Market Preview: A “Patient” Fed Sparks Market Rally

Markets staged a rally Friday, recovering from Thursday losses brought on by Apple’s (AAPL) earnings warning. Following comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, at a panel presentation with former Fed Chairs Yellen and Bernanke, that the Fed would watch the data and “be patient” with interest rates, markets kicked into high gear and rallied into the close. The DJIA finished almost 750 points higher and the Nasdaq jumped over 4% as markets rejoiced over what many hope is a softening stance at the Fed.

The comments were enough to overcome continued rancor in Washington as Democrats met with President Trump to discuss the federal budget and the ongoing partial government shutdown. Democrats emerged from the meeting commenting the President had said the shutdown could last for “months or years”. Investors will be watching meetings between China and the U.S. over the weekend for any possible break in negotiations over tariffs. A deal announcement, or even positive news on the tariff front, could fuel a further market rebound.

Commercial Metals Company (CMC) reports earnings Monday. The company painted a rosy picture for investors in its last conference call, reporting its “best quarterly performance since the great recession.” With operations in the U.S. and Poland, analysts will be looking for a gauge on both markets to help paint a picture of industrial vigor. With recent manufacturing numbers showing softness, CMC may be able to provide some clarity given what the the business seeing headed into the first quarter.  

The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index, and the TD Ameritrade Investor Movement Index will both be released Monday. The scheduled release of factory orders will be delayed barring an end to the partial government shutdown. Analysts will have a keen interest in the December TD Ameritrade numbers as other measurements have indicated investors dumped stocks heading into year end 2018.

The rest of the week is data heavy as investors take on the first full week of trading in 2019. Tuesday, the small business optimism index and JOLTS numbers will be released. The release of a better than expected jobs number Friday, which initially goosed markets higher in the morning, will have analysts watching the job openings number closely. Mortgage application data, and the Fed meeting minutes, will be released on Wednesday. Investors are still wary of the housing market, which many hope will find some footing in 2019.

Jobless claims and wholesale trade numbers will both be released Thursday. Friday, analysts will focus on CPI, the Baker-Hughes rig count data, and the Treasury Budget. Analysts will be watching the rig count number closely to determine what impact the recent decline in oil has had, and to determine if the bottom has been put in for oil prices for the time being.

Earnings from a number of companies will be released next week. Helen of Troy Limited (HELE), AZZ, Inc. (AZZ) and Lindsay Corporation (LNN) all report Tuesday. Wednesday investors will hear from Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) and homebuilders KB Homes (KBH) and Lennar Corp. (LEN). The homebuilders face a tough market right now, and analysts will be looking for forward projections heading into 2019. Thursday investors will focus on earnings from FuelCell Energy (FCEL) and Synnex Corporation (SNX). Infosys (INFY) closes out the earnings week on Friday, before the earnings season kicks into high gear the following week.  

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9 A-Rated Safety Stocks for a Grossly Oversold Market

Yes, the markets are getting hammered like it’s 2008. But this isn’t because the world is coming to an end, or that the global economic system is about to fail.

This is about transition and risk.

The markets are undergoing a significant amount of transition as most central banks are relinquishing control over monetary policy and letting the markets sort it out. Add to that issue the fact that the Brexit mess is affecting one of the major global currencies.

There’s the fact that the U.S. economy continues to show signs of recovery — job growth is very strong, the participation rate is rising and wages are also increasing. Yet rising interest rates, the trade wars with Europe and China make that footing weaker.

For every bit a good news, there’s the shadow of bad news and the markets have never been a fan of uncertainty.

That’s why now is a great time to check out these nine A-rated safety stocks for a grossly oversold market. They’re highly rated in my Portfolio Grader, and with patience as the watchword now, these great stocks are selling at great prices.

Mr Cooper Group (COOP)

Mr Cooper Group (COOP)

Source: Shutterstock

Mr Cooper Group (NASDAQ:COOP) may not be a household name — unless, of course you use it to start your household. It basically acquires companies that are focused on servicing, origination and transaction-based services for single family homes in the U.S. Its two biggest brands are Mr Cooper and Xome. It’s the leading non-bank mortgage servicer in the U.S.

This is one market that has been on both sides of the interest-rate roller coaster. When rates were high, home sales slowed, but when rates started to fall because of fears about the economy, that helped boost home sales and refinancings.

Its recent purchase of IBM’s (NYSE:IBM) Seterus mortgage servicing platform adds $24 billion of mortgages and 300,000 new customers to it rolls. It’s COOP’s second major purchase in 3 months.

Once this bumpy ride smooths, COOP will be well positioned.

Popular (BPOP)

Popular (BPOP)

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Popular (NASDAQ:BPOP) is a holding company that operates financial institutions in the U.S., U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Its parent is Banco Popular de Puerto Rico, which was established in 1893.

Popular opened in the Bronx over 50 years ago and now has U.S. branches in New York, New Jersey and South Florida. Given the amount of Puerto Ricans that call the U.S. home, as well as other Latinos that are drawn by the bank’s roots in the Hispanic culture, BPOP offers a unique opportunity to take advantage of the demographic growth in this sector of the economy with an experienced, successful company.

Up 37% in the past year, and still delivering a 2.1% dividend yield, BPOP is doing very well in all this turmoil.

Medical Properties Trust (MPW)

Medical Properties Trust (MPW)

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Medical Properties Trust (NYSE:MPW) is the only medical real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses solely on acute care facilities and hospitals where patients must be admitted by doctors.

Its goal is to blend the best of quality healthcare delivery and cost-effective management by maximizing operations management.

MPW started in 2003 and now sports a nearly $6 billion market cap. What’s more, it was up 17% in the past year, and that doesn’t include its generous 6.2% dividend.

It has recently moved into Europe with a big, multi-billion-dollar deal with a healthcare firm in Germany.

Qualys (QLYS)

Safety Stocks: Qualys (QLYS)

Source: Shutterstock

Qualys (NASDAQ:QLYS) has done well in the past year, given the fact that it’s a tech stock.

But most of the credit goes to the fact that it’s a tech stock in the cybersecurity sector, and while that sector may have gotten a bit overpriced, it’s still something that is always in demand.

QLYS focuses on cloud security, which is one of the most in-demand aspects of cybersecurity since the growth in mobility and bandwidth demand have increased substantially. And the introduction of a new generation of data delivery — 5G — will make security even more important.

Also, with a market cap around $2.7 billion, QLYS is a tempting morsel for larger tech firms looking to expand their game in this space without having to build out from scratch.

Axon Enterprise (AAXN)

Axon Enterprise (AAXN)

Source: Shutterstock

Axon Enterprise (NASDAQ:AAXN) is the new name for the TASER company, the folks that brought us the stun gun.

If you recall, a few years back there was an alarming number of fatalities linked to use of TASERs by law enforcement and others. Whether it was due to lack of training or abuse, the stain was largely put on the company.

But the name change as well as the company’s diversification into body-worn cameras for law enforcement has built a new line of products that have helped it diversify and regain its reputation as a reliable, non-lethal protection tool for professionals and citizens.

AAXN is up 71% in the past year and there is every reason to believe that kind of growth is achievable moving forward.

DSW (DSW)

Safety Stocks: DSW (DSW)

Source: Shutterstock

DSW (NYSE:DSW), a big-box discount shoe retailer with more than 500 stores in the U.S., had great Q3 earnings and also raised its guidance for Q4. That happened at the beginning of December.

This is one of those brands that actually became stronger during the recession because that lost decade brought people in who weren’t regular customers previously.

There are two types of regular shoppers — the ones who go in like it’s a treasure hunt, looking for bargains on great shoes and the ones that like the fact that there’s a huge selection to choose from.

During slow economic times, everyone is looking for a deal and DSW is one of the beneficiaries. But now as times improve, it has added to its regular shoppers and instead of returning to premium stores, many shoppers choose to stick with DSW.

It’s why the stock is up 20% in the past year and still delivers a 3% dividend.

Evertec (EVTC)

Evertec (NYSE:EVTC) is the leading payment processing company in Latin America. It operates in 26 Latin American companies, including Mexico and the Caribbean.

Financial technology, or “fintech” is a huge force in the way financial institutions are transitioning from the old style of banking, to the new digital style. And this affects every aspect of the business, especially between the financial institutions and the businesses that they support.

And these digital standards are especially important in emerging markets, where a traditional financial infrastructure can be tough to come by.

EVTC is up over 100% in the past year and is still only trading at a P/E of 29. There is plenty of growth left in the tank.

Brinker International (EAT)

Brinker International (NYSE:EAT) owns the Chili’s Grill and Bar and Maggiano’s Little Italy chains. Most of the restaurants are company owned, although Chili’s does franchise some of its properties.

There has been a shift in tastes among customers and these large restaurant chains have begun appealing to new generations of potential diners. Healthier meals, different pricing structures, etc all have been implemented to keep the new breed of diners happy.

Some have had a tough time transitioning, but EAT has not been one of them. Up 15% in the last year, it also delivers a respectable 3.3% dividend.

Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings (AJRD)

Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings (NYSE:AJRD) is a second-tier aerospace and defense contractor. Basically, that means it usually is a subcontractor to the big defense names when it comes to building rockets, propulsion and guidance systems. It also has a long relationship with NASA and other aerospace organizations.

While there is a lot of talk about private aerospace firms entering into the market, the fact is, there is huge potential for the best companies. And given the amount of aerospace work that lies ahead, AJRD will be a major player.

With talk of near-space commercial travel as well as missions to Mars, AJRD will have plenty of work. And the fact that it has been around in various iterations since 1914 shows that it knows how to adapt and thrive.

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