Find Triple Digit Returns from Your Kid’s Video Games

This digital age in which we live is literally changing everything. . .including when it comes to sports. Forget physical smashmouth sports like football and hockey. This new generation of sports fan wants to see lots of action – but only on a digital screen.

Welcome the world of e-sports, which unlike most sports, originated in Asia. The love of such activities extended to the stock market as Monday saw a red-hot IPO in Hong Kong, called Razer, debut. The company is the “arms merchant” for serious gamers making mice, headsets and notebooks.

And I do mean serious gamers. There are tournaments where there is a $10+ million top prize.

It’s hard for someone not a teenager or in their 20s, like myself and maybe you, to understand the attraction of e-sports. But one thing I do understand – it is already a huge business and growing rapidly.

e-Sports Business

I want you to think for a moment about its potential. In sheer numbers, video gaming is a market that is bigger than China and larger than the number of Facebook users (over one billion). And last year, the sport’s fans watched more than 6 billion hours of competitive gaming!

Related: 3 Tech Stocks Up More than Apple, Facebook, and Google.

According to data from the consultancy Frost & Sullivan, the global industry generated more than $100 billion in 2016! Of that figure, e-sports is still rather small, at about $892 million. A rather conservative forecast from another consultancy, PricewaterhouseCoopers, says the industry will generate $133 billion in revenues by 2021. The investment bank Macquarie forecasts that e-sports will be a $5 billion business by 2020.

I think the $5 billion number will even be exceeded by 2020. You see, there are three main areas where e-sports can produce revenues. First is direct payments from live streaming services – some live tournaments have tens of millions of viewers. Last year, there were 11.1 billion e-sports videos streamed in China and 2.7 billion in North America, where about one-third of gamers reside.

The next source of revenue is the sale of content rights to broadcasters. Finally, advertising revenues, which today come largely from the gaming industry. But it isn’t hard to imagine a whole raft of companies looking to get their message in front of millions of viewers. That new reality is already beginning to unfold, which I will show you in a moment.

e-Sports Growth

The growth of e-sports looks to just be accelerating with two Las Vegas casinos planning to build dedicated e-sports arenas.

More importantly, the backers of e-sports are being smart and adapting what works for traditional sports and applying it to e-sports. Such as creating a league and having teams in many of the major cities. The parent companies of the New England Patriots, Los Angeles Rams and the New York Mets now own franchises (at a cost $20 million) in the first attempt to create an actual league.

The teams were sold by the world’s largest publisher of video games, Activision Blizzard (Nasdaq: ATVI), which came up with the idea of a 12-team Overwatch League. Unlike traditional sports leagues, this league also has teams from London and Shanghai.

The Overwatch League is not the only e-sports league in existence. There is a similar venture from Riot Games, which is owned by Chinese tech giant Tencent (OTC: TCEHY). It is charging $10 million for franchises in the North American League of Legends Championship Series. Over 43 million people watched last year’s League of Legends World Championship online, up from just 8 million in 2012. Major venues such as Seoul, South Korea’s Olympic Stadium were sold out to watch the event.

The build-out of leagues is already attracting sponsors, as I hinted at before. Both Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) and HP (NYSE: HPQ) are lead sponsors for the Overwatch League, whose regular season starts on January 10.

Related:

e-Sports Investments

So how can you invest into this e-sports phenomena?

You’ll want to look at companies whose business is heavily e-sports related. A firm like Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN), which paid about $1 billion in 2014 for Twitch – the favorite live streaming platform to watch gamers battling has many other businesses. Even with a $1 billion price tag Twitch is just too small a part of Amazon to significantly affect the company’s performance.

At the top of my buy list is the aforementioned Activision Blizzard, which also has a live streaming channel called Major League Gaming. It acquired the firm in 2016 for $46 million.

I believe its CEO, Bobby Kotick, really understands the video gaming and e-sports better than the CEOs at its rivals. He sees e-sports as becoming more broad-based in its appeal in 2018 and I agree. During the company’s latest earnings conference call, he said “We view that (e-sports) as a major growth initiative and a very sizable standalone opportunity for the company.”

The company is already enjoying the growth in the general gaming industry with $1 billion from in-game (digital games) revenues in the last quarter. It currently has eight $1 billion franchises, including the very popular Call of Duty.

Not surprising then Kotick raised the company’s guidance for the next quarter and that the stock is up nearly 75% year-to-date and almost 60% over the past year.

Next on the list is a rival of Activision, Take Two Interactive Software (Nasdaq: TTWO), which is best known for its Grand Theft Auto franchise. Its stock soared nearly 10% after its recently-released earnings report.

While trailing in the e-sports business, the company is finally moving ahead now. It inked a deal with the NBA to launch a NBA eLeague. The NBA will be the only major professional sports league to have its own e-sports league. The league will begin in May 2018 with so far 17 of the 30 NBA teams saying they will play for at least three years.

Take Two is also expanding rapidly into mobile games. It strengthened this area of the company with its acquisition of Barcelona-based Social Point for $250 million earlier this year. Social Point is one of the most prolific mobile games developers.

Again not surprisingly, Take Two management also raised guidance for its next quarter. Its stock has even outperformed Activision with a 133% gain for the year so far and it has risen 140% over the past 12 months.

See also: Buy These 3 Hot Semiconductor Stocks for Long-Term Profits

Finally, an alternative way to play the e-sports trend is through the semiconductor company, Nvidia (Nasdaq: NVDA). Its stock has soared 101% year-to-date and 144% over the past 52 weeks. As I’m sure you may know, Nvidia is a worldwide leader in visual computing technologies and the inventor of the graphic processing unit, or GPU.

The key to its rapid growth to date has been the video gaming industry. The company continues to steadily gain market share among gaming service providers, strengthening the company’s position in the workstation-based gaming services in supercomputing segments. That’s because its lineup of advanced graphics and gaming cards offer significantly higher functionality. That should continue to be a strong tailwind for Nvidia.

You also need to add in the company’s moves into the latest tablet computers and the automobile technology space and data centers and Nvidia continues to tell an exciting tale. Its recent alliance with China’s Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU)on artificial intelligence (AI) technology could also be another big winner for Nvidia.

Bottom line – you may not understand video gaming or e-sports, but do realize they will continue to be big money winners in the years ahead.

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This Could Earn You $2,500 in Monthly Income in 2018

Today we’re going to take on one of the biggest investing myths there is—and expose this so-called “gospel” for the dangerous falsehood it really is.

It goes like this: diversification protects you from big losses in a downturn, but that “shield” costs you in the form of income and missed gains.

Well, I’m here to tell you that this statement couldn’t be more wrong. The truth is, you can have both.

I’ll tell you how in a moment. Then I’ll show you 6 unsung funds that hand you instant diversification plus market-beating gains and a special extra bonus: a dividend yield that triples up the payout on the average S&P 500 stock.

That’s right: a retirement-friendly 6% cash payout! Enough to hand you $2,500 a month on a $500,000 investment.

I know this sounds like a tall order, but it’s 100% achievable, even, dare I say, easy.

But before we go further, let’s spell out exactly what we mean by “diversification.”

For a lot of people, it simply means buying a fund that holds a lot of stocks, like the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). The thinking goes something like this: “I’ve got 500 stocks, so there’s no way I can lose a ton of cash, right?”

Wrong.

The problem is that this isn’t real diversification. Sure, you’ve got stocks in 500 companies—but you’re still holding only stocks. And the reality is that stocks go down more than any other investment during rough economic times.

In the chart below, we’ve got 6 asset classes that would give you a diversified portfolio if you held all of them. They are: US Treasuries, municipal bonds, preferred stocks, corporate bonds, high-yield (or “junk”) bonds and common stocks.

(You can go even further and add international exposure—including in the one part of the world I pounded the table on in my October 25 article—but for simplicity, we’ll keep the focus on the good old U.S. of A. today.)


Source: Contrarianoutlook.com; all calculations are from recent peak to bottom prices during downturns from 1979–2017.

As you can see, the maximum loss from the highest level is massive for common stocks—a whopping 56.8% drop!

It’s no surprise that Treasuries see the smallest loss, since federal government bonds are the safest investment on earth. Municipal bonds are pretty close, so their similar decline makes sense. And corporate debt instruments—preferreds and bonds—are snugly in the middle, with junk bonds the worst of them all.

Again, no surprises here.

But what you should really pay attention to is how adding these different asset classes together protects your portfolio from a huge loss. Even if you don’t cash out during a bear market, like a lot of retirees were forced to in 2007–09, you still face an uphill battle to recover those losses.

Why? Because a 50% portfolio loss means you’ll need a 100% gain to make up for it! And if your stock portfolio fell 56.8%, you’d need 131.5% just to get back to where you started!

This is exactly why savvy investors don’t just buy stocks; you need a lot of different asset classes to protect your hard-earned—and hard-saved—cash.

Deciphering the Diversification Riddle

So let’s go ahead an address the question of diversification and the size of our return now—because the answer isn’t as straightforward as you’d think.

If you just buy passive index funds, the answer is, yes, diversification will depress your return. To demonstrate this, let’s go back to the indexes for these 6 asset classes and see how they’ve performed over the last 8 years.

The Clear Winner: Stocks

With gains more than double the average of our other 5 asset classes, the S&P 500 was the clear winner. So if you bought equal amounts of each of these assets in 2010 and held them to today, your profits would be 54%—much lower than you’d get from stocks alone:


Source: Contrarianoutlook.com

So if you just diversify by tracking the indexes, you’re going to leave a lot of money on the table. That’s the price of smaller declines during bear markets.

But before you start questioning whether you should diversify into these other 5 investments at all, read on, because there’s a better answer—one that gives you the market-beating gains, income and downside protection I mentioned off the top.

I’m talking about…

The CEF Alternative

The answer to the diversification riddle is simple: skip the indexes and go back to the good old-fashioned strategy of picking winning funds managed by superior teams.

If that sounds outdated, keep in mind that this approach not only yields a more diversified portfolio but also a superior return relative to just buying the indexes. It also delivers a higher income stream, to the tune of $2,500 a month on a $500,000 investment!

This, by the way, is why billionaires and professional investment managers prefer this approach to the passive index fund craze the middle class is being herded into.

And the best way to do it is through closed-end funds, or CEFs. (If you’re unfamiliar with these funds, click here to check out my complete primer on them—including how they can triple your income and give your gains a continuous yearly boost.)

CEFs are a small group of funds that provide a large income stream while delving into other investments that go well beyond stocks. And the best ones offer superior returns, too.

To prove this, I’ve taken a top-notch fund from each asset class and blended them into a diversified portfolio.

These funds are: the Western Asset Managed Municipals Fund (MMU) for muni bonds, the JH Tax-Advantaged Dividend Fund (HTD) for stocks, the PIMCO Corporate & Income Opportunity Fund (PTY) for corporate bonds, the Neuberger Berman High Yield Strategies Fund (NHS) for junk bonds and the JH Premium Dividend Fund (PDT) for preferred stocks.

There isn’t a CEF for US Treasuries, so to pick up that part of the portfolio, we’ll add the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). That gets us a 6-fund portfolio with exposure to all the major asset classes the smart money focuses on.

Now, if we had bought these 6 funds 8 years ago, what kind of returns would we have bagged?

The answer: big ones.

Massive Returns Across the Board

This “best-of-breed” portfolio includes 3 funds that crush S&P 500 index funds, and all 6 funds beat their indexes. On average, this portfolio delivered a 154.2% total return!


Source: Contrarianoutlook.com

Not only is our diversified CEF investment giving us the diversity we need to avoid the extreme crashes that strike common stocks, but we’re also getting a superior return—154.2% versus the S&P 500’s 142.5%.

We’re also getting a superior cash flow from this portfolio, too. On average, these funds pay a 6% dividend yield, so we’re getting a bigger income stream than the S&P 500 while also facing a lower risk of a major loss.

The bottom line? Not only is diversification an important defense, but it can also be an incredible offense that boosts your wealth.

Michael Foster has just uncovered 4 funds that tick off ALL his boxes for the perfect investment: a 7.4% average payout, steady dividend growth and 20%+ price upside. — but that won’t last long! Grab a piece of the action now, before the market comes to its senses. CLICK HERE and he’ll tell you all about his top 4 high-yield picks.

Source: Contrarian Outlook

Capture the Next Big Trend in Solar Energy

I don’t know what I’d do without electricity. Honestly, I start to get bored after about 30 minutes.

And the thought of there being only 40 years of coal resources left to power our world is pretty terrifying.

But that’s just me.

In today’s world, electricity is one of the most important resources we have. It powers almost every single business around, and about 83% of people around the globe depend on it every day.

And while most have realized how finite resources such as coal are, we’re finally starting to move to the next step: solar.

There have been huge gains in the use of solar energy, but there is a new tech in development that could change the collection of solar energy…

A Shining Source of Energy

Humanity has literally had the answer to all of the global power needs staring down at them the entire time. That would be the sun.

Obviously, it’s a powerful resource. It can damage our skin or blind us from 93 million miles away.

But what people are just starting to realize is that we could power the entire world by harnessing its energy.

Here are two statistics to put this in perspective:

Statistic No. 1: The amount of power from the sun that hits the earth in one hour in direct sunlight is enough to meet the power needs for the entire world for a whole year.

Statistic No. 2: The total harness-able potential of solar energy per year is 23,000 terawatts. The yearly need for the whole world per year is about 16 terawatts. In comparison, we have 900 terawatts of coal and 215 terawatts of natural gas left.

Here’s an image to get the point across:

global energy

Thankfully, we have made significant progress in harnessing this abundant energy resource.

Currently, there are a number of projects going on around the world to phase solar power in to the primary source of energy that we would use.

The Next Advance in Solar Energy

New technology is in the works for solar windows as well.
These windows don’t look any different from normal windows, but they contain technology that can capture solar energy as well. Placed in homes and offices, they can provide an easy, alternative source of energy.

Solar window could be the future of solar technology. Instead a home covered in solar panels on the roof, the window are the solar collectors.

A breakthrough in this technology has occurred just this past June. Physee, a company in The Netherlands, installed 323 square feet of their “PowerWindow” solar window product in the headquarters of Rabobank, The Netherlands’ biggest bank.

In America, there’s a company called SolarWindow Technologies (OTC: WNDW) that is making significant progress in the field as well. Described as “liquid energy,” SolarWindow’s technology is a clear coating placed windows or plastic. When exposed to light, the coating turns that light into electricity.

So far, the product has been tested in 11 cities across the country, and the results have been amazing. The SolarWindow coating generated over 10 times that of other solar technology:

solarwindows

It’s also much cheaper than the cost of manufacturing solar panels. In fact, the company has stated that when applied to high-rise buildings, the product could pay for itself on electricity bill savings in just one year.

Lastly, SolarWindow took a huge step in August when it entered into an agreement with Triview Glass, allowing SolarWindow to start receiving revenue from actual customers.

Keep in mind that these are the very early stages of this technology, and while it has very little commercial application so far (and therefore no revenue); it will become more and more relevant over the next three to five years.

I believe it will eventually overtake solar panels due to the cost and efficiency benefits that it provides.

Regards,

Ian Dyer

Internal Analyst, Banyan Hill

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Copper Is the One Metal You Can’t Ignore

The price of copper is at its highest point since 2014.

The red metal’s price rose from the latter part of 2016 and all of 2017. You can see what I mean from the chart below:

copper

The shift to electric vehicles will be a major driver of this trend going forward. According to Reuters, an industry report stated that the electric vehicle revolution will drive a “nine-fold increase in copper demand” from the automobile sector.

The number of electric vehicles (cars and buses) will rise from 3 million in 2017 to 27 million in 2027. That will drive demand for the metal from 185,000 metric tons per year to 1.74 million metric tons in 2027.

The car sector will go from using less than 1% of the world’s copper supply to 7% (assuming today’s production level).

We are going to need a lot more over the next 10 years to make up for that completely new demand.

The Next Phase in Copper’s Rally

What’s more, that demand will arrive just as the world’s economies come out of a long slumber. In 2016, the world’s GDP grew at 2.44%, the lowest rate since 2009.

However, there are signs that global growth is improving.

Oil demand is up which means copper demand should be too.

There’s an old saying about copper being the metal with a Ph.D. in economics. What that means is that copper is extremely sensitive to economic growth.

If the world is doing well, demand for copper goes up. As demand rises, so does the price. And demand has been surging this year, driving copper’s stellar rally.

However, in the near future, we see a brand-new source of demand on the horizon.

If you haven’t gotten into this  market yet, you need to. This metal’s run is only just beginning.

Good Investing,

Matt Badiali

Editor, Real Wealth Strategist

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3 Stocks for Double Digit Gains from Personalized Medicine

A recent approval from an U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) advisory panel has heralded a new era of medicine. An era where diseases are tackled in a totally different way, by inserting into disease sufferers functioning copies of genes that are either missing or mutated.

Gene therapy is a complex subject. So think of it this way…

Your genetic sequence is like a long book and your body is essentially a DNA ‘reading machine’. Each gene or ‘word’ sends a signal to your body to produce a specific protein it needs in order to function normally and healthily. The problem is that you and I and everyone else have genes that are mutated. Think of them as ‘typos’. Depending on the severity of the ‘misspelling’, diseases – some of them very serious – may result.

That’s where the promise of gene therapy lies, replacing the faulty genes with normal ones. In other words, diseases are tackled right at their biological source with a one-time only treatment.

I want you to think about the state of modern medicine today. Patients are giving chemicals (drugs) that treat the symptoms of various diseases for a few hours at a time. But gene therapy means diseases such as cancer, Parkinson’s, cystic fibrosis and many other diseases could possibly be cured.

First FDA Approval

The aforementioned approval from the FDA was for a product called Luxturna, which was developed by Spark Therapeutics (Nasdaq: ONCE). Notice the symbol for Spark, emphasizing its treatments are one-time only.

Luxturna is designed to help a subset of those diagnosed with Leber congenital amaurosis (LCA) that have a mutation in a gene known as RPE65. Sufferers of this particular diseases number about 6,000 in the developed world, including the United States. People with LCA suffer severe vision loss and are at high risk of becoming totally blind.

Many of the patients treated with Luxturna in the Phase III trial are once again enjoying the gift that is vision. So everything looks idyllic for this type of treatment, right? There is one major hitch though – the current sky-high price for such treatments. Spark is waiting to set the price of Luxturna until its gets official FDA approval in January, but it is expected to be in the $700,000 to $900,000 range per eye.

This price looks then to be in the same ballpark as two CAR-T therapies recently approved by the FDA – Kymriah ($475,000) and Yescarta ($373,000). CAR-T is a form of gene therapy that harnesses a patient’s own immune system to attack and kill cancer cells.

Despite the high price, gene therapies may be worth it if they indeed do cure the diseases.

And I believe that gene therapies will become much more affordable. As with almost every technology, the price will decline as the market for them grows larger in scale. In other words, larger eligible patient populations will equal lower prices for every treatment.

Gene Therapy Investments

As you can imagine, many of the major pharmaceutical companies are getting involved in gene therapies, such as Novartis AG (NYSE: NVS) and GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE: GSK). But I would prefer more of a pure play in the sector. Here are several companies to consider.

Gene Therapy Stock #1 – Spark Therapeutics

Let’s start with Spark Therapeutics. Most of the company’s $2.8 billion market capitalization is not due to Luxurna. The real excitement for the company comes from several early-stage gene therapy projects that are aimed at hemophilia.

Spark reported positive initial data from its Phase I/II trial of SPK-9001 in hemophilia B, which is a serious and rare inherited hematologic disorder, caused by mutations in the FIX gene that leads to deficient blood coagulation and increased risk of hemorrhaging. Spark is working with Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) to develop this treatment.

The company also initiated the Phase I/II trial for SPK-8011 for hemophilia A. This disease is characterized by a mutation in the FVIII gene and again results in deficient blood coagulation.

These hemophilia therapies would address a larger market than Luxturna since there are about 190,000 sufferers around the globe. A one-time treatment, even with a big price tag, would likely look good to cash-strapped health systems. That’s because infusions for a single hemophilia patient can cost about $500,000 per year.

Spark Therapeutics’ stock is up nearly 60% year-to-date and 66% over the past year.

Related: 3 Stocks for Tailor-Made Cancer Cures

Gene Therapy Stock #2 – Bluebird Bio

The second company to consider is Bluebird Bio (Nasdaq: BLUE), founded in 1992, and has expertise across the areas of gene editing, T-cell immunotherapy and lentiviral-based gene therapies. It does have a pretty broad pipeline including:

  • Lenti-D, which is in the Phase II/III Starbeam Study, and is targeted at childhood cerebral adrenoleukodystrophy.
  • Lentiglobin, which are in four Phase I/II studies, and is aimed at patients with rare hemoglobinopathies – severe sickle cell disease and transfusion-dependent ß-thalassemia. The stock soared over 10% at the start of November when results were announced that updated data would be revealed in December.

Other therapies in earlier stages of Bluebird’s pipeline are: bb2121 and bb21217 for multiple myeloma, BCL11a shRNA for severe sickle cell diseases, as well as several oncology treatments at the pre-clinical stage. On bb2121, it is partnered with Celgene (Nasdaq: CELG) in the Phase I study.

Overall in 2017, the stock is up 137% so far and it has doubled over the past 12 months.

Gene Therapy Stock #3 – AveXis

The third clinical-stage company worth a look is AveXis (Nasdaq: AVXS). The company’s primary focus is on gene therapies to develop a cure for Spinal Muscular Atrophy (SMA), Rett Syndrome and a genetic basis for ALS (Lou Gehrig’s disease).

AveXis’ stock spiked on September 29 after the FDA gave the go-ahead for the company to go forward with its pivotal clinical trial (STR1VE) on its flagship AVXS-101 candidate for the treatment of SMA. The treatment uses neutered viruses as a delivery mechanism for healthy genes to suffering patients. These genes will begin in the body production of a protein, the lack of which – called survival motor neuron – causes the disease.

Short sellers had targeted AveXis claiming it would not be able to produce its treatment for SMA in sufficient quantities while meeting the FDA’s high manufacturing standards. The FDA go-ahead should allay some of those fears.

AVXS-101 has shown good results so far. Earlier this year, AveXis showed that nine children with a particularly severe form of SMA, who were dosed for 20 months, are all alive and well. That compares to an average of 8% of untreated children that would be on major breathing support, if they were still alive.

The company’s stock has soared 112% year-to-date and 53% over the past 52 weeks.

The performance of all three of these stocks is remarkable in what has been not a good year for many biotech stocks. Gene therapy is a paradigm shift in how to treat people afflicted with diseases, offering potentially very high profit opportunities. More good gains should follow for the companies in the sector as science fiction slowly becomes reality.

Let the basic premise sink in for a second. Diseases and conditions like hemophilia, ALS, even blindness are on the cusp of being cured with one treatment. Not managed. Not endured. But cured. Forever.

And all of that’s possible from the convergence of biology, chemistry, computer technology, even government policy. We’re looking at a whole new era for humankind, one where one day in a new world practically every disease can be cured.

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Another Chart Shows a Recession Is Coming

The probability of a recession is rising. I recently highlighted how the Federal Reserve will trigger a recession at its December meeting.

Now, market data confirms that research. The yield curve, a traditional recession indicator, is falling. It’s at a 10-year low. In fact, it’s only been this low twice in the past 20 years.

I recently highlighted how the Federal Reserve will trigger a recession at its December meeting. Now, market data confirms that research.

The yield curve is the difference between the interest rates of two different Treasury notes. This chart shows the difference between notes due in 10 years and in two years.

The interest rate on the 10-year Treasury is about 2.3%. On the two-year, the interest rate is about 1.6%. The difference is 0.7%.

A large and growing difference between the two rates indicates the economy is growing. That means investors are willing to pay more to borrow money. They pay more because they believe growth will increase the return on investments.

A falling yield curve shows investors are worried. They are no longer willing to pay high rates to borrow money. And the rate on the 10-year Treasury drops faster than the rate on the two-year.

Based on the previous two signals, the chart shows there is good news and bad news in this data.

The good news is that the market tends to rally when the yield curve drops to this level. The S&P 500 gained almost 30% in the 19 months after the yield curve dropped below 0.7% in 2005. In 1995, the signal kicked off a 300% rally.

Both rallies ended in crashes. That’s the bad news.

This data is consistent with the recession indicator I wrote about last month. The end of the bull market is near. But the gains before the top will be significant.

Regards,

Michael Carr, CMT
Editor, Peak Velocity Trader

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Source: Banyan Hill 

Bitcoin’s Next Fork Canceled

Bitcoin’s fork, which was scheduled to take place on November 16, has been canceled.

Support for the fork simply faded. Criticisms came mostly from longtime developers. Interestingly, many of them still agreed on the idea of larger blocks, which the new protocol would have provided. But they felt bullied and didn’t like how the decision to fork was made – which was in an invitation-only meeting, by the way.

So, what’s next?

Bitcoin still needs to scale. Increasing block size was an obvious way to do it. But it’s not the only way. Other technological solutions will likely compete with larger block sizes as the way to move forward.

Whatever is decided in the future, greater attention will be paid to forming a consensus in all corners of the bitcoin community.

I want to make clear that we’re still big believers in bitcoin and maintain that it should make up 50% of your cryptocurrency portfolio.

We fully expect bitcoin to continue to be the dominant digital coin. After all, this wasn’t the first time something like this happened. Bitcoin Classic, Bitcoin Unlimited and Bitcoin XT all proposed software upgrades and also failed to gain adoption.

Bitcoin’s price is slightly down this morning. Cancellation of the fork has eliminated uncertainty and should allow prices to continue to rise.

Thank you for your email inquiries regarding the fork. We’ll continue to keep you informed of further developments on this front.

Good investing,

Andy Gordon
Co-Founder, First Stage Investor

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Source: Early Investing 

9 REITs Ready to Raise Their Payouts This December

“First-level” investors – those who buy and sell on headlines – mistakenly believe that real estate investment trust (REIT) profits will suffer if rates rise.

They’re wrong. And today, we’ll highlight nine REITs that are “raising their rents” as rates rise. As their tenants pay more, these firms will in turn pay their shareholders more in dividends.

Which means their share prices will follow suit, and move higher, too.

Sure, in the short run, the “rates up, REITs down” theory puts on quite the show. When the 10-Year Treasury’s yield rises, REITs usually fall. And when its yield drops, REITs usually rally. This inverse relationship tends to hold up over multiple days, weeks and even months:

A Short-Run Seesaw Between REITs and T-Bill Yields

The theory backing up this price action says that, because REITs borrow money to grow their property empires, they need cheap cash. Yet this isn’t a “must have” criterion for all such landlords. If their costs increase, they can simply raise the rents when the lease is up for renewal, passing on their higher borrowing costs to tenants.

For example, let’s look at a three-year period starting in May 2003 when the 10-year rate climbed two full basis points – from 3.2% to 5.2%. Based on recent REIT price action, you’d expect most firms would be out of business!

But blue chips such as mall operator Simon Property Group (SPG) and self-storage stalwart Public Storage (PSA)not only survived the rate increases – they thrived:

The Best REITs Climbed With Rates

Why? Because rising rates signaled a booming economy – one in which these firms had no problem raising their rents. Both boosted dividends while investors in each stock enjoyed 129% total returns over the three-year period!

9 REITs That Will Thrive This Rate Hike Cycle

Firms having no problem issuing rent increases today are easy to spot. They report higher and higher funds from operations (FFO) year after year, which finds its way back to shareholders in the form of an ever-rising dividend.

Here are 9 REITs likely to boost their dividends this December:

Douglas Emmett (DEI)
Dividend Yield: 2.3%

Office and apartment property owner Douglas Emmett (DEI) is much like 3M in that it typically doesn’t sport a high yield no matter how much it raises its payout – but that’s mostly because the company’s shares tend to follow the dividend higher.

Douglas Emmett is a REIT that manages to be diverse and targeted at the same time, investing in both Class A office space as well as apartment communities … but only doing so in Los Angeles and Honolulu. The lure? “Small, affluent tenants, whose rent can be a small portion of their revenues and thus not the paramount factor in their leasing decision.” In short, no one’s going to sweat premium pricing.

Shareholders hope DEI will double up on its 10% year-to-date performance with a year-end hike to the dividend. Douglas Emmett typically announces its increase early on in the month, and if it’s anything like the past few years, it should be a lift of a penny per share.

Douglas Emmett’s (DEI) Stock Is Racing Against Its Payout

Ventas (VTR)
Dividend Yield: 4.8%

S&P 500 component Ventas (VTR) is a diversified healthcare REIT that operates primarily in senior housing communities, with 669 such facilities. But its portfolio also includes 359 medical office buildings, 26 life science and innovation centers, 30 skilled nursing facilities and a few other properties. It’s also geographically diversified, owning properties not just in the U.S., but also in Canada and the United Kingdom.

This year has been a disappointing one for VTR shareholders, who saw their holdings join the market rally through late June, with nearly 15% gains – but most of that advance has been peeled away, leaving a return in the low single digits. The lackluster performance comes despite another strong year of fundamentals, including 9% growth in income from operations.

Still, Ventas should be good for some December cheer, with the REIT likely to increase its payout early in the final month of the year. Considering the company is only paying out 74% of funds from operations as dividends this year, VTR has plenty of room to work with.

Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA)
Dividend Yield: 3.4%

A pattern you don’t often see – but that you should relish when you get the chance – is when a company’s dividend growth accelerates over time. Much more often than not, corporate boards will start to cap their payout hikes as the dividend becomes an increasingly large percentage of their earnings and cash flow. But when a company has a few breakout years, management can take the governor off the payout.

That’s the case with Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA), an apartment-focused REIT that primarily operates in the southern and southeastern United States, as well as around the District of Columbia. While the REIT isn’t growing its dividend by leaps and bounds, the rate of growth has picked up pace over the past few years.

Another strong year could mean a more significant boost in the payout. Look for the company’s next dividend increase very early in December.

Mid-America Apartment Communities’ (MAA) Dividend Gets Legs

Universal Health Realty Income Trust (UHT)
Dividend Yield: 3.6%

Universal Health Realty Income Trust (UHT), as the name implies, specializes in healthcare-related facilities – medical office buildings make up 76% of its properties, with another 15% in acute care hospitals and the rest peppered among several other types.

The REIT is having a good but not great 2017, up about 12% year-to-date, with net income and funds from operations creeping up year-over-year. That should result in a continuation of its modest and irregular dividend increase schedule. UHT typically offers up two distribution hikes every year – one announced in June, and another traditionally offered up in the first few days of December.

CubeSmart (CUBE)
Dividend Yield: 4%

Self-storage REITs such as CubeSmart (CUBE) have had a rough time since 2016 as sky-high valuations finally caught up with the industry, resulting in a year-plus selloff. However, this group is starting to get its mojo again, and CUBE is waving the banner with a 12% gain over the past three months.

CubeSmart has delivered outstanding operational performance in 2017, including year-over-year FFO improvements ranging from high single digits to low double digits across its three reported quarters.

Coming up next? A dividend increase – one that should be announced sometime mid-month. And given outstanding payout growth of 145% over the past five years, investors can expect more than just a token step up.

CubeSmart (CUBE) Gets Into the Giving Season

Urstadt Biddle Properties (UBA)
Dividend Yield: 4.9%

Urstadt Biddle Properties (UBA) has been a lot more fun to say than it has been to own in 2017, with shares off about 10%. You shouldn’t need many chances to guess what type of properties it owns.

Yes, Urstadt Biddle is a retail REIT – one that owns shopping centers primarily outside New York City. To its credit, it has actually been growing in key metrics such as FFO this year, but occupancy has been a trouble spot, dipping every quarter so far in 2017.

A little relief is likely coming in the middle of December, when the company should dole out a small improvement to its quarterly payout.

Hannon Armstrong (HASI)
Dividend Yield: 5.5%

Hannon Armstrong (HASI) isn’t your garden-variety REIT, but considering that has resulted in returns that are far from garden-variety … I’m sure no one minds.

HASI invests in sustainable infrastructure – things like solar and wind farms. But it also helps make buildings more energy-efficient by making improvements to things such as air conditioning systems and insulation.

This is an under-the-radar growth dynamo that more than tripled its revenues between 2013 and 2016. Shares have mostly followed suit, jumping 115% since its first day of trading in 2013.

The dividend? Well, there’s clearly not much history there given its IPO was just a few years ago, but its 33-cent payout is 50% better than it was in its first full year of distributions. Another hike should come sometime in mid-December.

Hannon Armstrong (HASI) Is Heading Up, Up, Up!

W.P. Carey (WPC)
Dividend Yield: 5.9%

W.P. Carey (WPC) isn’t exclusively a wintertime dividend-raiser – it has something extra to offer investors every season. That’s right: Since 2001, every single quarterly payout from this REIT has been larger than the last.

So, what does it do?

WPC leases out business space to individual tenants under triple-net lease agreements – instead of paying things like property taxes and building insurance, it pushes those responsibilities on tenants in exchange for more predictable and cheaper rents. And W.P. Carey is pretty diversified across its 895 properties, with its largest industry type (retail) only making up 17% of the portfolio, and a wide range of other properties including automotive (8%), construction (5%) and warehouses (2%).

WPC has increased its payout for 18 consecutive years, and should make it 19 sometime in the middle of the month.

Spirit Realty Capital (SRC)
Dividend Yield: 8.6%

Spirit Realty Capital (SRC) is another triple-net lease REIT, but as the 23% year-to-date losses might indicate, it’s one that’s positioned smack-dab in the middle of the reeling retail industry.

Spirit Realty also leases out to single tenants – 431 of them at the moment, in fact – across 49 states. Its tenants include the likes of Walgreens (WBA)AMC Entertainment (AMC) theaters and Church’s Chicken franchisor Cajun Global LLC.

SRC shares took a massive hit in May after reporting an “abnormally high credit loss” and downgrading its adjusted funds from operations guidance from 89-91 cents per share to 80-84 cents. Moreover, the company in August announced plans for a spinoff of certain assets, including properties leased to retailer Shopko, to be completed sometime in the first half of 2018. So there’s a lot of noise surrounding this REIT.

However, Spirit Realty still should deliver a little extra oomph to its payout in December … likely a couple weeks into the month. That’ll only help fatten an already juicy yield of nearly 9%.

Buy These Recession Proof REITs: 2 Plays With 7.6%+ Yields and 25% Upside

One of my top REIT buys right now recently raised its dividend again by 4% over last quarter’s payout. This marks the 21st consecutive quarterly dividend hike for the firm:

Dividend Hikes Every Quarter

It pays an 8.1% yield today – but that’s actually an 8.5% forward yield when you consider we’re going to see four more dividend increases over the next year. And the stock is trading for less than 10-times funds from operations (FFO). Pretty cheap.

However I expect its valuation and stock price will rise by 20% over the next 12 months as more money comes stampeding into its REIT sector – which makes right now the best time to buy and secure an 8.5% forward yield.

Same for another REIT favorite of mine, a 7.6% payer backed by an unstoppable demographic trend that will deliver growing dividends for the next 30 years.

The firm’s investors have enjoyed 86% total returns over the last five years (with much of that coming back as cash dividends.) And right now is actually a better time than ever to buy because its growing base of assets is generating higher and higher cash flows, powering an accelerating dividend:

An Accelerating Dividend

This stock should be owned by any serious dividend investor for three simple reasons:

  1. It’s recession-proof,
  2. It yields a fat (and secure) 7.6%, and
  3. Its dividend increases are actually accelerating.

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Source: Contrarian Outlook

The Auto Industry Is About to Completely Change

“Will we need to learn to drive?” my son asked me recently.

Before I tell you what I told him as an answer, I want to give you an idea of why he asked me this question.

You see, right now, we’re at a moment when things that once seemed permanent are now in question.

Cars and driving are one of these things. Just to get a sense of car history, consider this:

Nelson Jackson, Sewall Crocker and their dog, Bud, made the first successful transcontinental automobile trip in 1903. Car technology was primitive. They relied on stagecoaches to ferry spare parts.

One time a cow had to tow them. And another time, a team of horses had to be sent to get them out of a Vermont bog. The 4,500-mile journey took 63 days, 12 hours and 30 minutes.

Few then would have imagined what would happen next.

An Insane Level of Growth

Incredibly, the U.S. went from 800 cars in 1900 to 458,500 in 1910 to 8.2 million cars by 1920 to 253 million now. That’s an insane level of growth.

And car growth has exploded even higher in recent years. In 2016, U.S. vehicle sales totaled 17.55 million. That beats 2015’s record of 17.47 million and was the seventh consecutive year of unprecedented growth.

However, I’m incredibly pessimistic about car sales because I believe that we’ve seen their peak.

In 10 years, we’ll have fewer cars on the road. And fewer still in 20. That’s why I told my son it’s unlikely he’d need to learn to drive.

The reason I’m so pessimistic is because new innovations are going to wipe out cars as we know them.

A Total Wipeout for the Auto Industry

The average price of a car is $35,000, but the costs of traditional car ownership go far beyond the price tag. There is also interest paid on car loans, insurance, taxes, fuel and maintenance. Some expenses are nonobvious, such as parking, property taxes and construction costs for home garages, and the value of our time.

And according to research by the Bureau of Transportation Statistics, our cars are only used for about 4% of the day.

In other words, buying a car is one of the most wasteful expenses imaginable. If you take the 4% number at face value, it means a total wipeout for the auto industry. That’s because it means we could get by with 96% fewer cars if we had a system that uses the cars we own optimally.

This same study also says that, right now, as many as 25% of people are better off using ride-sharing services. These are services like Uber and Lyft that you can call from your smartphone.

I believe this study is right. The automobile of today is the equivalent of the horse and buggy-based transportation system of the 1800s. It’s primed to be replaced by a new transportation system that’s driven by electric, self-driving, internet-connected cars that will completely change transportation and, in time, life as we know it.

Waymo, the autonomous car unit of Google parent Alphabet, already has plans to start testing a new kind of transportation system.

“Because you’re accessing vehicles rather than owning, in the future, you could choose from an entire fleet of vehicle options that are tailored to each trip you want to make,” said Waymo CEO John Krafcik. People could claim the cars for a day, a week or even longer, he said. And, according to Krafcik, driverless cars could be completely redesigned, such as to include a dining area.

Now, many of you will think that this forecast is too strong. You’ll think that just because cars have endured for as long as they have, they’ll continue to be something that people rely on. And because of that, you’ll be tempted to buy car-company stocks as they go down.

However, don’t buy these stocks, however cheap they look. They are doomed.

Regards,

Paul Mampilly
Editor, Profits Unlimited

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Source: Banyan Hill 

3 Tech Stocks Up More than Apple, Facebook, and Google

Perhaps the most exciting segment of the Singularity for me is the Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT), which will change forever how things are made. It’s the reason some are calling it the Fourth Industrial Revolution.

I’ve written often about two of the main sectors contained in the IIoT. The first is cobots or collaborative robots that will work together with humans in manufacturing. The second is additive manufacturing, which is also known as 3D printing because it involves building objects layer by layer out of substances such as metals or polymers.

But I’ve barely touched upon a third area – digital twins. Let me now fill you on this and point to a few companies heavily involved in the use of digital twins.

What Is a Digital Twin?

A digital twin is a virtual copy of a real machine or system. It is sometimes described as a bridge between the physical and digital worlds. These virtual models are built up based on many gigabytes and terabytes of sensor data. It is an outgrowth today of much cheaper and better sensors, data transmission and data analytics.

In simplest terms, a digital twin works on a simulation platform connected to a predictive analytics platform and which gathers data from a range of sensors from a wide scope of devices/machines and then analyzes the data.

However, a digital twin is not exactly a new concept. NASA developed the concept of a digital twin for its space shuttle program.

Here is a basic example of the usefulness of digital twins: In the past, car companies would build prototypes and then crash them to see whether the cars would hold up to real world situations. Now with digital twins, car companies can use CAD (computer-aided design) data and simulate crashes to see how well their car design will hold up.

Of course, the uses for digital twins extend far beyond cars. It includes oil rigs, jet engines, wind turbines, power plants and pretty much anything worth monitoring.

The value of digital twins to companies is obvious. It offers them numerous advantages throughout the entire lifecycle – from product design, production planning and engineering, to commissioning, operation, servicing and modernization of plant systems and equipment.

Virtual twins allow companies to validate designs earlier and test the configuration of a machine or product or system in the virtual environment. By carrying out checks earlier in the engineering process, the risk of failures and errors in critical phases of the lifecycle, for example during commissioning, is reduced. Eliminating such risks would otherwise only be possible with great effort, cost and time.

Any subsequent modifications can be tested and verified in exactly the same way, accelerating the introduction of a new product. Furthermore, with the help of these virtual models, the operating data can also be used to optimize parameters for production such as energy consumption.

Digital Twin Market Potential

As you can imagine, the potential for virtual twins is vast. According to the German Association for Information Technology, Telecommunications and New Media, every digital twin in the manufacturing industry will have an economic potential of more than 78 billion euros (over $90 billion) by 2025.

A report from TechSci Research says that the digital twin market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 37% during the forecast period 2017 through 2022. The report points to high demand from the electronics and electrical/machine manufacturing industry as the main driver behind this high growth rate.

Not surprisingly with any rather new technology, the growth geographically is coming from the Asia Pacific region. The firm Research and Markets says that region led the way in 2016 in the overall digital twin market and is expected to continue leading in the 2017 to 2023 period.

This kind of growth rate is what you should look for in an investment and is similar to what I’ve seen in the robotics sector.

Digital Twins Investments

So how can you invest into this exciting new part of the Industrial Internet of Things?

There are a number of very large companies involved in the space including tech giants Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT)and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) as well as industrial powerhouses General Electric (NYSE: GE) and Siemens (OTC: SIEGY).

But instead of these large companies, I prefer the smaller software companies that are involved with CAD design modeling. Here are three companies to consider.

Living in western Pennsylvania, the company at the top of my list is from the area – ANSYS (Nasdaq: ANSS). It is a dominant player in the high-end design simulation software market and is used by most of the well-known manufacturing companies.

The company generates revenues in two areas – software licenses (57.5% of 2016 revenues) and maintenance and services (42.5%). Revenues in 2016 were about $988 million. I expect revenues to climb significantly in the years ahead as the company expands its simulation solutions to areas like 5G  telecommunications product designs, autonomous vehicles and ADAS systems, as well as the Industrial Internet of Things.

Its stock spiked 10% last week on the back of a great earnings report. It also recently closed a three-year contract worth over $45 million, which was the largest in the company’s history. The stock is now up 60% year-to-date and 77% over the past 12 months.     

The second company is Cadence Design Systems (Nasdaq: CDNS). Over 90% of its revenue is recurring, which is outstanding.

In addition to IIoT, it is also involved other fast-growing sectors such as aerospace, autonomous vehicles and augmented and virtual reality (AR/VR). It has won orders from Infineon and MobilEye who are developing advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) technologies. However, its core currently remains the semiconductor market and the design of integrated circuits.

The stock’s performance has been stellar with a gain of 75% year-to-date and 77% over the past year.

The final company is Autodesk (Nasdaq: ADSK), which generated over $2 billion in revenues in fiscal 2017. It serves customers in architecture, engineering and construction, manufacturing, and digital media and entertainment.

The company’s business transition from licenses to cloud-based services should benefit it over the long-term through higher subscriptions and deferred revenues. Its management forecasts long-term CAGR of 20% from subscriptions that will lead to 24% CAGR in recurring revenues.

That forecast along with its results have propelled the stock 68% higher year-to-date and nearly 80% over the past year. One caution though – on a non-GAAP basis, it is still losing money.

I do expect though all three of these companies’ stocks to continue outperforming the general market.

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