019 has been volatile, but so far into the year, a positive one for income stock investors. If you look at the Vanguard REIT Index Fund (VNQ) you see that 2019 has produced a steady increase in REIT values.
After a great first nine months of the year, the market is showing signs of strain and fears about an economic slowdown. There is also lingering fear from last year’s fourth-quarter market correction. Investing for dividend growth may be the best path to close out 2019 and into the new year.
Most REITs that regularly increase dividends do so once a year, and then pay the new dividend rate for the next four quarters. The timing of dividend increases is not widely followed, so if you know a bump in the payout rate of a REIT is coming, you can buy shares before the announcement and have a good chance at a nice share price boost when the new rate becomes actual news.
One of my income stock analysis techniques is to develop and maintain a database of REITs that tracks when, during the year, they have historically announced new dividend rates.
Currently, I have about 130 REITs in the database, and out of those, 90 have been increasing their payouts to shareholders.
While these REITs announce new dividend rates once a year, the timing varies. For every month of the year, there are companies that will announce a new rate.
Now is the time to look at the REITs that should increase dividends in November. If you buy shares three to four weeks ahead of the dividend announcement, you will be ahead of the crowd. The higher rate should produce a share price increase. In the worst case, your yield will go up compared to the current percentage quoted.
Here are three REITs that will most likely announce dividend boosts in November.
Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) acquires, redevelops, and manages retail properties in the nation’s most dynamic urban and street-retail corridors, including those in New York, San Francisco, Chicago, Washington DC, and Boston.
Acadia Realty will announce its third-quarter earnings results at the end of October. The new dividend rate announcement occurs during the first half of November.
For the last six years, the dividend has been bumped up by one cent, which would be a 3.6% increase on the current $0.28 per quarter dividend.
The payment of the new rate starts in January with a December 31st record date. This REIT has also paid a special year-end dividend three out of the last five years.
AKR currently yields 3.9%.
American Assets Trust, Inc. (AAT) owns, operates, acquires and develops retail, office, multifamily and mixed-use properties in high-barrier-to-entry markets in Southern California, Northern California, Oregon, Washington, Texas, and Hawaii.
This REIT has announced a higher dividend at the end of October or in early November of each of the last six years. In 2018 the new dividend was 3.7% higher than the old payout.
It looks like this year’s increase will be about 5%. The next dividend announcement will be around November 1st and has a record date of about December 10th.
The payment will be just before or just after Christmas. AAT currently yields 2.4%.
Kimco Realty Corp (KIM) owns and manages open-air shopping centers. This REIT slashed its dividend in 2009, during the financial crisis, but has increased it every year since then until 2018, when it didn’t announce an increase.
Kimco had increased the dividend by 7% on average for the previous five years, before not announcing an increase in 2018.
The company’s adjusted FFO per share was flat in the first half of 2019 compared to the same period in 2018, so it is uncertain the amount of any increase. The current dividend is just 75% of AFFO/share, so there is plenty of capacity for dividend growth. Kimco announces a new dividend rate at the end of October or in very early November with record and payment dates in January.
KIM currently yields 5.5%.
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Source: Investors Alley