The Blockchain Can Advance a More Efficient and Honest World

I have good reason NOT to trust the government.

It stole something from me.

It did it in such a brazen manner that even now – 20 years later – I get mad whenever I think of it.

It involved a public bid. A big tank cleaning job. My company, based in Jakarta, had been eyeing it for a while.

We won the bid – a good feeling. The story should have ended there.

In most countries, it would have.

But Indonesia isn’t most countries.

Its economy is run according to a set of unwritten rules that can be summed up this way…

If you’re not taking a bribe, you should be giving one.

It’s rated 96 out of 180 countries in Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index.

Fifteen years ago it was much worse. I’m sure it rated well above 100.

So let me tell you what happened.

Gone, Contract, Gone

After winning this project, we received a signed, sealed and stamped letter from the government agency whose project it was.

And that happened to be Pertamina, Indonesia’s big, bloated and corrupt state agency involved in the country’s oil production and trading.

The vice president who ran our Jakarta office – James T. – was summoned to a meeting by a Pertamina official. This is how he described it to me…

I entered this enormous boardroom at Pertamina headquarters. At the far end of a long table sat an official whom I had met once or twice but did not know very well. He greeted me like we were old friends.

He then told me there was a small problem. He had found a small error in the approval letter sent to us. He asked for the letter, explaining he’ll fix it and return it in five minutes. He returned 20 minutes later and said he found a couple more errors. He said he needed to keep the letter and I could pick it up the next day. As I left the room, he said he’d call me in the morning.

James never saw or heard from him again.

Nor did he ever see the letter again.

Two weeks later, Pertamina issued a new letter to another company. We learned that the copy James had made carried no legal standing because it was not the original.

We were, in a word, screwed.

Later on, we found out that the Pertamina official James had met was given a generous bribe by the new winner of the project. Surprise, surprise.

Of course, I’m not the only one this stuff happens to. You and I know… IT HAPPENS ALL THE TIME.

Just recently, for example, countries from Peru to Mexico were rocked by a big scandalinvolving the Brazilian construction company Construtora Norberto Odebrecht. It had paid bribes to a number of government oil officials (of course).

Kickbacks at Brazil’s Petrobras and Mexico’s Pemex were unearthed. Ecuador’s vice president was put behind bars.

According to Reuters, the company has paid $3.5 billion in settlements in the U.S., Brazil and Switzerland.

Here, There, Everywhere

For every company that’s caught (like Odebrecht), I bet there are 100 running around handing out gifts to their favorite officials.

Based on my global business experience, I’d say that in a good 50 countries, it’s impossible to do a sustainable level of business without handing out bribes.

The U.S. isn’t one of those countries. Here it’s a little subtler…

A network built on mutual back-scratching at the highest levels of government, business and entertainment exerts a nefarious influence on how deals get done.

If you’re on the outside looking in, it stinks.

Dumping the Toll Takers

Just a couple of years ago, I would have said to those outsiders, “Deal with it.”

It’s the way of the world. Nothing you can do.

With the advent of trustless blockchain technology, I’ve changed my tune.

The blockchain itself confirms a transaction. No middleman (like a bank) is needed.

And you can put all kinds of things on the blockchain, not just payments.

For example, you can put government projects and public bids on the blockchain. Hmmm…

The blockchain applied to public contracts – what a great idea!

It’s turning into a reality, thanks to a team of university graduates from Mexico who initially developed it.

The blockchain would track bids and store records of the bidding process. It would allow audits to review every step of the bidding process.

Imagine if government officials knew this was in place.

Such a technology wouldn’t stop bribery altogether, but it could make a serious dent.

For example, I’m not sure how it could expose one subtle form of favoritism – structuring a bid to play to a particular company’s strengths.

(Confession: I’ve played this card myself back in the day. It’s very effective.)

It’s definitely a step in the right direction.

Mexico’s national digital strategy coordinator said it would eliminate the “easily corruptible” human element and introduce transparency to the public tender process.

What the Future Could Look Like

I would love to see public projects won based on sophisticated algorithms embedded in the blockchain. No human intervention.

It would empty out hundreds of buildings around the world filled with government pencil pushers.

That’s the beauty of the blockchain. It gets rid of the middlemen, the gatekeepers, the toll takers.

And it eliminates the rent – that also can take the form of bribes – for the users.

Massive adoption of blockchain technology would make the world not only more efficient but also more honest.

How great would that be?

Good investing,

Andy Gordon
Co-Founder, Early Investing

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Source: Early Investing 

10 Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying

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It is widely believed that everyday investors can glean valuable insight from Wall Street titans. While following big-name investors into various stocks is not a guarantee of a winning investment, investors love following icons, such as Warren Buffett.

Perhaps due to the notions that hedge funds are “sexy” and hard to access for many regular investors, many investors also like to follow the buys and sells of various hedge funds. The rub with this strategy is that hedge fund managers, no matter how long they have been around or how much money they run, are not infallible. In fact, data suggest many hedge funds have not beaten the S&P 500 in recent years.

Of course, there are hedge fund managers who perform well and charge their clients a pretty penny for the privilege. Here are some of hedge funds’ favorite stocks at the moment, a group that includes predictable fare as well as some more obscure names.

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) is the largest U.S. company by market value, so perhaps it is not surprising that the iPhone maker is usually a hedge fund favorite. While not a hedge fund, Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE:BRK-A) is a major Apple shareholder. In fact, Apple is Berkshire’s top holding, even exceeding the likes of The Coca-Cola Co (NYSE:KO) and Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC).

The company, shares of which are up nearly 21% over the past year, recently launched a red iPhone 8 and the iPhone 8 Plus. While Apple is a story stock, there are some near-term issues to consider.

Recently Goldman Sachs said of iPhone sales it “ expects sales of 53 million units in the calendar first quarter. For the three months to June, Goldman said it expects sales of 40.3 million units, a reduction of 3.2 million from its previous forecast,” according to CNBC.

Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying: Amazon (AMZN)

This one probably is not a surprise, either. Not when Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) is one of just four U.S. companies with a market capitalization north of $700 billion. Recent data indicate that Amazon, the largest consumer discretionary company in the U.S., is a top 10 holding at 80 hedge funds, more than any other stock.

Although shares of Amazon are up 60.5% over the past year, analysts are exceedingly bullish on the stock. The average analyst price target on the stock is around $1,670, implying significant upside potential from recent closes around $1,440.At least two analysts have $2,000 price targets on Amazon.

Amazon is mostly known as a retailer, but much of the long-term allure comes from its cloud computing business, Amazon Web Services (AWS). That could be a $60 billion unit in just a few years.

Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying: Alphabet (GOOGL)

Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying: Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)

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Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL), the parent company of Google, is another hedge fund favorite. In fact, more than 50 hedge funds feature Alphabet among their top 10 holdings. Like Apple and Amazon, Alphabet is one of the U.S. companies with a market value north of $700 billion.

The three stocks highlighted here thus far cement at least one notion: Hedge funds love tech. Data confirm as much.

“Net exposures remain higher than the beginning of the year at 51 percent. The technology sector is still 37 percent of that total. Data shows that there has been some aggregate selling of technology stocks since the middle of March, but the magnitude has been relatively in line with other sectors,” Bloomberg reported, citing Morgan Stanley research.

Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying: Bank Of America (BAC)

Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying: Bank Of America (BAC)

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Among financial services stocks, Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:BAC) is one of the hedge fund faves. This could be a combination of hedge funds betting on banks in a rising-interest-rate environment, betting the Donald Trump Administration’s more favorable regulatory stance on the financial services sector will be a tailwind for the group or that financials are a credible play.

Shares of Bank of America are up more than 30% over the past year, putting the stock ahead of the Financial Select Sector SPDR (NYSEARCA:XLF) by more than 1,300 basis points.

The stock resides in the low $30’s at this writing, but some market observers believe it could jump to the low $40’s over the next 12 to 24 months.

Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying: United States Steel (X)

United States Steel Corporation (NYSE:X) is not necessarily widely held by hundreds and hundreds of hedge funds, but what is notable about the largest U.S. steelmaker is that it is a favorite of some the best-performing stock-picking hedge funds.

Ordinary investors may want to be cautious with shares of U.S. Steel. The stock rallied earlier this year after the Trump Administration unveiled tariffs aimed at protecting domestic aluminum and steel producers. However, the White House subsequently announced diluted versions of those tariffs, including exemptions for several countries that are among the largest importers of steel to the U.S.

This stock is down nearly 18% over the past month.

Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying: Caesars Entertainment (CZR)

Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying: Caesars Entertainment (CZR)

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Caesars Entertainment Corporation (NASDAQ:CZR), the owner of Caesars Palace among other casinos, is another widely held hedge fund stock. Thanks to a tax benefit, Caesars posted fourth-quarter earnings of $2.48 per share, well above the 8 cents Wall Street expected.

Caesars is out of bankruptcy, something the company appears to be celebrating with some nice compensation for its executives.

The stock surged almost 50% last year, but could be succumbing to profit-taking this year as it is down more than 13% year-to-date.

Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying: SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)

Let’s change things up a bit and added an exchange-traded fund (ETF) to the list of hedge fund favorites. The SPDR Gold Shares(NYSEARCA:GLD) is the world’s largest gold-backed ETF and also a favorite ETF in the hedge fund community. Among non-equity ETFs, GLD is one of the most widely held by professional investors.

Historically, gold prices are challenged by rising interest rates because bullion does not pay a dividend. However, the dollar has not been responsive to the Federal Reserve’s recent rate hikes, which is good news for dollar-denominated commodities like gold.

Investors are responding as GLD has taken in over $1 billion in new assets this year. Near-term catalysts include a possible upside break of $1,400 and the belief by many in the gold industry that supply will be declining because most of the world’s easy-to-access gold has already been mined.

Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying: NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)

Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying: NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)

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The status of NXP Semiconductors NV (NASDAQ:NXPI) as a hedge fund fave is probably attributable to Qualcomm Corp.’s (NASDAQ:QCOM) desire to acquire the remainder of NXP it does not already own. Qualcomm has recently extended the deadline on that offer multiple times.

NXP makes mixed signal and standard product solutions for radio frequency (RF), analog, power management, interface, security, and digital processing products.

Qualcomm’s interest in NXP could be its way of fending off Broacom’s (NASDAQ:AVGO) acquisition overtures.

Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying: Allergan (AGN)

With hedge funds so enamored by tech stocks, that does not leave a lot of room for significant exposure to other sectors. Just three healthcare stocks are considered widely held by hedge funds and Allergan Plc (NYSE:AGN) is one of them.

Allergan has been a healthcare laggard over the past year, shedding more than 30% over that period while the S&P 500 Health Care Index is up 10.24%. Hedge funds could be wagering that Allergan, which makes specialty pharmaceuticals, could shed non-performing units to boost shareholder value or perhaps become a takeover target itself.

Still, Allergan has a market value of $58 billion, making the likelihood of it being acquired somewhat small. The company could regain investors’ faith by doing some smart shopping of its own at a time when rivals are expected to do the same.

Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying:  Microsoft (MSFT)

Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying:  Microsoft (MSFT)

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Along with Alphabet, Amazon and Apple, Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) is a member of the $700 billion club and another hedge fund fave. The stock is up more than 41% over the past year, which is an exciting growth trajectory for a company of Microsoft’s size and age. Speaking of growth, Microsoft has become a venerable tech dividend growth name and yields an admirable (compared to the broader tech space) 1.8%.

Microsoft joins Alphabet and Amazon on Morgan Stanley’s list of 15 prime beneficiaries of the big data era.

“We expect the best performing stocks in the technology sector could broaden from consumer- to enterprise-oriented technology providers, challenging the consensus view and positioning that exists in the market today,” according to Morgan Stanley.

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