The 7 Steps I Always Follow for 8% Dividends in CEFs

Today, the 10-year Treasury pays just 2.4%. Put a million bucks in T-Bills and you’re banking $24,000 per year. Barely above poverty levels!

Hence the appeal of closed-end funds (CEFs), which often pay 8% or better. That’s the difference between a paltry minimum-wage income of $24,000 on a million saved or a respectable $80,000 annually.

And if you’re smart about your CEF purchases, you can even buy these funds at discounts and snare some price upside to boot!

The market’s fast run-up since January 1 has made cheap CEFs just a bit harder to find. And some CEFs have become so pricey that, if you hold them, you should consider selling before their premiums fall to earth.

(We recently spotlighted one CEF paying a too-good-to-be true 13.7% dividend. Unfortunately its ridiculous double-digit premium is about to evaporate! You can learn more about this one here.)

Perfect Time for a CEF “Brush-Up”

So, with the markets in flux, now is a great time to take a run through my “golden rules” of successful CEF investing.

Picking CEFs is a bit more nuanced than researching regular stocks, because we’re analyzing managers, strategies and holdings versus simple businesses models. After all, for lazy investors, it’s easier to count on dividends from a tired Dividend Aristocrat like Coca-Cola (KO) than it is to determine how much China exposure the Aberdeen Asia-Pacific Income Fund (FAX) has!

(The answer? Only about 5%. But that bit of extra bit of research will lead you to a secure 9.9% yield, versus a fallible 3.5% for Coke and its lineup of yesterday’s sugar-packed soft drinks!)

CEF Rule #1: Make Sure All Charts Include Dividends

The Gabelli Equity Trust (GAB) has been a great performer in the last decade—but going by its price chart, it looks like it’s been run over by the “dumb” SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), which blindly tracks the market:

Looks Like a Laggard …

… Until You Add the Payouts Back!

Make sure the chart you’re reading includes dividends paid (so that it reflects total returns).

CEF Rule #2: Past Performance Matters

A fund’s history can tip you off to the quality of the management team and its strategy. GAB has one of the smartest stock pickers on the planet in Mario Gabelli, who drove it to that monster 556% return, with most of that in the form of cash payouts.

Meanwhile, the Aberdeen Total Dynamic Dividend Fund (AOD) has delivered the worst of all worlds. It crashed harder than the broader markets in 2008, then provided almost no rebound as stocks themselves bounced back.

Dynamic dividends? Not here!

Price Collapse Wipes Out AOD’s 8.3% Payout

Don’t be fooled by the siren song of its fat 8.4% current yield—it’s not going to do you much good when the fund’s share price drops out from under you.

Which brings me to our next point…

CEF Rule #3: A 1-Click Dividend “Health Check”

Some funds pay big distributions that look great, but they’re not sustainable. However they continue to attract new (sucker) investors because they are able to fund their payouts.

Too bad they’re doing it by eating into their net asset values (NAV, or the market value of their underlying portfolios)!

So you’ll want to pay close attention to NAV when you’re picking CEFs. Here are two funds whose underlying portfolios have grinded sideways (or worse) over the past three years:

2 More Big Yields Built on Flimsy Foundations

As you can see, the BlackRock Energy and Resources Trust (BGR) and the Wells Fargo Global Dividend Opportunity Fund (EOD) and have seen terrible NAV performance in the last three years.

So even though both offer outsized dividends of 7.8% and 11.7% respectively, that hardly matters! Because both funds’ weak NAVs kneecapped their total returns (with dividends included). You would have been way better off just buying SPY and being done with it!

Weak Portfolio, Weak Return

The bottom line? Always check out a fund’s NAV performance, in addition to its market-price return and dividend history, before clicking “buy.”

CEF Rule #4: Learn the 3 Ways a Fund Can Make Money

A closed-end fund can pay you from some combination of:

  1. Investment income,
  2. Capital gains, and/or
  3. Return of capital.

Of the three, investment income is preferable because it’s usually the most reliable. Many CEFs pay monthly distributions, so it’s best if they match up their payouts with steady income streams themselves.

Capital gains from rising bond or stock prices can further boost distributions. But they are at risk of disappearing if the markets turn unfavorably.

Finally, everyone assumes return of capital is bad, because it’s simply shipping your money back to you. But as we’ve written previously, it’s often good for investors.

What’s more, if the fund trades at a sizeable discount, this can actually be a savvy way to kickstart the closing of a discount window. More on this shortly.

CEF Rule #5: Keep Fees in Perspective

Most investors are conditioned by their experience with ETFs to search out the lowest fees. This makes sense for investment vehicles that are roughly going to perform in-line with the broader market. Lowering your costs minimizes drag.

Closed-ends are different, though. On the whole, there are many more dogs than gems. It’s an absolute necessity to find a great manager with a solid track record. Great managers tend to be expensive, of course, but they’re worth it.

The stated yields you see quoted, by the way, are always net of fees. Your account will never be debited for the fees from any fund you own. They are simply paid by the fund itself from its NAV.

CEF Rule #6: Never Pay Retail

One aspect of the CEF structure lends itself perfectly to contrary-minded investing: fixed pools of shares.

Mutual funds issue more shares whenever they want. But CEFs have a fixed share count, with their funds trading like stocks. As a result, from time to time a fund will fall out of favor and find its shares trading at a discount to its NAV.

This is basically free money because these underlying assets are constantly marked to market. If a fund trades at a 10% discount, management could theoretically liquidate the fund and cash out everyone at $1.10 on the dollar. Or it can buy back its own shares to close the discount window (and boost the share price).

You can see this in the Cohen & Steers Quality Income Realty Fund (RQI), which trades at an 8% discount now but has traded at par in the last year, implying some nice upside here:

RQI’s Free-Money Markdown

Source: CEFConnect.com

A discount is a great start, but do make sure the team at the top has a plan to close that window!

CEF Rule #7: Look for Management With “Skin in the Game”

It’s rare to see any fixed income manager put his or her own money on the line at all, unfortunately. According to a recent Barron’s article, nearly half of all closed-end funds have no insider ownership whatsoever.

That raises an obvious question: why would we want to own any of these funds, if the managers don’t want to buy in themselves?

The 3 Best Closed-End Funds to Bankroll Your Retirement

Closed-end funds are a cornerstone of my 8% “no withdrawal” retirement strategy, which lets retirees rely entirely on dividend income and leave their principal 100% intact.

Well that’s not exactly right.

Their principal is more than 100% intact, thanks to price gains fueled by collapsing discounts, like the example I gave you in Rule #6 above! Which means principal is actually 110% intact after year 1, and so on.

To do this, I seek out closed-end funds that:

  • Pay 8% or better…
  • Have well-funded distributions…
  • Trade at meaningful discounts to their NAV…
  • And know how to make their shareholders money.

And I talk to management, because online research isn’t enough. I also track insider buying to make sure these guys have real skin in the game.

Today I like three “blue chip” closed-end funds as best income buys. And wait ‘til you see their yields! These “slam dunk” income plays pay 6.1%, 8.6% and even 9.1% dividends.

Plus, they trade at 10 to 15% discounts to NAV, which means they’re perfect for your retirement portfolio because your downside risk is minimal. Even if the market takes a tumble, these top-notch funds will simply trade flat… and we’ll still collect those fat dividends!

If you’re an investor who strives to live off dividends alone, while slowly but safely increasing the value of your nest egg, these are the ideal holdings for you.

Editor's Note: The stock market is way up – and that’s terrible news for us dividend investors. Yields haven’t been this low in decades! But there are still plenty of great opportunities to secure meaningful income if you know where to look. Brett Owens' latest report reveals how you can easily (and safely) rake in 8%+ dividends and never worry about drawing down your capital again. Click here for full details!

Source: Contrarian Outlook

Jeff Bezos Text Messages Could Still Be Private if He’d Had This Service

The security officer hired to protect the richest man in the world just accused Saudi Arabia of hacking his client.

Jeff Bezos, the top dog at Amazon, hired Gavin de Becker to find out how his personal text messages wound up in the hands of the National Enquirer. The story is particularly juicy since Bezos accused the National Enquirer’s parent company of trying to blackmail him in exchange for favorable coverage from the Washington Post, which is owned by Mr. Bezos.

OK, but why would this interest the Saudis? Well, it doesn’t. At least not directly. Mr. de Becker claims the hack was due to the Post’s coverage of the murder of Jamal Khashoggi inside the Saudi consulate in Istanbul. Khashoggi wrote for the Washington Post.

This story is starting to sound like a le Carré novel, cloak and dagger stuff, but it’s real life. It also raises a disturbing question: if the richest man in the world can be hacked, how can you be safe? How can anyone be safe?

This is why cybersecurity is such a vital field, and I think it’s a long-term growth opportunity. There are a number of players in the field but I want to highlight my favorite, FireEye (FEYE), and illuminate why I think its subscription-based business model makes it best-positioned to enjoy profits in the years ahead.

FireEye: The Last Line of Defense

Interestingly, I’m not FireEye’s only fan. The CIA was not only an early customer but an investor as well through its In-Q-Tel venture capital arm. I also like that FireEye recently turned profitable after along period of steep upfront investments. On February 6, the company reported earnings of six cents per share. That topped Wall Street’s estimate by a penny per share. Stay tuned for the next earnings report which should be out in early May.

Cyber hacks are particularly worrisome because oftentimes the victims aren’t aware they’ve been victimized. Even Google has hired FireEye. FireEye has 230 threat analysts in 19 countries that speak 32 languages. The company is present in Kiev. They can be found in Israel. They can be found in South Korea. Name any hot spot and Fire Eye is there.

So what does FireEye do? CEO Kevin Mandia, a former Air Force officer and computer security officer at the Pentagon, described FireEye as “the last line of defense after all technology fails.” The company provides specialized software-based appliances under three broad categories—threat prevention, security management and security forensics.

FEYE offers cloud-based subscription services as well as consulting services to both commercial customers and governments.

FireEye’s threat prevention segment provides solutions against cyberthreats that may come through the web, e-mail, file or mobile. Its security management segment offers two types of products—a central management system and a threat analytics platform. The first allows customers to identify and block attacks.

The second is a cloud-based system that lets security teams identify and respond to cyber threats. They can correlate data from a security event from any security product with real-time threat intelligence.

FireEye also has a security forensics unit. This is the really cool stuff, and it’s considered to be one of the best in the industry. They have three products here: a forensic analysis system, a network forensics platform and an investigation analysis system.

The Subscription–Based Model

The key to understanding FireEye is that they’re shifting their business to a subscription-based model. This is a very good idea for a few reasons. One is that it generates recurring revenue that leads to a more stable outlook for its future revenue and earnings. The margins are also higher than their previous business model. Subscriptions are nice because this seems to bring in the customers while increasing penetration with existing customers, both of which will drive revenue growth.

The new model seems to be working. In fact, an analyst at J.P. Morgan just upgraded FireEye due to their billing potential.

Let’s look at some recent results.

For Q4 of 2018, the company reported record revenues and billings. CEO Mandia said, “The fourth quarter was a strong finish to a record year for FireEye,” He also noted that the company “achieved full-year non-GAAP profitability for the first time in our history.”

In Q4, FireEye’s recurring subscriptions and support billings rose by 20% over last year. Those accounted for 82% of all non-service billings in 2018.

As good as 2018 was, the company sees this year being even better. FireEye sees 2019 revenues ranging between $880 and $890 million, and they’re targeting gross margins of 75%. At the bottom line, FireEye projects earnings of 17 to 21 cents per share.

Despite their rosy outlook, the stock hasn’t done much over the last three years, but I think that gives us a good opportunity. We live in a dangerous world, and Fire Eye is working on real-world solutions.

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