Two Dividend Paying Stocks Profiting from Insuring Against High Drug Costs

The science of medicine, as well as pharmaceutical companies, is moving more and more toward personalized medicine. That is, specialized cell and gene therapies designed to attack a patient’s unique condition.

Curing a patient of once-fatal diseases will save our healthcare system an enormous amount of money… but only over the long-term. These treatments require enormous upfront outlays. Keep in mind that, in some cases, only one treatment is required to cure the patient.

And therein lies the problem – how can these ultra-expensive medicines be funded? One option is under serious consideration by several European drug companies – a “reinsurance model” in which a third party underwrites the catastrophic case of someone having one of these terrible conditions.

Pharma and Reinsurance

This solution seems to solve the problem. First, pharmaceutical companies will get paid for providing the life-saving treatment.

And for the reinsurance industry, which backstops insurance companies, helping healthcare systems and governments smooth out the costs of such treatments could provide an additional revenue source.

The industry could use an additional revenue source as reinsurers face increasing competition from rival sources of risk capital (private equity, etc.). Reinsurers could make financing for personalized treatments easier by pooling the costs of these treatments provided by different drug companies and also across countries.

The reinsurance industry already provides a backstop to employer health insurance plans, and has signaled a strong willingness to expand into the medical sector. In response to the Ebola crisis in West Africa, the World Bank in 2017 teamed with reinsurers to provide coverage against future pandemics, so outbreaks could be tackled quickly.

The world’s largest reinsurance companies include Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A & BRK.B) as well as the long-established European giants – Swiss Re (OTC: SSREY)Hannover Re (OTC: HVRRY) and Munich Re (OTC: MURGY).

The drug companies that are the most interested in teaming with reinsurance firms are the European drug giants. Let me explain…

Novartis – the Pioneer

Leading the way here is the Swiss drug company Novartis (NYSE: NVS), which is also innovating in another promising area of medicine – digital therapeutics. I told you about this in the September 26 edition of The Market Cap.

The reason for Novartis interest in reinsurance is quite straightforward as explained by CEO Vas Narasimhan to the Financial Times: “Given that we’ll have five gene therapies in the clinic next year (2019) and we plan to continue to have a steady pace of gene therapies, we acknowledge we need to work with the system to come up with new solutions.”

Novartis has become a pioneer of “outcome-based pricing” models, through its blood cancer Car-T medicine Kymriah: 90% of children treated with the drug have not relapsed. It has offered to waive the $475,000 price tag for pediatric use in the U.S. if remission is not achieved within 30 days of treatment.

The company has also developed a gene therapy treatment for spinal muscular atrophy, a rare genetic condition that often kills sufferers before the age of two. Clinical trials suggest that, four years after a single treatment in the first few months of life, children are progressing normally.

The 10-year costs, if borne by healthcare systems, of treating such ultra-rare diseases range from $2 million to $5 million, according to economic analysis presented by Novartis at a recent investor day. So the need for unique solutions, like working with reinsurance companies, is obvious.

Novartis Is Not Alone

Novartis’ suggested reinsurance model is actually not a novel strategy in the healthcare industry. Its fellow Swiss drug giant Roche Holdings (OTC: RHHBY) has been working with the aforementioned reinsurance company Swiss Re to provide cancer treatments in China since 2012.

According to a 2010 agreement, Roche provides healthcare data to Swiss Re to help the latter tailor its insurance policies, and in return Swiss Re re-insures five Chinese insurers, thus circumventing Chinese laws banning foreign firms from selling insurance in the country.

And actually, Roche has been active in China since 2007 working with insurance firms and healthcare networks to develop policies that will cover cancer treatments and next-generation diagnostics. The country’s overall public health system is still that of a developing economy, making what Roche and Swiss Re are doing an absolute necessity.

With more than 4.2 million people diagnosed with the disease every year, cancer is a major public health problem and one of the leading causes of death in China. Most cancer patients in China have to pay for their treatment out of their own pocket, in spite of the government’s efforts to expand healthcare coverage. For some cancer medicines, a full treatment course can cost ten times the average Chinese worker’s annual income!

This approach for Roche has been very successful in China. In 2015, it started a partnership with the Shenzhen Reimbursement Authority and the leading Chinese insurance company Ping An. Shenzhen became the first city in China where all four of our targeted cancer therapies approved in the country – MabThera/Rituxan, Avastin, Herceptin and Tarceva – were reimbursed by Chinese insurance firms. Based on this success, Roche is expanding the model to include additional cities across China.

This just goes to show how creative approaches can improve access to healthcare, even in China. So now, Roche is adapting the model and rolling it out in countries around the world.

Two Winners

I absolutely love companies that think outside the box as these two drug companies. That alone makes them investment-worthy. Then add in the fact that both stocks are actually up in the past year – Novartis is up about 3% and Roche about 1% and with both yielding roughly 3.5% in very safe dividends – and you have two stocks to weather any sort of further market downturn.

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If 2019 is 2008, Then These Are the Safest Dividends

If you’re like many income investors I hear from, you’re probably worried that 2019 is already shaping up to be a repeat of 2008. The media doesn’t help – the talking heads like to conjure up fear because it draws eyeballs to the TV screen and clicks to Internet articles.

But what if they’re right? In a moment we’ll discuss the safest dividends for a serious pullback.

First, let me calm you down and add that a 2008 rerun is not our most likely scenario. As generals tend to fight the last war, investors tend to fear the last bear market. The next bear is likely to have its own unique “charm” – causes and effects – and we’d like to figure out that flavor ahead of time.

If there’s more to this pullback than we’ve seen, then its affinity for utility stocks is worth noting. The S&P 500 made its recent high on September 20, but don’t tell that to these dividend payers because they’ve shrugged off the broader market’s pullback

This Bear’s Favorite Buy: Utilities?

I’ve been down on the utility sector for two years now and have specifically picked on blue chips Duke Energy (DUK)and Southern Company (SO) repeatedly. I don’t have anything against these firms, but I also don’t recommend buying them when their stocks are pricey and their yields are low, as they are today.

The problem with “dividend desperation” – paying too high a price for too low a yield – is that you end up collecting your payout but losing as much or more in price when the stock’s multiple contracts to its usual levels. And that’s exactly what’s played out with DUK and SO. Their price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios have contracted by 5% and 6% respectively as investors pay less for the same dividend. This has resulted in total returns of… not much:

Our Utility Pans Treaded Water

Is this recent “divergence” between these two large utilities and the broader market a significant tell? Perhaps, but neither stock interests me yet because both are still pricey. Their current P/Es, still around 20, are higher than they’ve been over much of the past decade. And their yields, at 4.3% and 5.4% respectively for DUK and SO, aren’t yet high enough to qualify for our 8% No Withdrawal Portfolio.

Fortunately we don’t have to settle for these pedestrian utility yields or their expensive stock prices. We can run these stocks through my Dividend Conversion Machine to double their yields to 8%, 9% and more – without adding any additional risk!

A Dividend Party Like It’s 2009

Nobody wants a repeat of 2008, but everyone wants another chance at 2009! Unfortunately most investors were too scared then to take advantage of once-in-a-lifetime yields. Our two utilities, for example, were paying their highest levels in years:

Generous Dividend Yields – For a Moment

More dividends for your dollar. Such were the “good times” that income investors could have enjoyed in 2009:

Why am I living in the past and telling you this now? Isn’t this an opportunity resigned to history forever? Fortunately NO – I’ve actually found a secret way for you to “force” blue chip names just like these to pay you massive, 2009-style dividend yields today.

Just Released: How to “Force” a 7.5% Dividend From Duke Energy

I’ve found 4 mysterious “Dividend Conversion Machines” that let you rewind the clock: buy stocks like Duke, but instead of grabbing today’s 4.4% dividend, you’ll get the same incredible 7.5% CASH payout folks who bought in 2009 bagged instead!

But there’s a vital difference: you won’t have to take a stomach-churning plunge to get it, like you would have back then.

Sure, handy slogans like “Buy when there’s blood in the streets” are easy to say. But actually overcoming fear and hitting the buy button at a time like that is almost impossible for most people.

But with these 4 amazing “Dividend Conversion Machines,” you’ll grab the same massive dividend yields the best blue chips were paying in that fleeting moment back in 2009 right now—TODAY.

And these life-changing payouts are safe, backed by these very same household-name stocks.

Massive Upside and 7.5% to 8%+ Dividends—in 1 Buy

What’s more, you can grab these lofty payouts whenever you’re ready: all at once, on an automatic yearly or monthly schedule … or simply whenever you have new money to invest.

It’s all up to you!

Best of all, each of these 4 incredible investments are about to explode and give us massive price upside, too.

How massive?

I’m talking 20%+ yearly price gains, on top of dividends of 8%, 10% and up—without having to buy in the middle of a meltdown, like our 2009 buyers did.

Editor's Note: The stock market is way up – and that’s terrible news for us dividend investors. Yields haven’t been this low in decades! But there are still plenty of great opportunities to secure meaningful income if you know where to look. Brett Owens' latest report reveals how you can easily (and safely) rake in 8%+ dividends and never worry about drawing down your capital again. Click here for full details!

Source: Contrarian Outlook