Buy

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While this is one of Simpson’s smaller holdings representing just 5.2% of SQ Advisors’ portfolio, I just love the niche aspect of its business. Tyler Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:TYLfocusesexclusively on the public sector providing a wide range of software and solutions to local governments and schools.

It might not be glamorous, but providing the tools needed by public sector operations pays the bills; more importantly, it keeps America moving. A storied history that dates back to 1938, Tyler committed to serving the public sector in 1997; it’s been uphill ever since.

The company finished 1997 with a profit of $1.2 million on $76.4 million in revenue. Nineteen years later, in its most recent fiscal year ended Dec. 31, 2016, it generated net income of $109.9 million on $756.0 million in revenue.

A $100 investment at the end of 2011 was worth $474.16 five years later, more than double the performance of the S&P 500 in the same period.

It’s not a fast-growing business but it sure is consistent, increasing revenues in nine out of the last ten years. No wonder Simpson likes it.

Buffett Stocks to Buy: Cable One (CABO)

Buffett Stocks to Buy

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One of the portfolio’s smallest holdings by market cap, Simpson added 125,094 shares of Cable One Inc (NYSE:CABO) in Q4 2017, boosting it from the tenth-largest position in the previous quarter, to the fifth largest by the end of the year.

Representing 8.2% of the portfolio, Cable One is one of the ten largest cable companies in the U.S. with more than 800,000 residential and business customers across 21 states. 

Why Cable One?

It’s got a simple business plan that focuses on higher-growth, higher-margin products that generate positive cash flow while keeping a lid on costs. It doesn’t want the most customers; it wants the most profitable ones.

Looking to find more profitable customers, Cable One acquired NewWave Communications in 2017 for $735 million. NewWave was the 19th largest cable company in the U.S. with customers in seven states. Still, in growth mode, Cable One’s focus on the profit and loss statement will deliver higher returns from NewWave under its management.

Simpson likes owning good businesses. Cable One fits that to a tee.

Buffett Stocks to Buy: Charles Schwab (SCHW)

Buffett Stocks to Buy

Except for the recent return of volatility, the nine-year bull market has been good news for Charles Schwab Corporation (NYSE:SCHW), who’ve seen operating profits grow from $1.1 billion at the end of 2009 to $3.7 billion this past year while operating margins increased 16 percentage points to 43%.

The wealth management industry’s been good to Schwab and Schwab shareholders. Over the past five years, SCHW stock’s delivered an annualized total return of 26.3% to shareholders.

Now Simpson’s third-largest holding, it’s clear he’s not afraid to buy and sell Schwab stock, as the number of shares held has ebbed and flowed since first buying in 2011.

Currently trading near $53, Schwab had a very healthy 2017, with revenues and income up 15% and 25%, respectively. An amazing stat highlighted in its Q4 2017 press release gives you an idea of the runway it has heading into 2018 and beyond:

Schwab’s Retail business rose by 49% versus 2016; 54% of these households were age 40 or younger.”

Need I say more?

Buffett Stocks to Buy: Allison Transmission (ALSN)

Buffett Stocks to Buy

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 Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (NYSE:ALSN) might be the ultimate Warren Buffett stock if it were only a little bigger.

 Simpson’s fourth-largest holding at 10.0% of the portfolio. While the money manager trimmed SQ Advisors’ holdings slightly in Q4 2017, the manufacturer of heavy-duty commercial vehicle transmissions and hybrid-propulsion systems for city buses is a relatively new purchase for Simpson; he first acquired shares in 2016.

As long as the U.S. economy continues to chug along, investors can expect Allison Transmission to continue to do well. In Q4 2017, the company increased its North America On-Highway revenue by 24% to $270 million. Outside North America, Allison’s On-Highway business increased sales by 18% year over year to $98 million.

In fiscal 2017, revenues and operating profits increased by 22.9% and 44.3%, respectively. The company expects 2018 net sales to increase by as much as 7% on strong On-Highway results.

Unless something happens to the economy, this guidance seems conservative. I see good things in store for Allison in 2018.

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5 Sin Stocks to Sell Your Soul For

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Are you looking up to spice up your portfolio in these uncertain times?

Some investors may think that it is morally wrong to invest in the companies below. These are companies that are involved in addictive vices like alcohol and gambling. But others will disagree — and to those people, I say, read on!

“Various studies have investigated the historical performance of sin stocks and observed that they have delivered significantly positive abnormal returns” says David Blitz, co-head of quantitative research at Robeco. One popular explanation is that these stocks are systematically underpriced because so many investors shun them.

So with this in mind, I set out to find five of these “sin stocks” that all share backing from the Street’s top analysts. I used TipRanks to double-check that these stocks all have a “strong buy” top analyst consensus rating. This is based only on ratings from the last three months, and looks at analysts with the highest success rates and average return.

Without further ado, let’s delve in and take a closer look at these 5 top sin stocks now:

Top Sin Stocks: Raytheon (RTN)

Defense giant Raytheon Company (NYSE:RTN) is the world’s largest producer of guided missiles.

“Strong broad order momentum, a large Patriot backlog, and untapped financial firepower give RTN extended EPS and cash flow per share growth potential” cheers five-star Cowen & Co. analyst Cai Rumohr.

Foreign sales are booming, with sales increasing for the last 14 years. Now Rumohr sees 2018 foreign orders exceeding 2017’s $8.5B, with healthy foreign revenue growth extending out into 2019-20. These include Patriot awards from Romania ($450 million-$500 million initial order in 2018; $2 billion total), Sweden ($1 billion), Poland ($4 billion-$5 billion but could slip into 2019), and a new unidentified European customer ($1.5 billion but in 2019).

Closer to home, rising defense spending means RTN also has ample domestic opportunities lined up. Most notably, the Harpoon replacement missile bid, an $8 billion opportunity, could be decided as soon as fall 2018.

All in all, it’s not surprising that RTN scores a first-class “strong buy” Street consensus rating. We can see from TipRanks that the average analyst price target of $231 works out at 6% upside from the current share price.

Top Sin Stocks: Philip Morris (PM)

Is Marlboro-maker Philip Morris International Inc.(NYSE:PM) still a sin stock?! The company is turning over a new leaf and committing to a more smoke-free future. This may sound like an oxymoron for one of the world’s largest cigarette companies, but PM now wants to build its future “on smoke-free products that are a much better choice than cigarette smoking.”

The result is a new focus on developing vapes and e-cigarettes that contain nicotine but don’t burn tobacco.

And it looks like the Street approves of this dramatic decision. In the last three months, PM has received only buy ratings from analysts. These analysts have an average price target on PM of $123.75, suggesting big upside potential of almost 19%.

Indeed, Philip Morris is currently a top pick for Morgan Stanley in the food/protein/tobacco sector.

“Looking ahead to 2018, we now believe PM will set expectations for an EPS in line with its +8-10% long-term target as the company reinvests to protect its first-mover advantage in heated tobacco and launches nationally in a broader range of markets outside Japan/Korea” stated the Morgan Stanley team recently. The firm has a $120 price target on PM.

Top Sin Stocks: Constellation Brands Inc (STZ)

Constellation Brands STZ

Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE:STZ) is an international producer and marketer of beer, wine and spirits. Constellation is the largest beer import company measured by sales and has the third-largest market share of all major beer suppliers. Investing in STZ means betting on Modelo, Corona and Pacifico.

Shares in Constellation have exploded over the last year from just $160 to the current share price of $220. Luckily for investors, there appears to be plenty of further growth potential ahead. BMO Capital’s Amit Sharma has just initiated STZ with a bullish $275 price target. This translates into big upside potential of over 25%.

He says the alcohol beverage sector will remain “one of the largest and fastest-growing consumer staples segments” with an ongoing “premiumization” trend. And the analyst singles out Constellation Brands as “one of the most compelling growth investments in the staples universe.” He believes it is trading at a significant discount to peers.

Sharma is now plotting sales growth of 7%-8% and EPS growth of 15%-16% over the next three years for Constellation. Overall, we can see that this “strong buy” stock has scored seven recent buy ratings vs two hold ratings. Furthermore, the average analyst price target suggests upside potential of over 13%.

Top Sin Stocks: Melco Resorts (MLCO)

Top Sin Stocks: Melco Resorts (MLCO)

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Melco: Your winning hand. So goes the slogan of top gaming operator Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd(ADR) (NASDAQ:MLCO). The company owns several casino resort facilities in Asian gaming capital Macau, including the famous City of Dreams (home to the world’s largest HK$2 billion water-based extravaganza!).

From a Street perspective, Melco scores a royal flush, with only recent buy ratings. Indeed, if we dig further into the ratings, we can see that the stock has received two rating upgrades in the last three months. One of these upgrades comes from top JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff.

According to Greff, the stock’s valuation discount to peers is compelling and he is confident that a dividend raise can further narrow the gap. Looking forward, he projects rising VIP and premium mass growth in 2018. As a result Greff boosts his price target from $27 to $32 (11% upside potential). This falls just under the average analyst price target of $33.97 (18% upside from current share price).

Top Sin Stocks: Mondelez (MDLZ)

The sweetest of all naughty stocks right now is Mondelez International Inc (NASDAQ:MDLZ). This multinational corporation owns all the best billion-dollar brands, from Ritz and Oreo to Toblerone and Cadbury. Mondelez may not be a traditional sin stock, but given rising obesity levels, MDLZ is veering dangerously close to the dark side.

But chocolate aside, Mondelez is looking pretty appealing from an investing perspective. Not only is Mondelez a sustainable dividend growth stock, but it is also primed for a robust 2018.

So says five-star RBC Capital analyst David Palmer. He argues that “outperformance is the norm for Mondelez” and “forecasts 2018 to be a year of steady topline improvement and double-digit total returns with additional stock upside potential through M&A.”

He ramped up his price target to $56 (28% upside potential) at the beginning of February.

Overall, this “strong buy” snack giant scored five recent buy ratings vs one solitary hold rating. The average price target indicates upside potential of just over 17%.

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