Category Archives: Growth Stocks

5 Great Stocks to Take a Bite Out of China

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The fears of a trade war have sent the markets into a bit of a panic mode lately. Volatility has spiked and we’ve seen some pretty nasty intraday swings. But it’s not just U.S. firms that have felt the effects of the tariffs. Chinese stocks have also been hurt.

Since the war of words and tariffs, Chinese stocks have felt many of the same pressures as their U.S. counterparts and have sunk by pretty big amounts. But in those drops, Chinese stocks could be big bargains.

The long-term picture for China is still rosy. The nation’s huge and growing consumer class is spending, while its importance in the world’s economic picture is assured — with China becoming less and less reliant on the U.S. For investors, the key emerging market is a must own and now could be a great time to buy them.

With that, here are five great ways to load up on Chinese stocks.

The Best Ways To Buy Chinese Stocks Now #1: iShares MSCI China Index Fund (MCHI)

The simplest and quickest way to add a hefty dose of Chinese stocks is the iShares MSCI China Index Fund (NYSEArca:MCHI). The index ETF has grown more than $3.5 billion in assets as it represents one of the broadest takes on the nation.

As its name implies, MCHI tracks the benchmark MSCI China Index. That index covers a wide spectrum of Chinese equities, including both large- and mid-caps. In fact, MCHI’s 154 stocks provide exposure to roughly 85% of the entire Chinese market available to international investors. And that number is getting bigger as index provider MSCI has begun to gradually add exclusive A-shares. This boosts its holdings to over 375 when the transition is finally done.

That broad exposure to China’s equities makes MCHI one of the best ETFs for investors looking to profit from the nation’s continued rise. And it certainly has delivered in the returns department. MCHI has managed to post an average annual return of 10.76% over the last 5 years and was up an astonishing 53% in 2017.

And as a core holding, MCHI is also a pretty cheap option as well. Expenses for the Chinese stocks ETF only costs 0.62%- or $62 per $10,000 invested.

The Best Ways To Buy Chinese Stocks Now #2: Guggenheim China Small Cap ETF (HAO)

Small-caps have long been the way to play any nation’s domestic economy. After all, smaller firms usually don’t have the global reach of their larger sisters. And when it comes to China, that fact is no different. Smaller is a direct bet on the Asian Dragon’s domestic growth.

The way to play that growth is the Guggenheim China Small Cap ETF (NYSEARCA:HAO).

HAO follows the AlphaShares China Small Cap Index- which tracks the performance of Chinese stocks with market caps under $1.5 billion. HAO’s 319 stocks only include publicly-traded mainland stocks. So, no A-shares. Even without them, the ETFs diversification is broad with no sector accounting for more than 17% of assets.

Performance for HAO has been ok- with a 5-year average return of 7.17%. However, the fund has had periods over double-digit performance based on reactions to the Chinese economy. It’s a volatile play that could pay-off big time for investors looking for a leveraged play on the nation’s growth.

Expenses for HAO clock in at 0.75%.

The Best Ways To Buy Chinese Stocks Now #3: Matthews China Dividend Fund (MCDFX)

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For investors looking for an active way to play Chinese stocks, the Matthews China Dividend Fund (MUTF:MCDFX) could be a great choice.

Matthews’ sole focus is investing in Asia and as a result, the firm’s mutual funds have had plenty of outperformance vs. traditional index funds. This includes MCDFX. The fund has managed to beat the previously mentioned MSCI China Index by nearly double annually since its inception in 2009.

The key is the mutual fund’s focus. MCDFX bets on dividend payers in China. That provides a less volatile ride for shareholders and also provides plenty of income. While most view Chinese stocks as pure growth elements, they also can be great dividend payers. The fund’s 52 holdings throw off a healthy 2.59% dividend yield. That’s more than the S&P 500.

Perhaps the only downside to MCDFX is its expense ratio at 1.22%. in the world of low-cost investing, that’s very high. However, given its outperformance and dividend-focus, it could be worth paying for those investors looking for an active route into China.

The Best Ways To Buy Chinese Stocks Now #4: Global X China Consumer ETF (CHIQ)

One of the biggest reasons to own Chinese stocks in the first place is its growing middle class. With a population of around 1.4 billion, China’s story is very much a consumer one. As the nation’s wealth has expanded, consumer demand in the country has only exploded. The best part is the story is still only in the first couple innings of a very long ballgame.

To that end, betting directly on China’s growing consumerism makes a tone of sense. And the Global X China Consumer ETF (NYSEARCA:CHIQ) is the way to do it.

CHIQ tracks the Solactive China Consumer Total Return Index -which is a measure of all the consumer discretionary and staple stocks that operate in China. The fund’s 40 holdings read like a who’s who of retail, beverage, media, apparel and personal and household products companies in the nation. All in all, it’s a broad-bet on a quickly growing segment of the Chinese economy.

Much like previously mentioned HAO, CHIQ’s returns have been mixed- with periods of significant outperformance and underperformance. Over the last five years, however, CHIQ has averaged a 7.96% annual return. That’s not too shabby and considering the long-term projection for consumer growth, performance should pick-up over the upcoming decades.

Expenses run at 0.65%.

The Best Ways to Buy Chinese Stocks Now #5: Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA)

The ‘New’ Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) Stock Looks a Lot Like the Old One

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If you were going to own just one Chinese stock, it would have to be Alibaba Group Holdings Ltd (NYSE: BABA). Heck, if you were going own any tech stock- from any country- it might just have to be BABA. That’s because the stock has become a conglomerate of the some of the best takes in the technology sector.

For starters, BABA’s main bread-n-butter is its retail business. But unlike Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN), BABA only serves as the marketplace and doesn’t actually hold inventory. That provides higher margins than its rival.

Founder Jack Ma has used the hefty cash flows from this business to fund expansions into everything from peer-to-peer lending, social media, and even tablets/mobile devices. These moves, as well as deals into other parts of Asia, have only cemented Alibaba’s stance as one of China’s most important stocks and technology firms.

Meanwhile, the recent downturn in Chinese stocks has made BABA pretty attractive. Toward, the firm can be had for a forward P/E of just 24. That’s pretty cheap considering the potential, long-term growth and dominance of Chinese tech.

Get up to 14 dividend paychecks per month from safe, reliable stocks with The Monthly Dividend Paycheck Calendar, an easy-to-use system that shows you which dividend stocks to pick, when to buy them, when you get paid your dividends, and how much.  All you have to do is buy the stocks you like and tell them where to send your dividend payments. For more information Click Here.


Source: Investor Place 

How to Profit from Solving the World’s Water Shortage

Water is seemingly everywhere, covering about 70% of our planet. Yet, fresh water is extremely scarce – accounting for a mere 3% of the world’s supply. Of that amount, the vast majority is either locked up in glaciers or reside in inaccessible subterranean pockets.

And the fresh water that is accessible is not evenly distributed around the planet. For example, there is plenty of water in Siberia. But few people live there.

Of the amount of fresh water that is available, roughly 70% of that goes to agriculture to feed the world’s population. The enormous amount of water needed to grow the crops and livestock needed to feed and clothe the world’s growing population is creating a dire global situation.

The U.S. media tends to ignore events in the rest of the world, but there is a scary situation developing in South Africa’s second-largest city, Cape Town, with its four million residents.

Countdown to Day Zero

Cape Town is best known as a tourist haven and the center of South Africa’s wine industry. But now population growth and a record drought in the region have combined to push the city to the brink – to being very close to ‘Day Zero’ when its water reservoirs run dry.

Historically, despite the arid climate, Cape Town’s Table Mountain had trapped onshore breezes coming from warm ocean waters, creating rain locally that powered rivers and filled underground aquifers. But that has not happened the past two years thanks to unusually low rainfall – only 153.5mm (about 6 inches) of rainfall was recorded at Cape Town’s airport in 2017. That compared to more than 500mm in 2014. Climatologists say that another year of drought cannot be ruled out.

Of course, people acting stupid are to blame also. The well-to-do suburbs with water-hungry lawns and swimming pools are not conserving water despite pleas from local government officials. City officials asked residents to consume only 50 liters (about 13 gallons) a day of water, which is less than one-sixth what a typical American family uses.

And it’s not like city officials were sitting on their hands doing nothing… they were proactive. Over the last 20 years, the city made strides in reducing water use from its six major reservoirs, which hold up to 230 billion gallons of water. Per capita consumption declined, the city reduced leaks from water pipes, it forced large users to pay more, and generally promoted water efficiency. Cape Town even won several international water management awards. And currently, they are building their first water desalination plants.

But those efforts have not been enough. In 2014, its six dams were full. But then came three straight years of drought—the worst in more than a century. Now, according to data from NASA satellites, the reservoirs stand at 26% of capacity, with the single largest reservoir (it provides half the city’s water) in the worst shape. City officials plan to cut off the taps when the reservoirs hit 13.5%, which is known as ‘Day Zero’.

Residents of Cape Town are finding out the truth contained in this quote from Benjamin Franklin: “When the well is dry, we know the worth of water.”

Other Major Cities at Risk Too

Up until now, a shutdown of such a major metropolitan city would have been unthinkable. But as over-development, population growth and climate change have changed the balance between water supply and demand, urban centers all over the world may face the threat of severe water shortages.

In other words, other of humankind’s major cities are also at risk of severe water shortages.

Already, many of the 21 million residents of Mexico City only have running water part of the day, while one in five get just a few hours from their taps each week. Several major cities in India don’t have enough as poorer regions cut off the water flowing downstream to the ‘rich’ cities. Water managers in Melbourne, Australia, reported last summer that they could run out of water in about a decade. And Jakarta is actually running so dry that the city is literally sinking as residents suck up groundwater from below the surface.

In 2015, Sao Paolo Brazil faced a crisis similar to Cape Town with only 20 days’ worth of water left in its reservoirs. They were so low that pipes drew in mud instead of water, emergency water trucks were looted and homes only had access to water for a few hours twice a week. Only last-minute rains salvaged the situation there.

In Barcelona, Spain in 2008 tankers full of fresh water from France had to be imported into the city.

The bottom line is that 14 of the world’s 20 megacities are now experiencing water scarcity. And as many as 4 billion people (half of which are located in India and China) are living in areas where there is water stress for at least one month a year, according to a 2016 study in the journal Science Advances.

The Water Investment Opportunity

The current water crisis is driven both by climate and poor water infrastructure. In Jakarta Indonesia, for instance, water management is very poor with unsanitary water, lots of leaky pipes, heavy metals pollution and an inadequate number of pipes.

Even from an economic perspective, water is critical. As Pictet fund manager Arnaud Bisschop told Bloomberg, “There is a 100% correlation between water availability and GDP growth. If there’s no water, there’s no growth.”

That means there needs to be trillions of dollars spent on water and water infrastructure projects around the world in the coming decades. Even here in the U.S., estimates are than a trillion dollars needs to be spent over the next two decades to upgrade our deteriorating water infrastructure.

Water is emerging as an investment class. So much so that the CEO of the French water services firm Suez (OTC: SZEVY), Jean-Louis Chaussade, says it will be more valuable than oil someday. Even if that doesn’t happen, water should be a must-own part of your portfolio.

So how can you invest in water? The broadest way is through an exchange traded fund. There are five such ETFs that are available to you. The one I like the most is the former Guggenheim S&P Global Water Index ETF, which is now controlled by Invesco and is called the PowerShares S&P Global Water Index Portfolio (NYSE: CGW).

This is nicely balanced geographically with about 43% in the U.S. and the rest overseas. However, Wall Street is apparently still unaware of the water problem because this fund gained only 11.5% over the past year.

Its top five positions are all well-known names: American Water Works (NYSE: AWK)Xylem (NYSE: XYL)Danaher (NYSE: DHR)Veolia Environnement SA (OTC: VEOEY) and Pentair PLC (NYSE: PNR). One of these stocks is my top water recommendation and is available to subscribers of my Growth Stock Advisor newsletter. It is up more than 10% since the November 29 recommendation date despite the turbulent stock market we’ve had in 2018. And I expect much more upside in the years ahead due to the water situation globally.

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Source: Investors Alley 

10 Stocks to Buy for the Perfect All-Cap Portfolio

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When the average investor considers an all-cap ETF or mutual fund, it’s usually filled with large-cap stocks to buy with very little consideration for smaller companies despite the fact that small- and mid-cap stocks often deliver periods of excellent performance when large caps aren’t delivering the goods.

The point of an all-cap portfolio, as I see it, is to own a collection of stocks that represent companies of various sizes both large and small. Personally, in my experience, an all-cap portfolio equally weighted with large-, mid-, small- and micro-cap stocks tend to do better like a sports team than one that’s weighted to larger companies whose growth is generally slower.

However, many investors would be hesitant to include such a heavy weighting in stocks of less than $300 million in market cap so most all-cap ETFs and mutual funds tend to be large caps with a small helping of mid-caps.

These are the 10 stocks to buy for the perfect all-cap portfolio.

Large-Cap Stocks to Buy: Apple (AAPL)

Large-Cap Stocks to Buy: Apple (AAPL)

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In the past, I’ve mentioned Howard Lindzon in articles I’m discussing because I love the way he thinks about investing. One of his recent newsletter posts discussed how Apple Inc.(NASDAQ:AAPL) isn’t one of the sexiest or most exciting stocks he owns but he’s keeping it for now.

As large-cap stocks go, you can get no bigger. It’s the largest publicly traded company in the world. Apple might not be innovating at the pace it once did, but it’s still delivering great products that do what they’re supposed to.

Except, Lindzon also pointed me to a review of Apple’s AirPods that suggests it still knows a thing or two about designing products customers want.

“Apple’s AirPods design, which I initially ridiculed, is actually the best and most functional one available for truly wireless buds today,” wrote Vlad Savov in The Verge March 19. “Because Apple moved the Bluetooth electronics and batteries to the stem, it was able to use the full cavity of each bud for sound reproduction. That’s how the AirPods reproduce a wider soundstage than most Bluetooth earbuds without being any thicker or protruding from the ear.”

It’s something when you can take a big-time audiophile like Savov is reputed to be and turn his opinion 180 degrees from negative to positive.

So, before you give up on AAPL stock, remember that it has plenty of cash to continue developing products consumers enjoy. You can’t put a price on that.

Large-Cap Stocks to Buy: Berkshire Hathaway (BRK)

Large-Cap Stocks to Buy: Berkshire Hathaway (BRK)

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Not quite as big a large cap as Apple, Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE:BRK.A, NYSE:BRK.B) probably has the best-known CEO of any S&P 500 company.

Who hasn’t heard of Warren Buffett?

Famously honest with his shareholders, I wouldn’t be surprised if ethics professors studied Buffett’s annual letters to shareholders. They’re classic re-tellings of the year that just was — the happenings both good and bad.

I recently highlighted what I thought was the best quote from the 2017 letter.

“In our search for new stand-alone businesses, the key qualities we seek are durable competitive strengths; able and high-grade management; good returns on the net tangible assets required to operate the business; opportunities for internal growth at attractive returns; and, finally, a sensible purchase price,” stated Buffett on page four of the 2017 letter. “That last requirement proved a barrier to virtually all deals we reviewed in 2017, as prices for decent, but far from spectacular, businesses hit an all-time high.”

Buffett’s not perfect.

His stubborn support for Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC), a bank that faces up to $1 billion in fines from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau for auto insurance and mortgage lending abuses, is a bit mystifying, but when you have the kind of assets Berkshire Hathaway has, it’s easier to be patient.

Personally, if you only could own two stocks, I’d recommend Apple and Berkshire Hathaway.

Large-Cap Stocks to Buy: JD.Com (JD)

A few months ago, I wrote an article about JD.Com Inc (ADR) (NASDAQ:JDsuggesting that regarding value, JD stock was unquestionably a better buy than Alibaba Group Holding Ltd(NYSE:BABA).

Since that time, both stocks have flatlined.  While I like what Jack Ma’s done at Alibaba, I see what JD.com CEO Richard Liu is doing to build a global supply chain and can’t help think that is going to be the difference between success and failure for the company as it expands outside China.

I also see it growing faster than Jeff Bezos’s company did at the same time in its corporate history; I consider the risk to reward to be incredibly attractive.

Sure, it’s the riskiest of the large-cap stocks mentioned here, but JD.com also has the most upside.

Large-Cap Stocks to Buy: Royal Caribbean (RCL)

Large-Cap Stocks to Buy: Royal Caribbean (RCL)

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The other day I happened to read an article about Symphony of the Seas, the world’s largest cruise ship that Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (NYSE:RCL) just launched. It’s a fascinating story of how cruise ships became the ultimate in modern hospitality and entertainment.

Since my wife and I got married on Majesty of the Seas in February 2005, one of RCL’s smaller, older ships, I’ve been fascinated by the cruising experience although we’ve never been on one since. I love the idea of visiting some ports without having to pack and unpack several times during a vacation. I suppose that’s why people also love motorhomes.

Anyway, CEO Richard Fain’s been the head of the cruise line since 1988, which is a long time to be in charge of any organization these days, but especially so at one built on the necessity of change.

His tenure is amazing.

Interestingly, millennials are said to like cruising more than boomers or Gen Xers, which means Fain might have to stick around for another 30 years to get the company through the changes bound to come down the pike.

I see smooth sailing ahead for RCL stock.

Mid-Cap Stocks to Buy: Gildan (GIL)

Mid-Cap Stocks to Buy: Gildan (GIL)

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If you love investing in dividend stocks, Gildan Activewear Inc. (NYSE:GIL) ought to have your attention, because the Montreal-based maker of t-shirts and underwear does a good job growing its annual dividend payment.

On April 4, I identified as a company increasing its annual dividend payment by double digits. It raised its quarterly dividend Feb. 22 by 20% to $0.112-a-share, the sixth consecutive year to raise its annual dividend by 20%.

Seven years ago, it paid an annual dividend of $0.11-a-share. Today, that’s up to $0.45-a-share. In that time, revenues have increased by a billion dollars to $2.8 billion, while operating income has almost doubled from $239 million to $424 million in 2017.

Down more than 8% year-to-date, you’re getting GIL at prices near its 52-week low.

Mid-Cap Stocks to Buy: Axalta Coatings (AXTA)

Mid-Cap Stocks to Buy: Axalta Coatings (AXTA)

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I was going to recommend Wabco Holdings Inc. (NYSE:WBC) as one of my three mid-cap stocks because I remember Warren Buffett owning it for the longest time. However, he sold off the last of the company’s shares in the second quarter of 2017.

Instead, I noticed Berkshire Hathaway owns a little more than 23 million shares of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (NYSE:AXTA), which the company has owned since it bought most of them in a private deal in 2015 for $28 a share. Now finally making money on his investment, it’s possible that Buffett, as the largest shareholder, could buy the entire company to combine with its Benjamin Moore paint business.

Axalta’s fourth-quarter results were an improvement over the previous quarter providing a ray of hope for the manufacturer of performance coatings for commercial applications including vehicles and building facades to prevent corrosion.

“Axalta’s fourth quarter demonstrated a return to solid growth following our more challenged third quarter result, with net sales and Adjusted EBITDA performance both at or above our revised guidance ranges,” said Charles W. Shaver, Axalta’s Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Feb. 6. “Our stated expectation of improved financial performance beginning in the fourth quarter was met and was supported by the broad-based market strength and sound execution by our business teams.”

If Buffett didn’t own Axalta, I’d be less interested, but he does, and so I am.

Mid-Cap Stocks to Buy: Nordstrom (JWN)

Mid-Cap Stocks to Buy: Nordstrom (JWN)

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Investors were disappointed March 20 by news from the special committee advising the Nordstrom, Inc. (NYSE:JWN) board that the Nordstrom family couldn’t pull together a decent deal to acquire the company they founded and still run.

Although it hasn’t been a good time for most department stores in the past three years, Nordstrom’s stock has held up slightly better than its peers over this period, who’ve seen annual losses of close to 13%.

Although the door has closed on the Nordstrom family buying its namesake, the company continues to push on with its future plans. In March, it announced that it had acquired two small tech companies — BevyUp and MessageYes — whose technology allows retail employees to keep in contact with customers when not in the store.

Nordstrom has always been about the customer experience; these two acquisitions will help it maintain its leadership position in this very important part of retailing.

And let’s not forget, Nordstrom generated record revenue of $15.1 billion in fiscal 2017, while also increasing EBIT profits by 15% to almost $1 billion. Department stores might be suffering more than usual but Nordstrom’s not exactly ready for the bargain bin just yet.

Up year-to-date by 2%, I expect the company’s Rack and e-commerce businesses to make up for any softness in the full-line stores.

Small-Cap Stocks to Buy: Callaway Golf (ELY)

Small-Cap Stocks to Buy: Callaway Golf (ELY)

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The Masters just finished up for another year delivering an exciting finish that saw Patrick Reed fend off Ricky Fowler by one stroke and the hard-charging Jordan Spieth by two.

Golf is getting exciting again and not just because Tiger Woods is starting to make some competitive noise. Parents are starting to come to the conclusion that violent sports such as football aren’t healthy for their children’s long-term cognitive skills and are pushing them into sports like golf and swimming.

A quick look at a five-year chart of Callaway Golf Co (NYSE:ELY) shows a gradual improvement that’s taken the stock from less than $7 in 2013 to almost $17 today. Up 21% year-to-date through April 6, a lot of that has to do with its improving financials.

In 2017, Callaway grew operating income by 78% to $79 million on revenue of $1.05 billion, itself a 20% increase over last year.

In December, I suggested that Callaway would produce a four straight year of positive returns. Although it’s early, my prediction is looking pretty good.

In my opinion, ELY is a small-cap stock to own beyond 2018.

Small-Cap Stocks to Buy: Restoration Hardware (RH)

Restoration Hardware Holdings, Inc (NYSE:RH) has got to be one of the most mercurial small-cap stocks trading on a U.S. exchange. It’s up and down by major chunks at a time — most recently, it jumped more than 20% after announcing better than expected Q4 2017 earnings — as investors try to figure out whether its move into higher-end furniture and interior design will generate sustainable earnings.

Well, if the fourth quarter is any indication, it will and it can.

The company announced $1.05 a share in Q4 2017 adjusted earnings, 46 cents higher than analysts were expecting. The retailer is doing better as a result of its move to a club membership where customers pay $100 per year to get 25% off everything sold in the store including interior design services.

In its earnings press release, CEO Gary Friedman stated that 95% of its revenue comes from members. Its move from a promotional business model to that of a club has delivered higher profits and free cash flow from lower inventory.

Not only that, but its first three stores with restaurants in Chicago, Toronto and West Palm Beach are all performing well above expectations generating significant traffic for the stores themselves. The West Palm restaurant is expected to generate $7 million in 2018, a huge number.

As InvestorPlace contributor Vince Martin recently suggested, RH shorts got caught in a short-squeeze of epic proportions. Long-term, I think this model makes a lot of sense. I said as much in 2016; nothing has changed in my opinion.

Micro-Cap Stocks to Buy: Red Lion Hotels (RLH)

Micro-Cap Stocks to Buy: Red Lion Hotels (RLH)

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Once upon a time, I wrote about micro-cap stocks more frequently; I found them to be a great addition to the typical portfolio filled with large-cap and mid-cap stocks. Today, micro-cap stocks (market cap less than $300 million) seem so foreign to me.

Of the 47 micro-cap stocks I found that had a PEG ratio higher than 1 and trading at less than 20 times operating cash flow, Red Lion Hotels Corporation (NYSE:RLH) appears to be the best bet to fill out my all-cap portfolio.

The Colorado hotel franchiser recently purchased the Knights Inn brand of hotels from Wyndham Worldwide Corporation (NYSE:WYN) for $27 million. The deal gives Red Lion 350 additional properties and brings the total number of hotels it operates to almost 1,500 in the U.S. and Canada.

As a result of the purchase, Red Lion becomes one of the top 10 hotel franchisers in the world. Like many hotel companies these days, it runs an asset-light business model.

In 2017, RLH generated $172 million in revenue and operating income of $1.1 million, a significant improvement from 2016. The acquisition of the Knights Inn brand will continue to improve the top- and bottom-line.

Red Lion Hotels flies under the radar of most investors. You might want to check this hotel stock out a little closer.

Get up to 14 dividend paychecks per month from safe, reliable stocks with The Monthly Dividend Paycheck Calendar, an easy-to-use system that shows you which dividend stocks to pick, when to buy them, when you get paid your dividends, and how much.  All you have to do is buy the stocks you like and tell them where to send your dividend payments. For more information Click Here.


Source: Investor Place 

These 3 Fast-Growing Stocks Top Both Amazon and Netflix

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Big growth stocks have performed quite well in this bull market. At the head of the big growth stockpile are Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX). And it seems those two fast-growing stock behemoths get all the attention.

But this creates a problem. There’s huge demand for big growth stocks, and most of that demand is flowing into AMZN and NFLX. That means the long Amazon stock and long Netflix trades are quite crowded. Crowded trades can be dangerous trades because when the crowd turns against you, a lot of money exits the stock in a hurry. That is especially true if there is leverage involved.

Long story short, when crowded trades unwind, things can get ugly in a hurry.

That isn’t to say anything is wrong with AMZN or NFLX. Those are two great companies with winning stocks.

It is just to point out that long Amazon and long Netflix stock are crowded trades. So if you’re looking for more exposure to big growth, I wouldn’t go out and buy more AMZN or NFLX. I’d look for big growth elsewhere. In lesser-known names and in less-crowded trades.

Where would I start? Here. Below, I’ve comprised a list of my three favorite growth stocks that are growing faster than Amazon and Netflix.

Fast-Growing Stocks: Shopify Inc (SHOP)

My favorite growth stock in the market is Shopify Inc (NYSE:SHOP).

In many ways, Shopify reminds me of an early-stage Amazon. Shopify provides digital commerce cloud solutions to retailers of all shapes and sizes. In this sense, the company is a pure-play on the exact same secular trends that burst Amazon into the spotlight: digital commerce and cloud.

Shopify’s growth story may even be a little be sexier than an early-stage Amazon. Shopify is retailer-agnostic. They operate in the background. That means every retailer could use Shopify’s solutions to enhance their digital selling capabilities. Because of this, Shopify’s addressable market is larger than Amazon’s because Shopify serves all retailers, whereas Amazon serves Amazon (and Amazon accounts for less than half of all digital sales in the U.S., and presumably far less internationally).

This is why Shopify’s revenue growth last quarter (+71%) was nearly double Amazon’s revenue growth last quarter (+38%). Considering Shopify is providing solutions for essentially every player in the massive and secular growth e-commerce market, and that Shopify’s revenues were under $700 million last year, Shopify should be able to grow at a faster rate than Amazon into the foreseeable future.

Meanwhile, margins are roaring higher alongside revenue growth and the company is going from a money-losing operation to a money-making operation.

Sound familiar? This is Amazon all over again. Pure-play on digital commerce and cloud. Huge revenue growth. Massive addressable market. Strong margin ramp.

Consequently, if you’re looking for exposure to things AMZN has exposure to but don’t want to buy more Amazon stock, I’d recommend taking a look at SHOP. It could be a big winner over the next five to ten years.

Fast-Growing Stocks: Weibo Corp (ADR) (WB)

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If you’re looking for big growth, a good place to start is in China, where a recent boom in consumerism (and a lack of competition from U.S. firms) is creating massive growth opportunities for Chinese tech companies.

One of the fastest growing Chinese tech companies is social media giant Weibo Corp (ADR)(NASDAQ:WB). Weibo is often considered the Twitter Inc (NYSE:TWTR) of China, but they probably wouldn’t like that comparison. Weibo has more users than Twitter (392 million versus 330 million Twitter), is growing at a way faster rate (revenues +77% last quarter versus +2% for Twitter), and is more profitable (ebitda margins of roughly 43% last quarter versus 42% for Twitter).

The exciting thing about Weibo is that the company looks undervalued at the present moment.

If you think that the consumer landscape of China will start to look like the consumer landscape of America over the next several years (which is a realistic belief considering the evolution of the Chinese economy over the past several years), then Weibo’s users should be worth as much as Twitter’s users. But Twitter’s market cap is currently $23.5 billion, meaning each one of its 330 million monthly users is worth roughly $71. Weibo’s market cap is $27.4 billion, meaning each one of its 392 monthly users is worth roughly $70.

If Weibo keeps growing its user base at the current pace (+80 million year-over-year), then the company could have around 470 million monthly users by next year. At $71 per user, that implies $33.4 billion, roughly 20% above current levels.

Overall, Chinese tech stocks are a great place to look for growth outside of AMZN and NFLX. One of the biggest growers in that space is WB, and that stock looks materially undervalued relative to its U.S. comp.

Fast-Growing Stocks: Snap Inc (SNAP)

Source: Shutterstock

It seems you either love or hate Snap Inc (NYSE:SNAP). There really is no in between when it comes to the upstart social media company.

But the numbers are hard to argue. Snap’s revenue growth last quarter was 72%, by far and away the biggest market in the U.S. digital advertising quartet of Facebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB), Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG), Twitter and Snap. User growth was 18%, again the best mark in the U.S. social media trio of Facebook, Twitter and Snap.

Bears will scream that growth should be bigger because Snap is smaller. Bulls will argue Snap is stealing market share away from Facebook, Google, and Twitter.

Market research seems to suggest the bulls are right here. According to eMarketer, Snap is chipping away at the digital advertising market dominance of Facebook and Google.

I don’t think that makes Facebook or Google any less attractive as investments. This chipping was inevitably going to happen, and the two still control 57% of the entire digital advertising market.

But I think it does make Snap more attractive as an investment. I continue to believe that Snap is morphing into a go-to digital advertising platform for small to medium-sized businesses that don’t necessarily need the max reach that Facebook and Google offer, but rather need the max engagement that Snapchat offers. This is a strong niche in the digital advertising world for Snap to operate in. As such, massive revenue growth rates in the 50%-plus range are here to stay.

If you’re looking for exposure to the high-growth digital advertising market, but don’t necessarily want to buy more FB or GOOG, SNAP should be on your radar.

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Source: Investor Place

The 10 Best Stocks to Invest In Right Now

Source: Shutterstock

It’s a different market than it was just two months ago. Volatility has returned, even if it remains modest relative to historical levels. Big names like Procter & Gamble Co (NYSE:PG) and Walmart Inc (NYSE:WMT), among others, have seen precipitous share price declines just in the past few weeks.

It’s a choppier, more cautious, environment. That’s not a bad thing, however. After a basically uninterrupted post-election rally, several stocks have seen pullbacks that provide more attractive entry points. Others simply haven’t received their due credit from the market.

While there might be reasons for caution overall – higher interest rates, macro concerns – more opportunities exist as well.

This more and more looks like a “stockpicker’s market.” For those stockpickers, here are 10 stocks to buy that look particularly attractive at the moment.

10 Best Stocks to Invest In Right Now: Exxon Mobil

xom stock

Source: Shutterstock

I’m as surprised as anyone that Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:XOM) makes this list. I’ve long been skeptical toward XOM. The internal hedge between upstream and downstream operations makes Exxon stock a surprisingly poor play on higher oil prices. Overall, it leads XOM to stay relatively rangebound – as it has been for basically a decade now.

But price matters, as I argued this week (insert link here if possible). And XOM is at its lowest levels in more than two years after a steady decline since late January. With the dividend over 4% and a sub-16x forward P/E multiple, Exxon Mobil stock looks like a value play. Meanwhile, management is forecasting that earnings can double by 2025, adding a modest growth component to the story.

Obviously, there’s a risk that Exxon management is being too optimistic. Years of underperformance relative to peers like Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX) and even BP plc (ADR) (NYSE:BP) has eroded the market’s confidence. If Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) can lead a true electric car revolution, that, too, could impact demand and pricing going forward.

At current levels, however, the market is pricing in close to zero chance of Exxon hitting its targets. And that’s why XOM is attractive right now. A continuation of the status quo still gives investors 4%+ income annually. Any improvements in production, or pricing, provide upside. At a two-year low, Exxon doesn’t have to be perfect to see upside in XOM stock.

10 Best Stocks to Invest In Right Now: Nathan’s Famous

Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2017

Source: Flickr

In this market, recommending a restaurant owner – let alone a hot dog restaurant owner – might seem silly at best. But there’s a strong bull case for Nathan’s Famous, Inc. (NASDAQ:NATH) at the moment.

NATH, too, has seen a sharp pullback of late. The stock touched a 52-week (and all-time) high just shy of $95 in November. It’s since come down about 30%, though roughly one-sixth of the decline can be attributed to a $5 per share special dividend paid in December.

Yet the story hasn’t really changed all that much. Fiscal Q3 earnings in February were solid. The company’s agreement with John Morrell, who manufactures Nathan’s product for retail sale and Sam’s Club operations, offers huge margins, while revenue continues to grow. Foodservice sales similarly are increasing.

The restaurant business has been choppier. But it remains profitable. The mostly-franchised model there is similar to those of Domino’s Pizza, Inc. (NYSE:DPZ) and Yum! Brands, Inc.(NYSE:YUM), among others, all of whom are getting well above-market multiples.

All told, Nathan’s has an attractive licensing model, which leverages revenue growth across the operating businesses. And yet, at 13x EV/EBITDA, and 20x P/FCF, the stock trades at a significant discount to peers. NATH has stabilized over the past few weeks, and Q4 earnings in June could be a catalyst for upside. Investors would do well to buy NATH ahead of that report.

10 Best Stocks to Invest In Right Now: Bank of America

3 Reasons BAC Stock Has More Upside

Source: Shutterstock

Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC) trades at its highest level since the financial crisis, and has gained over 150% from July 2016 lows. Trading has been a bit choppier of late – no surprise for a macro-sensitive stock in this market — and there’s a case, perhaps, to wait for a better entry point.

But I’ve liked BAC stock for some time now, and as I wrote last week I don’t see any reason to back off yet. Earnings growth should be solid for the foreseeable future, given rising Fed rates and a strong economy.

BofA itself has executed nicely over the past few years. The company’s credit profile is solid and its stock has outperformed other big banks like Citigroup Inc (NYSE:C) and even JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM). And tax reform and easing capital restrictions mean a big dividend hike could be on the way as well.

And despite the big run, it’s not as if BAC is expensive. The stock still trades at less than 12x 2019 EPS estimates. Unless the economy turns south quickly, that seems too cheap. So it looks like the big run in Bank of America stock isn’t over yet.

10 Best Stocks to Invest In Right Now: Nutrisystem

Source: Nutrisystem

Nutrisystem Inc. (NASDAQ:NTRI) is another candidate to buy on a pullback. In a disappointing Q4 earnings release at the end of February, Nutrisystem disclosed a rough start to 2018. The beginning of the year is known as “diet season”, a key period for companies like Nutrisystem and  Weight Watchers International, Inc. (NYSE:WTW), as many customers look to act on New Year’s Resolutions.

But marketing missteps led to poor results from Nutrisystem. 2018 guidance now implies basically zero revenue growth – after analysts had projected a 13% increase for the full year.

Still, Nutrisystem is now priced almost as if growth is coming to an end for good. And I as argued at the time, that’s just too pessimistic. The average Street target price still is well above $40, implying over 30% upside. NTRI now trades at under 16x the midpoint of 2018 EPS guidance, and yields over 3%.

The valuation implies that Nutrisystem management is wrong – that 2018’s deceleration is a permanent change. If Nutrisystem management is right – and they’ve earned some credibility in leading revenue and profit to soar over the past few years – then $32 is a far too cheap price for NTRI.

10 Best Stocks to Invest In Right Now: Roku

Why There's a Lot of Volatility Coming for ROKU Stock

Source: Shutterstock

Roku Inc (NASDAQ:ROKU) undoubtedly is the riskiest stock on this list. And there certainly is a case for caution. The company remains unprofitable on even an Adjusted EBITDA basis. A ~7x EV/revenue multiple isn’t cheap; it’s even higher considering that almost half of 2018 revenue will come from the player business, which is a ‘loss leader’ for advertising and platform revenue.

But management also detailed a really interesting future on the Q4 call. The company is looking to build a true content ecosystem – and from a subscriber standpoint, already has surpassed Charter Communications Inc (NASDAQ:CHTR) and trails only AT&T Inc. (NYSE:T) and Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ:CMCSA).

Again, this is a high-risk play – but it’s also a high-reward opportunity. Margins in the platform segment are very attractive, and should allow Roku to turn profitable relatively quickly. International markets remain largely untapped. There’s a case for waiting for a better entry point, or selling puts. But I like ROKU at these levels for the growth/high-risk portion of an investor’s portfolio.

10 Best Stocks to Invest In Right Now: Brunswick

Source: Shutterstock

Brunswick Corporation (NYSE:BC) is due for a breakout. The boat, engine, and fitness equipment manufacturer is nearing resistance around $63 that’s held for close to a year now. Despite a boating sector that has roared of late, BC – the industry leader – has been mostly left out.

Over the last year, smaller manufacturers Marine Products Corp. (NYSE:MPX), Malibu Boats Inc (NASDAQ:MBUU), and MCBC Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:MCFT) have gained 51%, 71%, and 68%, respectively. BC, in contrast, has gained just 2%. It actually trades at a discount to MBUU and MCFT – despite its leadership position and strong earnings growth of late.

Efforts to build out a fitness business have had mixed results, and may support some of the market’s skepticism toward the stock. But Brunswick now is spinning that business off, returning to be a boating pure-play.

Cyclical risk is worth noting, and there are questions as to whether millennials will have the same fervor for boating as their parents. But at 12x EPS, with earnings still growing double-digits, BC is easily worth those risks.

And if the stock finally can break through resistance, a breakout toward $70+ seems likely.

10 Best Stocks to Invest In Right Now: Pfizer

3 Reasons to Be Bullish on PFE Stock

Source: Shutterstock

Few investors like the pharmaceutical space at this point – or even healthcare as a whole. But amidst that negativity, Pfizer Inc. (NYSE:PFE) looks forgotten.

This still is the most valuable drug manufacturer in the world (for now; it’s neck and neck with Novartis AG (ADR) (NYSE:NVS)). It trades at just 12x EPS, a multiple that suggests profits will stay basically flat in perpetuity. To top it off, PFE offers a 3.7% dividend yield.

Obviously, there are risks here. Drug pricing continues to be subject to political scrutiny (though the spotlight seems to have dimmed of late). Revenue growth has flattened out of late. But Pfizer still is growing earnings, with adjusted EPS rising 11% last year and guidance suggesting a similar increase this year. Tom Taulli last month cited three reasons to buy Pfizer stock – and I think he’s got it about right.

10 Best Stocks to Invest In Right Now: Valmont Industries

Source: Shutterstocks

Valmont Industries, Inc. (NYSE:VMI) offers a diversified portfolio – and across the board, business has been relatively weak of late. The irrigation business has been hit by years of declining farm income. Support structures manufactured for utilities and highways have seen choppy demand due to uneven government spending. Mining weakness has had an impact on Valmont’s smaller businesses as well.

Valmont is a cyclical business where the cycles simply haven’t been much in the company’s favor. Yet that should start to change. 5G and increasing wireless usage should help the company’s business with cellular phone companies. Irrigation demand almost has to return at some point. And a possible infrastructure plan from the Trump Administration would benefit Valmont as well.

Concerns about the recently imposed tariffs on steel likely have hit VMI, and sent it back to support below $150. But many of Valmont’s contracts are ‘pass-through’, which limits the direct impact of those higher costs on the company itself. Despite uneven demand, EPS has been growing steadily, and should do so in 2018 as well.

And yet VMI trades at an attractive 16x multiple – a multiple that suggests Valmont is closer to the top of the cycle than the bottom. That seems unlikely to be the case, and as earnings grow and the multiple expands, VMI has a clear path to upside.

10 Best Stocks to Invest In Right Now: American Eagle Outfitters

Is It Worth Chasing the Rally in AEO Stock?

American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:AEO) is one of the, if not the, best stocks in retail – and that’s kind of the problem. Mall retailing, in particular, has been a very tough space over the past few years. And it’s not just the impact of Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) and other online retailers. Traffic continues to decline, which pressures sales and has led to intense competition on price, hurting margins.

But American Eagle has survived rather well so far, keeping comps positive and earnings stable. And yet this stock, too, trades at around 12x EPS, backing out its net cash. And American Eagle has an ace in the hole: its aerie line, which continues to grow at a breakneck pace. aerie brand comparable sales rose 27% in fiscal 2017, on top of a 23% rise the year before.

The company’s bralettes and other products clearly are taking share from L Brands Inc(NYSE:LB) unit Victoria’s Secret. And the e-commerce growth in that business, and for American Eagle as a whole, suggests an ability to dodge the intense pressure on mall-based retailers.

In short, American Eagle isn’t going anywhere. There’s enough here to suggest American Eagle can eke out some growth, and a 2.5% dividend provides income in the meantime.

The stock already is recovering from a post-earnings sell-off last week, and should continue to do so. And longer-term, there’s still room for consistent growth, and more upside.

10 Best Stocks to Invest In Right Now: United Parcel Service

Source: UPS

United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) fell when the broad market did in February – and simply never recovered. A disappointing Q4 earnings report, in which investors saw signs of higher spending, drove some of the decline. But UPS stock wound up falling 22% in a matter of weeks – which looks like an unjustified sell-off.

UPS is going to have to spend to add capacity, and in this space too there’s the ever-present threat of Amazon. But UPS is an entrenched leader, along with rival FedEx Corporation(NYSE:FDX), and it at worst can co-exist with Amazon. E-commerce growth overall should continue to increase demand; there’s enough room for multiple players in the global market.

Meanwhile, the sell-off and benefits from tax reform mean that UPS now is trading at just 15x the midpoint of its guidance for 2018. And the stock yields a healthy 3.3%. Investors clearly see a risk that growth will decelerate, but UPS stock is priced as if that deceleration is guaranteed.

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How to Profit from Demand Destruction of Oil

In the latest annual energy outlook from BP PLC (NYSE: BP), it was the first time the company forecast oil demand would eventually peak and then steadily decline. BP put the date for peak oil demand in the late 2030s.

And the cause is one I’ve told you about quite often in my articles – the rise of electric vehicles. BP said there would be 300 million electric vehicles on the road by 2040, up from about 3 million today. BP says electric vehicles will account for only 15% of the roughly 3 billion cars on the road in 2040. But they will account for 30% of all passenger car transportation, as measured by distance traveled, because so many of them will be shared vehicles, à la Uber.

BP’s outlook also envisaged renewable power growing from just 4% of global energy consumption today to 14% in 2040.

Add all of that up and you can surmise that a lot of changes are ahead for the oil industry. Yet only some of the world’s major oil companies are preparing for what the future will hold.

Your Friendly Neighborhood Power Provider

The oil companies that seem to have begun the process of adapting to a lower carbon economy are located across the pond in Europe. These include Royal Dutch Shell PLC (NYSE: RDS.A and NYSE: RDS.B)Total SA (NYSE: TOT) as well as the aforementioned BP. Both Shell and Total, for example, have invested heavily into natural gas as a cleaner alternative to coal for power generation.

But now the two companies are moving forward with even more ambitious plans.

Both Shell and Total are moving into the consumer power market. The reason is obvious to the head of Shell’s “new energy” strategy, Maarten Wetselaar. He forecast that the proportion of global energy consumption to be met by electricity will climb from less than 20% currently to about 50% over the next few decades.

This outlook is largely in agreement with the forecast of BP, which can be seen in the chart below:

Both companies have also moved into renewable energy. In January, Shell bought a 44% stake in the U.S. solar energy company, Silicon Ranch Corporation, for $217 million. And last October, it purchased NewMotion, which operates one of Europe’s largest electric vehicle charging networks. The company also has a 20% stake in the huge Borssele offshore wind project off the coast of Holland.

Total’s strategy is similar. It paid nearly $300 million for a 23% stake in the French renewable energy company, Eren. It also spent $2 billion (about a billion each) over the past few years buying the U.S. solar company, SunPower, and the French battery developer Saft. The latter makes specialized long-life lithium-ion batteries for industries including telecommunications, medicine, aerospace and defense. Its products are installed in two-thirds of the world’s commercial aircraft and over 200 satellites.

The management at both companies acknowledge that the global energy market – long dominated by oil – is beginning to give way to a lower-carbon system, with much larger future roles for natural gas and renewable power. And both companies are already laying the foundation for such a future by moving into the selling of power…

Shell is close to completing its acquisition of First Utility, the UK electricity and gas supplier, which it agreed to buy last December in a deal that will pit it against the U.K. ‘s larger power suppliers. Meanwhile, Total is in the early stages of building a retail energy business in its domestic French market to challenge the country’s incumbent power providers.

These acquisitions are all part of the long-term strategy of these companies. It’s a rather straightforward strategy too – to sell the power from their own renewable and other energy sources (such as natural gas) through their energy trading businesses to customers, both commercial and to a lesser extent, residential.

Shell, for instance, already is among the largest power traders in both Europe and North America. And given its size and scope, it may become a supplier of choice for many large industrial customers, threatening the long-term viability of existing utilities.

Related: Dump These Energy Stocks Before the Next Correction

What the Other Oil Companies Are Doing

Most of the other major European oil firms are moving down the same path as Shell and Total, albeit at a slower pace. BP has owned a large U.S. wind business for many years and in December signed a $200 million deal to buy Lightsource, a U.K. solar power developer. Even Italy’s Eni SpA (NYSE: E) and Norway’s Statoil ASA (NYSE: STO) are investing in solar and offshore wind, respectively.

Yet the two U.S. giants – ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) and Chevron (NYSE: CVX) – have largely not followed their European peers into other forms of energy besides oil. They seem content being dinosaurs drawing jeers from climate activists.

Exxon and Chevron are ignoring the eventual transition to a lower carbon world. No one knows how fast this transition will occur. But one thing is all but certain: electricity will be at the heart of the shift with power demand increasing in transportation, industry and the services sector as oil is displaced.

If you want to invest in oil stocks, I would completely avoid the U.S. majors and stick with the European majors where management seems more willing to diversify. As Mr. Wetselaar of Shell was quoted by the Financial Times, “Electrification… is going to be the story of the next decades. We want to not just be part of it; we want to become a leader.”

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The Tax Cut May Not Deliver All Its Promises

basic truth in life is that, if it sounds too good to be true, it usually isn’t all it’s cracked up to be. The same applies to investing. You have probably heard how great the tax cut will be for companies across the board. Well, ‘warts’ are already appearing on the tax cut front.

In an earlier article I on taxes I wrote: “Will the airlines just use the [tax] windfall to launch into another round of airfare wars? (See article here.) The industry has squandered windfalls in the past, such as from plunging oil prices.”

Based on the recent earnings call from United Continental Holdings (NYSE: UAL), it looks like another airfare price war is just around the corner.

The Airlines Never Learn

UAL’s management said it plans to increase available seat miles over the next three years by 4% to 6% per year. That compares to a 3.5% rise in 2017 and only a 1.4% rise in 2016. That sounds a lot like previous mistakes of expanding too much too quickly and then being forced to slash ticket prices.

Other airlines, of course, would respond in kind and another price war would be underway. Adding to the concerns about the industry, UAL’s management also seemed to signal a willingness to take on low-cost carriers on a price basis.

So forget about anything you may have heard about the benefits of the tax cuts for the airline industry.

Yes, the benefits are real. But it looks like, once again, that the industry will squander the benefits as it did when oil prices fell steeply. Until it becomes clear whether the airline industry will go down the path of another price war, I would avoid them and in particular, United Continental.

This should just bring home the point to you that you have should never base an investment decision solely on tax or other government policies.

While the airlines seem to be fumbling an opportunity to prosper, what really caught my eye regarding the new tax law is the potential perverse effect it will have on the prospects for technology companies repatriating their overseas assets (some cash, but mainly bonds).

Will Repatriation Happen?

Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) garnered a lot of headlines recently when it said it would make a one-off $38 billion tax payment on the repatriation of some of its overseas profits. That led to speculation by the Trump Administration and others about how other technology companies would follow Apple’s lead.

But some tax experts say it may not happen. They point to parts of the legislation that could end up having the direct opposite effect, leading firms to shift more of their assets (and jobs) offshore.

A law professor at the University of Southern California, Ed Kleibard, told the Financial Times “The bill is biased in favor of offshore real investment.” In other words, companies may perversely be encouraged to build plants overseas, creating jobs there. Let me explain…

There is a new tax on any overseas profits above a fixed, tax-free return that companies will be allowed to earn on their tangible assets, such as plant and equipment. This is known as the GILTI (global intangible low-tax income) tax and it is aimed at taxing excess profits from intangibles, such as a technology company’s or pharmaceutical company’s patents and intellectual properties. Thanks to technology, the share of many companies’ assets that are intangible has grown a lot in recent years.

However, the GILTI tax rate is only half the new U.S. corporate tax rate. And companies can take a credit for any foreign taxes paid on this tax. This may encourage firms to keep as much of their profits in tax havens as they can, lowering their overall foreign taxes to a level where they can fully offset the minimal GILTI tax.

And here’s where it touches on the earlier point I made about real overseas investments. A law professor at the University of Pennsylvania, Chris Sanchirico explained to the Financial Times that all sorts of multinationals will have an incentive to add to their offshore facilities like factories (and the linked jobs), since such action will boost their tangible assets outside the United States, therefore sheltering even more of their profits from tax.

The likely result of all these new tax ‘games’ that will be played by the big multinationals? Likely hundreds of billions of dollars will remain ‘trapped’ outside the U.S.

What It Means to You

As far as investment implications goes, I think it means you should stick to investing in the large U.S. multinational companies. These same companies are already enjoying the benefits of a much weaker U.S. dollar that the Trump Administration is encouraging.

One prime example is Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT). In early December, its stock was down to $81 over worries about the tax bill. Now it is over $92 a share and still climbing. There are lots of reasons why, but I’m sure Wall Street has by now realized the new tax law won’t hurt Microsoft. Again, never make an investment decision solely on something like taxes.

In Microsoft’s case, I much prefer concentrating on its efforts in the cloud, artificial intelligence and quantum computing. For more on Microsoft and quantum computing, stay tuned for my next.

One other investment for you to consider is the WisdomTree U.S. Export and Multinational Fund (NYSE: WEXP). It is filled with blue-chip U.S. multinationals such as Microsoft, Boeing, Johnson & Johnson, Apple and Alphabet.

This ETF is up 21% over the past year and I would expect this type of performance to continue as long as the dollar tailwind and other macro factors (including taxes) continue to be favorable.

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3 Stocks Taking Off From Trump’s Tax Cuts

The cut in the U.S. corporate tax rate from 35% to 21% is supposed to do everything from juicing the U.S. economy to levels not seen in decades to enriching both shareholders and consumers alike. But the reality is likely to be quite different.

The first thing it will bring is a muddied fourth quarter earnings season for investors. A one-time tax on accumulated offshore earnings and revaluations of deferred taxes, based on the new rate, means a lot of potential charges and writeoffs for multinational companies. For firms that report only GAAP earnings, the headline impact on earnings could be quite large.

Investors should look through these one-off charges and focus on what the long-term effects will be on the companies they are invested in.

While many on Wall Street make proclamations about the benefits of the corporate tax cut for banks, I believe the sector still faces too many headwinds (like continuing low interest rates) for me to be interested in investing into banks. Instead, I’d rather focus on three other sectors – with still relatively low valuations – that should benefit from the changes in the tax law regarding U.S. corporations.

Airlines to Fly High

One of the biggest beneficiaries of the tax cut is the U.S. airline industry. Since most of their income is taxed domestically, the lowering of the tax rate to 21% from mostly in the mid-30s%, is a big deal.

Take Delta Air Lines (NYSE: DAL), for example. Just last week it said that the tax cut will boost its earnings by about $800 million a year. That translates to about $1 per share in increased earnings for 2018. Delta management raised their earnings per share guidance for 2018 to a range of $6.35 to $6.70, up 20% to 30% from the year earlier level.

Delta, like many U.S. airlines, pays no cash taxes. However, Delta expects it will become a cash taxpayer in 2019 and 2020, so the lower rate will be a boon.

The tax cut is a bit of icing on the cake for Delta, which is doing very well currently. In the latest quarter, it reported an 8.3% revenue rise to $10.2 billion, which beat market expectations. Passenger unit revenue (PRASM) increased 4.2% in the quarter as Delta regained some of its pricing power following a nasty airfare war.

That’s the danger for the airline industry and the tax cut. Will the airlines just use the windfall to launch into another round of airfare wars? The industry has squandered windfalls in the past, such as from plunging oil prices.

Oil Company Tax Gusher

Speaking of oil, the oil industry should be another beneficiary of the changes in tax law. According to Bloomberg, it pays the second-highest effective tax rate of any sector – 37%. So a drop to 21% is an obvious boost.

Other tax perks for the industry were left in place. For instance, the century-old tax treatment of allowing oil companies to expense intangible drilling costs was retained. As was another century-old treatment that affects small independent companies and royalty owners – the percentage depletion deduction.

A new provision allowing businesses to expense the full cost of new investments in certain plant and equipment for the next five years will give a boost to many in this capital-intensive industry. Giants like Chevron have an $18.3 billion capital and exploration budget in 2018 and ExxonMobil has an even bigger $22 billion budget.

And it’s not just the big oil firms to benefit. The oil refining segment should really get a major boost. The largest company in the segment, by market capitalization, Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX), will receive a 16% boost to 2018 earnings according to an estimate from Piper Jaffray’s Simmons & Company energy investment bank unit.

Phillips 66 is a leading player in each of the segments it operates in: refining, chemicals and midstream.  The company will invest $2-$3 billion in capital investments this year. Yet, it still increases payouts to shareholders on a regular basis.

Retail Rebound

The third sector to look for benefits from the tax cut is retail. The tax cuts should give them a respite from being Amazoned out of existence, thanks to a soon-to-be increased cash flow. This holds true for the vast majority of retailers whose operations are domestically based. Wall Street analysts believe the average retailer will get a 15% earnings boost from the changes in the tax law.

One of my favorites in the sector is Ulta Beauty (Nasdaq: ULTA), which operates 1,058 stores and generated $4.8 billion in revenues in 2016. It should get a double boost – not only from the tax cut itself, but from consumers with a little extra in their pocket spending on simple luxuries like makeup, lip gloss, etc. Perhaps that’s why the stock is already up over 6% year-to-date.

Hopefully, the tax cuts will reinvigorate this once ultra-high growth company. Especially since parts of the company are still growing fast… e-commerce sales in its latest quarter did soar by nearly 63%. Management has forecast sales growth for 2018 in the 10% to 11% range.

Bottom line for you – the number one item to remember regarding the tax cut is that, like all three companies I spoke about in the article, it will boost domestically-focused companies much more than it does multinational companies. Of course, multinationals have other things going for them, such as a weak U.S. dollar.

Here are other important points to keep in mind regarding the tax cut: Even for companies within a sector that will generally receive a boost from the tax cut, some companies will benefit more than its competitors. So before investing, make sure to do your due diligence to see whether a company will really get a big bump from the change in corporate taxes.

Buffett just went all-in on THIS new asset. Will you?
Buffett could see this new asset run 2,524% in 2018. And he's not the only one... Mark Cuban says "it's the most exciting thing I've ever seen." Mark Zuckerberg threw down $19 billion to get a piece... Bill Gates wagered $26 billion trying to control it...
What is it?
It's not gold, crypto or any mainstream investment. But these mega-billionaires have bet the farm it's about to be the most valuable asset on Earth. Wall Street and the financial media have no clue what's about to happen...And if you act fast, you could earn as much as 2,524% before the year is up.
Click here to find out what it is.

Source: Investors Alley 

3 Winning Tech Stocks from the Consumer Electronics Show

It’s always interesting to see what technologies are highlighted at the annual Consumer Electronics Show (CES) in Las Vegas. I use it, and so should you, as an insight into the next possible investable technology trends. After all, the U.S. consumer electronics industry’s revenues in 2018 are expected to come in at about $351 billion in 2018.

Some of the technologies on display at this year’s show were augmented and virtual reality devices, robots, and artificial intelligence (AI). But the real focus of this year’s show were the automobile and the automotive parts companies and the seemingly inexorable move toward autonomous vehicles.

More on that a bit later… first, I want to fill you in on some of the other highlights of this year’s CES.

Will VR Ever Become Mainstream?

Two companies were front and center when it came to virtual reality (VR) at CES – Facebook (Nasdaq: FB) and Alphabet (Nasdaq: GOOG). Both are still trying to persuade consumers to buy VR headsets. But with little success… the segment is expected to generate only $1.2 billion in U.S. sales in 2018.

Facebook’s Oculus Go sells for $199, while VR headsets based on Google’s Daydream VR platform, such as a device from Lenovo, sells for almost double that amount.

I think neither company will make a success of their VR efforts. To me the best in the sector is Sony (NYSE: SNE) with its high-end Playstation VR headset. It has sold over two million units of this headset in 2017, which is impressive since it only launched in October. Gaming may be the only market where VR truly becomes mainstream.

Alexa, Make Me Money

Now, let me tell you about an interesting note at the start of the conference that came from the show organizers. They said that sales of the item that has brought the consumer electronics industry the type of growth it has not seen in years – smart speakers – will peak as soon as next year. They pointed to the ‘hockey stick’ growth in sales that hasn’t been seen in eight years, since tablet computers became a mainstream product.

The leaders in the smart speaker space are, of course, Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN) and Google. U.S. sales of these speakers soared 279% in 2017 over the prior year to 27 million units. Sales are forecast to rise another 60% in 2018.

I believe there is one true leader in this space, with Amazon’s Alexa being almost everywhere.

This gives you just another reason as to why Amazon is a must-own stock. At CES, vendors showed off Alexa-powered headphones, smoke alarms, cookers, showers, light switches and even mirrors (for an extra $350).

And even you leave your home and hop into your car, you may find Alexa. Amazon announced an agreement with Toyota to add Alexa to some Toyota and Lexus vehicles. Toyota thus joined a long list of auto companies – FiatChrysler, Nissan, Daimler, BMW, Hyundai, and Ford – that are either letting Alexa into their vehicles or integrating the voice service into the connectivity systems that link customers’ cars and mobile phones.

Since we’re talking about cars, let’s move on to the highlight of the 2018 CES – the automobile of the future.

Nvidia and the Automobiles of the Future

Let me start by talking about a company that was unavoidable at this year’s CES – Nvidia (Nasdaq: NVDA). Their graphics processing units (GPUs) are at the core of many machine learning and artificial intelligence solutions, including for automobiles.

Nvidia’s stock soared after it announced that it would be partnering with Volkswagen to build an intelligent (AI) co-pilot system. The system that will gather data from both in and outside the car and will use some gesture and natural language voice controls and finally combine all that with what the AI has learned about the driver. And voila – you have a helpful AI assistant. It is expected this type of system may be available as soon as 2022.

Related: 5 Growth Stocks to Ride the Semiconductor Supercycle

In a similar vein, Uber also announced that it will power its self-driving cars and trucks by using Nvidia’s AI technology.

Nvidia also said that as part of its DRIVE Pegasus (PX) AI platform, the Xavier processors would be delivered to customers beginning in the first quarter of this year. Xavier is the culmination of a $2 billion investment to expand processing power and capabilities to the autonomous vehicle marketplace.

Auto Parts Companies Nirvana

The other companies I am focused on when it comes to the future of the automobile are the auto parts firms. At whatever auto or technology show they attend across the world, they are like kids in a candy shop. And for good reason…

Currently, the vehicle manufacturers still largely control design, and nearly every other important aspect of vehicle production. But that is slipping away from them as the wave of the future is more electrical systems and electronics and not mechanical systems.

Estimates are that 50% to 70% of the value of a car in the future will lie in those electronic components, which the automakers purchase from other companies. Some of these companies, ironically enough, were spunoff by U.S. automakers years ago because Wall Street told them they were low-margin, no-growth businesses.

There are a number of very good auto parts stocks for you to choose from. Here is just one example:

A company to consider is Visteon (NYSE: VC), which designs and manufactures electronics products for automakers. Visteon provides everything from standard gauges to high resolution, reconfigurable digital 2D and 3D displays to infotainment and audio systems.

At CES, Visteon introduced its DriveCore autonomous driving platform, which is the first solution that allows automakers to build such solutions in an open collaboration model. It also unveiled its all-digital cockpit of the future with reconfigurable instrument clusters and advanced display technology along with driver monitoring, ADAS integration and other features.

I also like the fact that the company has considerable global exposure. It is enjoying strong sales in China, which is Visteon’s highest profit region. These trends together should keep the stock motoring ahead, adding to the 52% gain over the past year.

Yet, Visteon is not my top recommendation in the sector. I just revealed that company in the January issue of Growth Stock Advisor. At CES, this company showed off a fleet of driverless BMW cars that had no problem navigating the busy streets of Las Vegas. The cars dealt with traffic lights, slower and faster cars nearby, lane changes, right and left turns, jaywalking pedestrians, and faded lane markings. Only once did the driver take over, and that was to steer around pylons in the middle of the road.

As the 2018 CES brought to the fore, some of the most exciting technologies are centering on the future of the automobile. Stay tuned for even more excitement to come from this sector adding capital gains to your portfolio.

Buffett just went all-in on THIS new asset. Will you?
Buffett could see this new asset run 2,524% in 2018. And he's not the only one... Mark Cuban says "it's the most exciting thing I've ever seen." Mark Zuckerberg threw down $19 billion to get a piece... Bill Gates wagered $26 billion trying to control it...
What is it?
It's not gold, crypto or any mainstream investment. But these mega-billionaires have bet the farm it's about to be the most valuable asset on Earth. Wall Street and the financial media have no clue what's about to happen...And if you act fast, you could earn as much as 2,524% before the year is up.
Click here to find out what it is.

Source: Investors Alley 

Buy These 3 Stocks to Soar Thanks to China’s Hunger for Clean Skies

One of the main messages I give you in my articles is that you have to pay attention to global events to find the best investment opportunities before Wall Street does.

Another great example of that occurred in March at China’s annual parliamentary meeting. The one main takeaway from that meeting could be summed up by one sentence that was repeated again and again at the meeting – “We will make our skies blue again.”

The Chinese are (finally) very serious about curbing the rampant pollution in their country. This has boosted industrial metals prices globally as China curbs output of aluminum and steel in the country.

And China has cut back on the use of coal for both power and heating purposes. As a substitute for coal, the Chinese government is placing a major emphasis on natural gas.

Therein lies the opportunity…

China’s LNG Imports

While China does produce some of its own natural gas and imports more gas from Russia via pipelines, the all-of-a-sudden big increase in natural gas demand has had almost immediate effects.

In early December, that demand pushed LNG (liquified natural gas) prices in Asia to a three-year high, 20% higher than a year ago – and up 80% from the 2017 low – at above $10 per million BTU. According to energy consultants Wood Mackenzie, import volumes of LNG were 48% higher in the first ten months of 2017. This follows a 25% jump the year before.

A cold winter in northern China raised demand even more and made authorities desperate to meet the need. In December, Chinese oil company CNOOC (NYSE: CEO) was forced to hire over 100 LNG-carrying trucks to bring LNG over 1,300 miles from the south of China, where the LNG import facilities are, to the northern parts of the country where the cold of winter was biting hard.

And while prices have fallen somewhat since with a January thaw, this trend toward higher LNG demand from China is a feature of the energy market that will be with us for many years.

In an interesting side note for natural gas, there is talk in the market that energy kingpin Saudi Arabia may (in the relatively near future) have to import natural gas in the form of LNG in order to meet domestic needs. Demand there has risen by 50% over the past decade while proven Saudi gas reserves have only risen by 20%.

To that end, it is believed Saudi Arabia is interested in funding LNG projects around the world. Are President Trump and U.S. gas producers listening? I hope they are.

US LNG Exporters

Especially since U.S. capacity to process LNG is set to grow nearly seven-fold by 2019 as five export terminals open.

Primary among U.S. LNG exporters is Cheniere Energy (NYSE: LNG), which is the owner of the first LNG export terminal in the U.S. that has been operating since early 2016. It is exporting at its Sabine Pass facility with three trains and a capacity of about two billion cubic feet of gas per day. Its total capacity is expected to be about five billion cubic feet per day once all five trains are completed (the fourth train was recently completed). An LNG train is a liquified natural gas plant’s liquefaction and purification facility.

Chiniere’s first mover advantage is evident. In November, it signed an $11 billion memorandum of understanding for long-term LNG sales with China National Petroleum Corporation. CNPC is the parent of PetroChina (NYSE: PTR).

However, competition for Cheniere is underway here in the U.S. There are five other facilities, in addition to Cheniere’s, that will add roughly 7.5 billion cubic feet of LNG export capacity in 2018 and 2019. Here is the list of these facilities for you:

Cove Point, Maryland terminal just started operating in December and is owned by Dominion Energy (NYSE: D). It used to be an import terminal that was retooled as an export terminal with a capacity of 0.82 billion cubic feet per day.

 

Cameron LNG, Louisiana is owned by Sempra Energy (NYSE: SRE) and is scheduled to begin operation in 2018. It has three trains currently under construction with the first train expected to begin operation in early 2018, and the second and third trains are expected to start up during the second half of 2018. The three trains will have a capacity of 2.1 billion cubic feet per day.

Sempra Energy is also in the permitting stage of constructing an expansion to the facility, which would add a fourth and fifth train. Project completion for the expansion is expected sometime in 2019.

Elba Island, Georgia is a relatively small-scale facility owned by Kinder Morgan (NYSE: KMI) with a capacity of 0.35 billion cubic feet per day. It was originally constructed as a regasification plant for imports of LNG and it is being retooled as an export facility. The project will use ten small scale liquefaction units, constructed in two phases. The first phase will begin service in mid-2018, while the second will come online in early 2019.

Freeport LNG, Texas has three trains currently under construction. It will begin operation between the end of 2018 and the third quarter of 2019, with a combined capacity of 2.14 billion cubic feet per day. A fourth train is under development.

Corpus Christi, Texas is currently under construction on 1,000 acres controlled by Cheniere Energy. It is being designed for five trains and construction on the first and second trains began in May 2015 and is now about 70% complete. The first train is expected to begin operating in the first half of 2019 with the first three trains having a combined capacity of 2.14 billion cubic feet per day.

While I do like Cheniere Energy, there are lots of LNG projects coming online in China’s neighborhood – namely Australia. So instead of focusing on just LNG exporters, I am also looking at the carriers of all that LNG to China – the LNG shipping companies.

LNG Shipping Companies

These companies are in the sweet spot between rising Chinese demand for LNG and limited supplies of ships. Transporting LNG requires specialized tankers and the market for these tankers has completely flipped. From a glut a few years ago, there is now a shortage of these specialized tankers.

This shortage has led to a doubling of LNG tanker rates since April 2016. And there is definitely room for further increases. Prices could double again and still not reach the highs set five years ago.

The LNG carrier shortage will not be alleviated quickly either since it takes about 30 months to build such a vessel. Between 2012 and 2014, there were orders for 66 LNG carriers. But with that aforementioned glut, orders dropped to only eight in 2017.

This will obviously benefit the companies that currently own LNG tankers. But be careful here – many of them are heavily loaded with debt. Here are two companies though I am looking at:

Golar LNG (Nasdaq: GLNG) – its stock is up nearly 20% over the past year. The company is one of the world’s largest independent owners and operators of marine-based LNG midstream infrastructure and is involved in the liquefaction, transportation and regasification of natural gas.

Related: A Top 10% Yield Stock to Own for Growth and Income

In others words, Golar is no mere LNG shipper, although it has 16 LNG shipping vessels. It is also focused on other aspects of the LNG pipeline including floating LNG liquefaction (FLNG) and floating storage and regasification units (FSRUs). It is the first company to convert ships into FSRUs and FLNGVs (floating liquefied natural gas vessel). This sets it apart from most of its competitors.

If you are looking at more of a pure-play LNG shipper, there is Gaslog Ltd. (NYSE: GLOG), whose stock is up nearly 30% over the last year, with most that gain occurring in the last three months.

Its fleet consists of 22 LNG ships on the water with another five ships on order being built. And like Golar, it is also becoming involved with FSRUs.

However, I like Gaslog because it is one of those carriers, along with Teekay LNG Partners L.P. (NYSE: TGP), that is greatly benefiting from the diversion of more and more LNG tankers to China. The daily rate of a 160,000 cubic meter LNG tanker soared to $80,000 in December from the 2017 low of $30,000 in April, according to ship broker Clarkson.

The third quarter of 2017 for Gaslog already saw record revenue and EBITDA. And thanks to Chinese demand, this should continue for the foreseeable future.

If you are looking more for income than capital gains, but still want to participate in the China LNG story, consider limited partnerships from the shipping firms.

Gaslog has a limited partnership worth a look, Gaslog Partners LP (NYSE: GLOP), which is up 5.77% over the past three months with a current yield of 8.36%.  And there is also the aforementioned Teekay LNG. It has risen nearly 13% over the past three months and has a 2.71% yield. Teekay will be receiving 11 new LNG vessels by the end of 2018.

Buffett just went all-in on THIS new asset. Will you?
Buffett could see this new asset run 2,524% in 2018. And he's not the only one... Mark Cuban says "it's the most exciting thing I've ever seen." Mark Zuckerberg threw down $19 billion to get a piece... Bill Gates wagered $26 billion trying to control it...
What is it?
It's not gold, crypto or any mainstream investment. But these mega-billionaires have bet the farm it's about to be the most valuable asset on Earth. Wall Street and the financial media have no clue what's about to happen...And if you act fast, you could earn as much as 2,524% before the year is up.
Click here to find out what it is.

Source: Investors Alley