Ignore This Advice and Risk Losing 50% of Your Nest Egg

With the jaw-dropping stock-market dives we’ve seen in the last 3 months, you can be forgiven if your stomach tightens just a bit when you go to check your retirement account.

So today I’m going to give you my 3 best tips for securing your hard-earned cash—and even better, locking in a dividend stream you can easily live off of in retirement.

And no, you won’t need a seven-figure nest egg to pull off what I’m going to show you now.

Step #1: Diversify the Right Way

You no doubt know that diversification is key to protecting your wealth, but if you only go halfway, it will end in disaster. By that I mean doing what many folks do: throw their money in a low-cost index fund, like the Vanguard 500 Index Fund (VOO), and leave it at that.

But these people have forgotten their history. Like the last time the S&P 500 did this—just 10 short years ago:

50% of Your Nest Egg—Gone in a Year!

So how do we save our hard-earned cash from the next swoon?

One easy way is to buy US Treasuries to offset any hits you might take in the stock market, since Treasuries tend to go up when stocks go down (and vice versa):

The Treasury Cushion

But since Treasuries don’t go up as much as stocks go down in bear markets, this isn’t going to cut it. We need to dig deeper.

There are many other investments that go their own way—which isn’t necessarily in the same direction as stocks.

For example, municipal bonds tend to rise when people are more risk-averse, while tech stocks fall. So you want to make sure you have a bit of both so you can profit from one when the other goes down and avoid suffering losses that will take years, or decades, to recover from.

This is the most important tool the ultra-rich use to protect their nest eggs. The stories you hear of multimillionaires losing everything? It’s almost always a result of failing to diversify. Take Masayoshi Son, a billionaire who lost around $70 billion (yes, with a “b”) during the dot-com crash of 2000. Why? Because all of his money was in stocks.

Step #2: Add Some Funds to Your Stocks

You want to diversify beyond just asset classes, though. To get broad exposure within each asset class, add some funds to your stock holdings.

To explain why this is important, let’s take a look at Alphabet (GOOG) and the PowerShares QQQ ETF (QQQ), which tracks the tech-focused Nasdaq 100 index. If you bet only on GOOG in 2018, you’d be down a bit on your investment. But the index? It’s up 4.2%:

The Consequences of Going All in on One Stock

Of course, you could point to Amazon (AMZN) as the better pick—it’s up 34.2% in 2018. But if you’d chosen AMZN over QQQ or GOOG in early 2016, you would’ve made the worst choice of all:

Now Who’s the Biggest Loser?

The takeaway? Buying a fund lowers your risk of buying a good stock at a bad time.

Because even if you’re right to bet on either of these companies—which have both soared over the long term—buying at the wrong time, when their rises have been overextended, would have crimped your returns.

With a fund, you get access to a lot of high-quality companies in one buy. And while you may get some at a bit of a high price, you’ll also get some cheap. So buying a fund that’s diversified across stocks lowers your risk of overpaying for just one stock, limiting your downside in the short term—a crucial move if you’re a retiree who needs to tap your portfolio for cash.

Step #3: Lock in Big Cash Dividends

The final key to protecting your nest egg is also the most often overlooked: securing an income stream.

Because if you can invest your nest egg in assets that produce income higher than your annual costs, provided that income stream never declines below your expenses, you can largely ignore market swings.

Most people ignore this because yields are lousy right now. Even with the 10-year Treasury reaching 3%, you’re still getting a measly $2,500 per month on a million bucks. That’s less than $15 per hour, less than minimum wage in a growing number of US cities.

With the S&P 500, you’re getting less—$1,525 per month in income on a million bucks. Madness!

People try to subsidize these paltry income streams by harvesting capital gains from their stock holdings—but that’s much easier said than done. Structuring payouts in a way that won’t destroy your portfolio is almost impossible—especially if you end up retiring a year or two before a recession.

To demonstrate this, look at what happens to a $1.2-million nest egg put in the S&P 500 just before the 2008–09 meltdown; while it grows a bit before the end of 2008, things go downhill fast:

Index Fund Clobbered by a Bear

As if that weren’t bad enough, it’s doubly devastating for retirees who need income from their investments. Look at what happens to a retiree during the same period who tries to live off of $45,000 in passive income on that $1.2-million nest egg:

Even with a conservative 3.8% withdrawal rate, the retiree’s nest egg takes several years to recover from the 2009 loss—and although the S&P 500 recovers by 2013, the retiree’s portfolio is still down 18.9% from where it was 5 years earlier.

Why? Because of a lack of a solid income stream.

To protect from this, you need to not only on diversify away from just stocks but also toward funds that get you a variety of holdings and safe dividend income.

Revealed: This “Indestructible” 10.0% Dividend Is a Must-Buy

My favorite funds for all investors—retirees and twentysomethings alike—are a special kind of investment called a closed-end fund (CEF).

If you’re not familiar with CEFs, here’s the upshot: they can (and regularly do) deliver fast 20%+ gains and massive 8%+ dividends in one single buyThey are, hands down, the closest thing to the perfect investment I’ve ever seen.

I recently released my 5 very best CEFs to buy for 2018, and I’ll reveal the complete list when you click here.

When you do, I want you to pay particular attention to fund No. 3 on my list.

It’s a totally ignored CEF paying a rock-solid 10.0% CASH dividend now. It’s run by a Warren Buffett disciple who uses the master’s battle-tested strategies to deliver outsized gains when the market is soaring—and slash your volatility when stocks fall out of bed.

And it works like a charm!

That’s why I’ve made this fund—which has been around since 1986—a core recommendation of my “safety first” CEF Insider service. Check out how it’s outperformed the market since then, with a LOT less volatility:

A Smooth Ride Higher

Imagine holding a fund like that, which rides higher like it’s on rails! Also remember that almost all of this return was in CASH, thanks to pick No. 3’s monstrous 10.0% dividend, offering even more protection from the market’s ups and downs.

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Source: Contrarian Outlook

Make 220% on This Popular Volatility Fund

Market volatility is like a zombie.  You keep thinking its dead, but it keeps coming back to life and shambling onward.  It’s been about 10 weeks since the February 5th selloff but high market volatility refuses to die.

As you can see from the chart below, the iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (NYSE: VXX) has basically been unable to stay below $40 for more than a day or two.  Keep in mind, prior to the February correction, VXX was mostly sitting well below $30.

VXX has become the go to method for trading short-term volatility.  It was always popular, but with XIV gone (the inverse of VXX), it’s easily the most active ETP (exchange traded product) for volatility.  VXX trades over 40 million shares a day on average, and has close to $900 million in assets.

So what is keeping volatility from returning to its normally low levels?

We actually have a confluence of events which are contributing to higher than usual volatility levels.  These include political concerns (Mueller, tariffs), economic concerns (higher interest rates, tariffs), and financial worries (poor earnings).

Related: This Former Hot IPO Stock Could Be Ready To Move

On their own, none of these concerns would merit a major reaction from the investment crowd.  However, all these event together are ramping up concern over the expansion of the current bull market.

Nevertheless, some options traders (with lots of capital) aren’t convinced volatility is going to remain elevated.  In fact, there are sizeable options bets that VXX is going to be at around this level or lower both in the short-term and medium-term.

One trader elected to sell over 11,500 May 25th VXX 53 calls with the stock at $43.  The trader collected $1.46 in premium per call, which amounted to over $1.7 million in premiums.  Breakeven is about $54.50, but anything under $53 on May 25th will result in the full premiums being collected.

Another (or possibly the same trader) made a similar trade except for in June instead of May.  This trader sold over 11,000 June 15th VXX 55 calls with the stock at $44.50.  The premium collected in this case was $2.32 per contract or $2.6 million in premiums total.  For this trade, breakeven occurs at around $57.50.

I feel both trades are likely to be successful.  Even if VXX spikes above $50, it isn’t likely to stay there for long.  Still, I would never recommend being short naked calls for any trader, as the risk is virtually unlimited.

Once again, I prefer to use put spreads when taking a short position on VXX.  For example, the May 25th 36-40 put spread (buying the 40 put, selling the 36 put) costs about $1.25 with the stock at $44.  For a month long trade, you’d only spend $125 per spread with the breakeven at $38.25 upon expiration.

Even better, your max gain potential is $2.75 or $275 per spread.  Since max loss is only $1.25, that means you can earn a 220% return on this trade.  That’s clearly a very juicy return possibility, and your downside is capped.  It’s the best of both worlds if you believe VXX is going lower over the next month.

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Source: Investors Alley

The Future is Data, and These 3 REITs are the Way to Play that Future

The need for an ever-increasing amount of data storage is a growth story that appears to have a very long runway. Experts estimate that the “digital universe” will double every two years (that’s a 50-fold increase in a decade). Enterprise IT, cloud computing and services, and the Internet of Things all require larger and larger amounts of data storage capacity. Data center owning real estate investment trusts (REITs) are a conservative way to play this trend, with potential for high teens, up to 20% annual total returns.

Related: 3 Cloud Computing Companies Racing to Push Cloud Computing Aside

There is a small handful of REITs that specialize in developing and leasing data centers. All of these companies are in a growth mode and are either acquiring and/or developing new facilities to lease out to a wide range of customers. The investing public often forgets that this REIT sector is an integral part of the technology industry. Often, they are treated like any other class of REIT. This dichotomy of market focus allows the smart investor to pick up data center REIT shares when the REIT sector at large goes into a decline. Multi-year investment returns from the data center companies will be driven by cash flow and dividend growth rates.

Let’s take a look at three REITs that can put high-teens annual compounding total returns into your portfolio.

Equinix, Inc. (Nasdaq: EQIX) is the $32 billion market cap, 800 lb. gorilla of the data center industry. The company converted from corporate tax payer to REIT status at the start of 2015. The company is a colocation and interconnection service provider. Colocation is a data center facility in which a business can rent space for servers and other computing hardware. Typically, a colocation facility provides the building, cooling, power, bandwidth and physical security while the customer provides servers and storage.

The company’s services currently give 9,800 customers 280,000 interconnects between data centers and world’s digital exchanges. According to the current Investor Overview presentation, Equinix owns 190 data centers in 24 countries, on five continents.

This is truly an international company. Over the last decade the company has produced 26% and 29% compounding annual revenue and EBITDA growth. This results in mid-teen per share cash flow growth. For 2018 the company forecasts 14% FFO per share and dividend increases. The shares currently yield 2.2%.

Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: DLR) is a $20 billion market cap REIT that owns 205 data centers in 12 countries. Digital Realty has 2,300 customers. Digital Realty is also a colocation and interconnection services provider.

This REIT’s customer list includes some of the largest technology and telecommunications companies. In the top 10 are IBM, Oracle, Verizon, Linked In, and even Equinix.

According to the current investor presentation, Digital Realty has grown FFO per share for 12 straight years. Over that period cash flow to pay dividends has grown by a compounding 12.3% per year. This chart shows the FFO growth compared to large REITs in other sectors:

The DLR dividend has grown by 10% plus per year for the last decade. Management forecasts a 9% increase in 2018. The shares currently yield 4.0%.

CoreSite Realty Corp (NYSE: COR) is a $3.6 billion market cap REIT that owns 20 data centers in eight strategic U.S. cities. The company’s focus is to provide colocation services to enterprise, network, and cloud services companies. Here is a graphic of the larger (out of 1200) customers:

CoreSite is the high growth, higher risk company out of the three covered here. Since 2011, FFO per share has grown by 23% compounded and the dividend by more than 30% per year. Future results will cycle from relatively flat to high growth years.

An investment in COR will not be as stable as with the large cap data center REITs. The flip side is the potential for large dividend increases and corresponding share price gains. The shares currently yield 3.7%.

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Source: Investors Alley